Biology subjects

Marconi, V.

Publications and source records attributed to Marconi, V..

6 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2025

Navigating methodological decisions: Balancing rigor and data volume of the Canadian Living Planet Index

The Living Planet Index -- a biodiversity indicator that assesses the relative change of aggregate vertebrate abundance data -- is an indicator used in global and national biodiversity monitoring frameworks. In Canada, the LPI has been modified (C-LPI) -- adopting differing methodological choices relative to the global LPI. However, there is no clear consensus on the most appropriate analytical methods, particularly as they pertain to the treatment of zeros, confidence intervals and uncertainty, time series length and number of data points required, modelling of short time series, removal of outliers, weighting species, and the impact of baseline year selection. Our analysis transparently explores multiple methodological options and the consequent C-LPI output for each of these decision points. Our research does not evaluate the superiority of a single approach but rather provides transparency and accountability in C-LPI reporting. We hope that this will further strengthen the utility of the C-LPI and provide decision makers with the necessary information to appropriately interpret patterns, evaluate progress towards biodiversity targets, and inform conservation action.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2025

Halting predicted vertebrate declines requires tackling multiple drivers of biodiversity loss

Anthropogenic threats are reshaping Earths biodiversity at an unprecedented rate and scale1-3. Conservation policies often prioritise threats like habitat loss and exploitation based on their global prevalence. However, these assessments rarely quantify the impacts of individual or interacting threats, potential masking the true effects of the Anthropocene4-6. Here, we quantitatively analyse the trends of 3,129 vertebrate populations worldwide with documented exposure to specific and multiple threats. Populations impacted solely by habitat loss or exploitation, the most prevalent threats, do not show the fastest declines. Rather, populations exposed to disease, invasive species, pollution, and climate change decline more rapidly. However, habitat loss and exploitation - along with climate change - do act as additive interactive threats, amplifying population declines. Notably, these interactive threats contribute to population declines, more than temporal or spatial sources of variation. Finally, counterfactual scenarios show that to achieve global non-negative vertebrate population trends, we need to mitigate the effects of multiple threats. These findings underscore the urgency of addressing the compounding effects of multiple threats to halt biodiversity loss and suggest that the local-scale impacts of climate change may be more severe than previously recognized.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2022

Past, present, and future of the Living Planet Index

As we enter the next phase of international policy commitments to halt biodiversity loss (e.g. Post-2020 Biodiversity Framework), biodiversity indicators will play an important role forming the robust basis upon which targeted, and time sensitive conservation actions are developed. Population trend indicators are perhaps the most powerful tool in biodiversity monitoring due to their responsiveness to changes over short timescales and their ability to aggregate species trends from global down to at a sub-national or even local scale. We consider how the project behind the foremost population level indicator - the Living Planet Index - has evolved over the last 25 years, its value to the field of biodiversity monitoring, and how its components have portrayed a compelling account of the changing status of global biodiversity through its application at policy, research and practice levels. We explore ways the project can develop to enhance our understanding of the state of biodiversity and share lessons learned to inform indicator development and mobilise action. O_TEXTBOXBox 1. The Living Planet Index Project The Living Planet Index project (the index, methodology, and database) and its secondary outputs (methods papers and R code, database and website, global index, and subset indices) have had wide-ranging applications within the fields of biodiversity monitoring and research, as well as across policy, education, and outreach. The Living Planet Index (LPI) is a biodiversity indicator which tracks trends in the relative abundance of wild vertebrate populations (where population is defined as to a single species in a defined location rather than the biological definition). Relative abundance captures how populations are changing over time on average in comparison to a reference point, or "baseline" (the LPI uses 1970). It is often described as analogous to a stock market index for species. The index is comprised of thousands of population time-series for vertebrate species from locations around the world; the trends from these populations are averaged to produce terrestrial, freshwater, and marine indices, which are further aggregated to a global LPI. The latest global LPI shows a decline of 68% between 1970 and 2016 globally 1. This is an average trend based on time-series data from 20,811 populations of 4,392 species of mammals, birds, reptiles, amphibians, and fish. The LPI database (LPD) can include population data for any species for which time-series population data could be found, regardless of threat status, or whether they show increasing or declining trends. These population time-series are sourced from scientific papers, online databases, government, and expert led published reports. They can be searched and downloaded from the project website (www.livingplanetindex.org). More technical information is available on the LPI stats website (http://stats.livingplanetindex.org/). C_TEXTBOX

ecology↗

bioRxiv2021

Tapping into non-English-language science for the conservation of global biodiversity

The widely held assumption that any important scientific information would be available in English underlies the underuse of non-English-language science across disciplines. However, non-English-language science is expected to bring unique and valuable scientific information, especially in disciplines where the evidence is patchy, and for emergent issues where synthesising available evidence is an urgent challenge. Yet such contribution of non-English-language science to scientific communities and the application of science is rarely quantified. Here we show that non-English-language studies provide crucial evidence for informing global biodiversity conservation. By screening 419,680 peer-reviewed papers in 16 languages, we identified 1,234 non-English-language studies providing evidence on the effectiveness of biodiversity conservation interventions, compared to 4,412 English-language studies identified with the same criteria. Relevant non-English-language studies are being published at an increasing rate, and can expand the geographical (by 12-25%) and taxonomic (by 5-32%) coverage of English-language evidence, especially in biodiverse regions, albeit often based on less robust study designs. Our results show that synthesising non-English-language studies is key to overcoming the widespread lack of local, context-dependent evidence and facilitating evidence-based conservation globally. We urge wider disciplines to rigorously reassess the untapped potential of non-English-language science in informing decisions to address other global challenges.

scientific communication and education↗

bioRxiv2021

IL-10 driven memory T cell survival and Tfh differentiation promote HIV persistence

Mechanisms regulating HIV persistence are complex and not well understood. Increased IL-10 levels were positively associated with HIV reservoir in blood and lymph nodes (LN) of treated HIV aviremic individuals. In LNs, B cells, regulatory T cells, follicular T helper cells (Tfh), monocytes and macrophages contributed to the frequencies of IL10+ cells. Cells with HIV DNA in LNs were in close proximity to IL-10+ cells and/or had the active form of STAT3, the transcription downstream of IL-10. Gene signatures and proteins associated to cell survival, Co-inhibitory receptors expression, maintenance of memory T cells, immune metabolism and Tfh frequencies were all modulated by IL-10 and associated with HIV reservoir persistence. In vitro, STAT3 knockout or neutralization of IL-10, reverted all the aforementioned pathways and resulted in 10-fold decay in HIV reservoir. Collectively, these results provide strong evidence for a pivotal role of IL-10 in HIV persistence, and a potential therapeutic strategy for HIV cure.

immunology↗

bioRxiv2019

HIV infection and incidence of cardiovascular diseases: an analysis of a large healthcare database

BackgroundPersons living with HIV (PLWH) experience higher risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) such as myocardial infarction (MI) and heart failure (HF) compared to uninfected individuals. Risk of other CVDs in PLWH has received less attention. MethodsWe studied 19,798 PLWH and 59,302 age and sex-matched uninfected individuals identified from the MarketScan Commercial and Medicare databases in the period 2009-2015. Incidence of CVDs, including MI, HF, atrial fibrillation (AF), peripheral artery disease (PAD), stroke and any CVD-related hospitalization, were identified using validated algorithms. We used adjusted Cox models to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) of CVD endpoints and performed probabilistic bias analysis to control for unmeasured confounding by race. ResultsAfter a mean (median) follow-up of 20 (17) months, study patients experienced 154 MIs, 223 HF, 93 stroke, 397 AF, 98 PAD and 935 CVD hospitalizations. HR (95%CI) comparing PLWH to uninfected controls were 1.3 (0.9, 1.9) for MI, 3.2 (2.4, 4.2) for HF, 2.7 (1.7, 4.0) for stroke, 1.2 (1.0, 1.5) for AF, 1.1 (0.7, 1.7) for PAD, and 1.7 (1.5, 2.0) for any CVD-related hospitalization. Adjustment for unmeasured confounding led to similar associations [1.2 (0.8, 1.8) for MI, 2.8 (2.0, 3.8) for HF, 2.3 (1.5, 3.6) for stroke, 1.3 (1.0, 1.7) for AF, 0.9 (0.5, 1.4) for PAD, and 1.6 (1.3, 1.9) for CVD hospitalization]. ConclusionUsing a large health insurance database, we showed that PLWH have an elevated risk of CVD, particularly HF and stroke. With the aging of the HIV population, developing interventions for cardiovascular health promotion and CVD prevention is imperative.

epidemiology↗