Biology subjects

Maioli, F.

Publications and source records attributed to Maioli, F..

4 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2025

Weak effects of local prey density and spatial overlap on predation intensity in a temperate marine ecosystem

Quantifying the impact of lower trophic level species abundance on higher trophic level predators (and vice versa) is critical for understanding marine ecosystem dynamics and for implementing ecosystem-based management. Trophic ecosystem models generally predict a tight coupling between prey and fish predators, such that higher abundance of lower trophic species increases abundance of higher trophic level predators. This assumes that predator feeding rates are limited by prey availability to some degree. Despite being a key component of predator-prey interactions and multi-species fisheries management, relatively few studies have assessed the impacts of prey availability on predation patterns of mobile, generalist fish predators using spatiotemporal models and local-scale stomach content, predator, and prey data. In this study, we explore the association between local density of key prey and predator stomach contents, and predator-prey spatiotemporal overlap and predation indices, using the Baltic Sea as a case study. We use three decades of spatially resolved biomass and stomach content data on Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), and biomass data on three of its key prey: herring (Clupea harengus), the isopod Saduria entomon, and sprat (Sprattus sprattus). Using geostatistical generalized linear mixed effects models fitted to relative biomass density and prey-weight-per-predator-weight, we estimate spatiotemporal trends and annual indices of biomass weighted and area-expanded per-capita and population-level predation, predator-prey overlap, and the correlation between these indices. Range shifts have resulted in reduced predator-prey overlap over time, which is now the lowest in three decades. For Saduria, we find an association between prey availability and stomach contents, but not for herring or sprat. Similarly, only in Saduria do we find a positive correlation between population-level predation indices and the spatiotemporal overlap. Although behavioral interactions with pelagic prey are challenging to infer from stomach content and acoustic data due to high mobility leading to fine-scale spatiotemporal mismatch, the weak connection with local-scale availability, and low correlation between population-level predation and spatial overlap, could imply weaker coupling between pelagic prey and cod than previously thought. These findings provide key information on the strength of species interactions, which is crucial for the continued development of multispecies models and ecosystem-based fisheries management.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2024

Quantifying competition between two demersal fish species from spatiotemporal stomach content data

Inference on competition is often made on indirect patterns of potential competition, such as population trends and spatiotemporal overlap in diet and distribution. However, these indicators do not test if the contested resources are limited in supply, nor if they decline as competitor biomass increases. Using stomach content and biomass data, we evaluate food competition between Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) and flounder (Platichthys spp.) in the Baltic Sea. We quantify diet overlap and fit geostatistical mixed models to evaluate effects of local-scale covariates on stomach contents. The dietary overlap is low and does not decline with predator density. We find that cod feed less on the isopod Saduria entomon at high flounder densities. However, the total prey weight in cod is not affected by flounder densities. This suggests interspecific food competition is not limiting the overall feeding of cod, but affects its diet composition. In addition, we find support for intraspecific food competition in large cod and flounder. Our study illustrates the importance of local-scale processes when inferring competition from stomach content data.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2023

Assessing the overlap between fishing activities and chondrichthyans distribution exposes high-risk areas for bycatch of threatened species

Sharks, rays, and chimaeras (chondrichthyans) play a crucial role in marine ecosystem functioning but are highly vulnerable to fishing. Hence, understanding the spatial overlap between chondrichthyans and fishing effort is essential for effective conservation and management. Here, we propose an integrated approach that combines Vessel Monitoring System data with geostatistical species distribution models to assess the potential impact of fishing on chondrichthyan populations in the western Adriatic Sea. By mapping the overlap between model-based chondrichthyan distribution, species richness, and the proportion of threathened species with bottom trawl fishing activities, we identify areas at high risk for chondrichthyan bycatch. Our findings show that many of these species are at risk across a large part of their distribution within the study area. Notably, there is a substantial spatial overlap between regions where threatened chondrichthyans are found and species-rich areas with locations of intensive bottom trawl fishing in the northern and central offshore regions of the western Adriatic, emphasizing the vulnerability of these species to fishing pressure. Furthermore, differences in overlap between distinct fishing gears highlight the importance of considering specific fishing practices when formulating management strategies. While our work provides novel insights to potential bycatch hotspots, limitations related to data sources, spatial resolution, and the inability to directly quantify fishing impacts should be considered. Nonetheless, our findings contribute to the development of targeted conservation and spatial management measures, offering a general approach to study model-based spatial hotspots aimed at protecting and sustaining chondrichthyan populations in the heavily exploited Adriatic Sea.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2023

Spatio-temporal patterns of whiting (Merlangius merlangus) in the Adriatic Sea under environmental forcing

Understanding how environmental factors affect species distribution is crucial for the conservation and management of marine organisms, especially in the face of global changes. Whiting (Merlangius merlangus) is a demersal temperate fish, considered a relict species in the Adriatic Sea. Despite its significance to commercial fisheries in the region, the specific drivers behind its spatial and temporal patterns have not been thoroughly examined. Here, we fitted a set of Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Models to data collected in the Northern and Central Adriatic from 1999 to 2019 during the Mediterranean International Trawl Survey to investigate the potential influence of depth, seafloor temperature and bottom dissolved oxygen on the annual biomass density and spatial distribution of whiting. Our results showed that depth, and to a lesser degree temperature and oxygen, are important predictors of whiting distribution in spring-summer, with preferences for depths of [~] 45 m, temperature of [~] 15.4 {degrees}C and dissolved oxygen > 5.5 ml L-1. We predicted a persistent core area of distribution in front of the Po River Delta, in the Northern Adriatic Sea, while the density progressively declined towards the Central and Southern Adriatic Sea along the Italian coast. Additionally, the temporal trend exhibited high fluctuations over the years, occurring in cycles of 3 to 4 years. Finally, by comparing the biomass density estimates obtained under optimum conditions with those derived from the actual values for each variable, our analysis revealed that temperature had a pronounced and general impact on biomass density in the northern survey area (prediction revealed a ratio of density reduction of approximatively a half), while oxygen displayed a minor and more localized influence. This work deepens the current knowledge about the ecology of whiting in the Adriatic Sea and provides support for the conservation and management of this species.

ecology↗