Biology subjects

Magurran, A.

Publications and source records attributed to Magurran, A..

6 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2023

Disentangling non-random structure from random placement when estimating β-diversity through space or time

There is considerable interest in understanding patterns of {beta}-diversity that measure the amount of change in species composition through space or time. Most hypotheses for {beta}-diversity evoke nonrandom processes that generate spatial and temporal within species aggregation; however, {beta}-diversity can also be driven by random sampling processes. Here, we describe a framework based on rarefaction curves that quantifies the non-random contribution of species compositional differences across samples to {beta}-diversity. We isolate the effect of within-species spatial or temporal aggregation on beta-diversity using a coverage standardized metric of {beta}-diversity ({beta}C). We demonstrate the utility of our framework using simulations and an empirical case study examining variation in avian species composition through space and time in engineered versus natural riparian areas. The primary strengths of our approach are that it provides an intuitive visual null model for expected patterns of biodiversity under random sampling that allows integrating analyses across -, {gamma}-, and {beta}-scales. Importantly, the method can accommodate comparisons between communities with different species pool sizes, and can be used to examine species turnover both within and between meta-communities. Open Research statement: all code and data used in this manuscript are available at the following link: https://github.com/MoBiodiv/beta_concept

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bioRxiv2022

Synthesis reveals biotic homogenisation and differentiation are both common

It is commonly thought that the biodiversity crisis includes widespread decreases in the uniqueness of different sites in a landscape (biotic homogenization). Using a typology relating homogenization and differentiation to local and regional diversity changes, we synthesize patterns across 283 metacommunities surveyed for 10-91 years, and 54 species checklists (13-500+ years). On average, there is a 0.2% increase in species shared among communities/year (i.e., weak homogenization), but across data sets, differentiation frequently occurs, with no statistically significant change being most common. Local (not regional) diversity frequently underlies composition change, and homogenization is strongly associated with checklist data that have longer durations and large spatial scales. Conservation and management can benefit from the multiscale perspective used here as it disentangles the implications of both the differentiation and homogenization currently unfolding. One-Sentence SummaryBiotic homogenization is most prevalent at large temporal and spatial scales.

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bioRxiv2021

Local biodiversity change reflects interactions among changing abundance, evenness and richness

Biodiversity metrics often integrate data on the presence and abundance of multiple species. Yet understanding covariation of changes to the numbers of individuals, the evenness of species relative abundances, and the total number of species remains limited. Using individual-based rarefaction curves, we introduce a conceptual framework to understand how expected positive relationships among changes in abundance, evenness and richness arise, and how they can break down. We then examined interdependencies between changes in abundance, evenness and richness in more than 1100 assemblages sampled either through time or across space. As predicted, richness changes were greatest when abundance and evenness changed in the same direction, and countervailing changes in abundance and evenness acted to constrain the magnitude of changes in species richness. Site-to-site changes in abundance, evenness, and richness were often decoupled, and pairwise relationships between changes in these components across assemblages were weak. In contrast, changes in species richness and relative abundance were strongly correlated for assemblages varying through time. Temporal changes in local biodiversity showed greater inertia and stronger relationships between the component changes when compared to site-to-site variation. Local variation in assemblage diversity was rarely due to a passive sample from a more or less static species abundance distribution. Instead, changing species relative abundances often dominated local variation in diversity. Moreover, how changing relative abundances combined with changes to total abundance frequently determined the magnitude of richness changes. Embracing the interdependencies between changing abundance, evenness and richness can provide new information for better understanding biodiversity change in the Anthropocene.

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bioRxiv2018

Forest loss as a catalyst of population and biodiversity change

Global assessments have highlighted land-use change as a key driver of biodiversity change. However, we lack real-world global-scale estimates of how habitat transformations such as forest loss and gain are reshaping biodiversity over time. Here, we quantify the influence of 150 years of forest cover change on populations and ecological assemblages worldwide and across taxa by analyzing change in 6,667 time series. We found that forest loss simultaneously intensified ongoing increases and decreases in abundance, species richness and temporal species replacement (turnover) by up to 48%. Temporal lags in these responses extended up to 50 years and increased with species generation time. Our findings demonstrate that land-use change precipitates divergent population and biodiversity change, highlighting the complex biotic consequences of deforestation and afforestation.\n\nOne Sentence SummaryDeclines in forest cover amplify both gains and losses in population abundance and biodiversity over time.

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bioRxiv2018

Biodiversity trends are stronger in marine than terrestrial assemblages

Human activities have fundamentally altered biodiversity. Extinction rates are elevated and model projections suggest drastic biodiversity declines. Yet, observed temporal trends in recent decades are highly variable, despite consistent change in species composition. Here, we uncover clear spatial patterns within this variation. We estimated trends in the richness and composition of assemblages in over 50,000 time-series, to provide the most comprehensive assessment of temporal change in biodiversity across the planet to date. The strongest, most consistent pattern shows compositional change dominated by species turnover, with marine taxa experiencing up to fourfold the variation in rates of change of terrestrial taxa. Richness change ranged from no change to richness gains or losses of ~10% per year, with tropical marine biomes experiencing the most extreme changes. Earth is undergoing a process of spatial reorganisation of species and, while few areas are unaffected, biodiversity change is consistently strongest in the oceans.

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bioRxiv2018

The geography of the Anthropocene differs between the land and the sea

O_LIClimate change and other anthropogenic drivers of biodiversity change are unequally distributed across the world. The geographic patterns of different drivers, and the spatial overlap among these drivers, have important implications for the direction and pace of biodiversity change, yet are not well documented. Moreover, it is unknown if the geographic patterns of drivers differ between the terrestrial and marine realm, as expected due to marked differences in how humans interact with the land and ocean. C_LIO_LIWe compiled global gridded datasets on climate change, land-use, resource exploitation, pollution, species invasions, and human population density. We used multivariate statistics to examine the spatial relationships among the datasets and to characterize the typical combinations of drivers experienced by different parts of the world. C_LIO_LIWe found stronger positive correlations among drivers in the terrestrial than in the marine realm, leading to areas of high intensities of multiple drivers on land. Climate change tended to be negatively correlated with other drivers in the terrestrial realm (e.g., in the tundra and boreal forest with high climate change but low human use and pollution) whereas the opposite was true in the marine realm (e.g., in the Indo-Pacific with high climate change and high fishing). C_LIO_LIWe show that different regions of the world can be defined by anthropogenic threat complexes (ATCs), distinguished by different sets of drivers with varying intensities. The ATCs can be used to test hypothesis about the pattern of biodiversity change, especially the joint effects of multiple drivers. More generally, our global analysis highlights the broad conservation priorities needed to mitigate the effects of anthropogenic change on biodiversity responses, with different priorities emerging on land and in the ocean, and in different parts of the world. C_LI

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