Biology subjects

Macarthur, J. A.

Publications and source records attributed to Macarthur, J. A..

7 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Pumping stations negatively affect the distribution of critically endangered European eel (Anguilla anguilla); a landscape-scale study using environmental DNA metabarcoding

Context Pumping stations pose a threat to fish globally through land use change, habitat fragmentation and entrainment risk, with the catadromous and critically endangered European eel particularly impacted. Objectives/methods Establish, model, assess and understand the present-day distribution of European eel and resident fishes in 152 pumping station catchments in a once extensive wetland (The Fens) using eDNA metabarcoding (855 samples over two and half years), with specific focus on anthropogenic influences on hydrological connectivity and habitat quality. A removal survey design maximised confidence in negative results while minimising time and consumable costs. Results Eel occurrence upstream of pumping stations was low (occupancy = 28.3%) and positively associated with catchment area, fish species richness and natural hydrological connectivity (gravity drainage or flooding) and negatively associated with distance from the tidal limit. Fish species richness replaced catchment area and improved model performance, potentially acting as a biotic indicator of habitat quality and connectivity. Pumped catchments with manually operated upstream water transfers had reduced eel presence, potentially linked to the direction of water flow or the timing of operation. By contrast, fish species richness increased in these catchments during summer, suggesting displacement into unsuitable long-term habitats. Physical habitat maintenance had no detectable effect on eel occurrence or fish species richness. Conclusions This study provides the first landscape-scale assessment of European eel distribution and drivers of occurrence in pumped river catchments. The highly novel and comprehensive insights have implications for European eel conservation as well as infrastructure and catchment management, including compliance with legislation (EC Regulation No. 1100/2007).

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bioRxiv2026

Biodiversity effects of beaver activity in a semi-natural enclosure revealed by eDNA

O_LIEnvironmental DNA (eDNA) metabarcoding is an emerging tool for biodiversity assessment in freshwater systems, offering high-resolution insights into community composition. Here, we apply eDNA metabarcoding to evaluate the ecological impacts of Eurasian beaver (Castor fiber) activity within a seminatural enclosure in the Scottish Highlands. C_LIO_LIWe collected seasonal water samples from nine sites, six influenced by beaver dams and three control sites with no evidence of beaver engineering, across a 40-hectare enclosure. Samples were analysed for vertebrate and macroinvertebrate diversity using established 12S and COI markers. C_LIO_LIVertebrate alpha diversity did not differ significantly between beaver and control sites, likely reflecting the small spatial scale and low species richness of upland Scottish streams. However, community composition differed significantly between treatments, especially for fish (PERMANOVA, R2 = 0.55, P < 0.001), with beaver-influenced sites dominated by three-spined stickleback and control sites by brown trout. Macroinvertebrate communities showed a 78% increase in gamma diversity in beaver-modified habitats relative to controls. Species composition varied strongly with beaver presence (PERMANOVA, R2 = 0.29, P < 0.001), likely due to the creation of lentic-lotic mosaics and associated microhabitat diversity. Seasonal variation was significant in both taxonomic groups, with the lowest species richness and highest community dispersion observed in summer, probably reflecting hydrological and temperature-driven dynamics in eDNA production and transport. C_LIO_LIOur findings reinforce previous evidence that beaver dam-building activity enhances beta diversity in headwater systems. Additionally, we demonstrate that eDNA metabarcoding is a sensitive method for detecting spatial patterns in freshwater biodiversity associated with these activities at scales ranging from tens to hundreds of meters. These approaches could inform future monitoring strategies aligned with landscape-scale beaver management and reintroductions. C_LI

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bioRxiv2026

Species-specific versus community-wide assays in eDNA monitoring of European eel Anguilla anguilla: Trade-offs between detection sensitivity and the value of additional community data

Effective monitoring of the critically endangered European eel (Anguilla anguilla) is essential for conservation planning and regulatory decision-making, particularly in heavily fragmented rivers. Environmental DNA (eDNA) methods offer sensitive alternatives to traditional surveys, but there is uncertainty around whether targeted assays or community-wide approaches are better suited to achieve monitoring objectives. We compared eDNA metabarcoding and species-specific quantitative PCR (qPCR) for detecting A. anguilla across 145 pumped catchments in the Fens, East Anglia, England. All sites were sampled once initially, and sites negative for A. anguilla were re-sampled based on metabarcoding results. This allowed comparison of detection rates from a single water sample and site-level retrospective identification of sites where qPCR could have identified A. anguilla in earlier samples. The findings were also set in the context of the wider biodiversity information generated by metabarcoding. From the initial (single) water sample, qPCR detected A. anguilla at seven more sites than metabarcoding (17 versus 10). With repeated sampling, metabarcoding detected A. anguilla at 43 sites, including all but one of the sites where qPCR detected A. anguilla, and ten sites where qPCR did not detect A. anguilla within the same number of samples. Indeed, the additional sampling effort required to detect A. anguilla with metabarcoding at sites also positive with qPCR was small relative to the overall sampling effort. Furthermore, metabarcoding additionally detected 28 non-target fish species alongside fish, amphibian and mammal species of conservation concern. Our results highlight trade-offs between target-species sensitivity and the broader ecological information provided by each method, and support metabarcoding as an effective tool for a holistic conservation approach, with the additional community data outweighing the marginally increased sensitivity of qPCR.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2026

Process-based model predicts seasonal variation in eDNA transport - a case study on Eurasian beavers in a small river

Robust methods to monitor species distributions are vital to ensuring successful conservation strategies, particularly in the case of conservation translocations. Environmental DNA (eDNA) from water samples is a cost-effective method to monitor species distributions without physical capture or disturbance. However, eDNA is vulnerable to long-distance transport depending on the hydrological and environmental characteristics which can lead to spatially false positives and ultimately inaccurate species distributions. Recently, the development of particle transport models has allowed researchers to integrate hydrological and environmental variables to predict how far eDNA will transport from a source point. Here, eDNA samples (n=218) were collected and quantified using digital PCR (dPCR) to study monthly changes in Eurasian beaver (Castor fiber) eDNA concentrations downstream of an enclosure which contained 4 - 5 beavers located in Scotland. The shortest eDNA transport distances (< 2 km) were observed in the summer which correlated with the lowest flows and highest temperatures. In contrast, throughout the winter eDNA was consistently detected up to 5.8 km downstream correlating with the highest discharge and lowest temperature. The eDNA transport model reliably reproduced the decrease in eDNA concentrations downstream of the enclosure, however there were challenges surrounding stream-specific decay rates following a confluence. To study localised species distributions, samples should be collected during summer low flow conditions. Conversely, to maximise species detections sampling should be conducted in winter which had the longest eDNA transport and highest detectability.

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bioRxiv2025

eDNA sampling reveals no negative effects of beaver recolonisation on the catchment-scale distribution of migratory fish

O_LIReintroduction of keystone species is considered part of the solution to the current biodiversity crisis. The Eurasian beaver (Castor fiber) is one such species, shaping its habitat by felling trees, building dams and creating wetlands. However, while the potential benefits to aquatic biodiversity and ecological functioning have been studied on a local scale, the impacts of beavers on catchment-scale processes such as fish migration remain understudied. C_LIO_LISequencing of environmental DNA (eDNA metabarcoding) from water samples is a cost-effective method to study species distributions across large geographical scales. Here, eDNA samples (n=426) were collected from 142 sites across the UKs oldest and largest established wild beaver population, located on Tayside, East Scotland, and analysed using a vertebrate specific metabarcoding assay. We combined presence/absence data from eDNA results with other environmental and anthropogenic variables to model the effects of beaver presence on the distribution of three migratory fish species. C_LIO_LIUsing generalised linear models, we found no effects of the current beaver presence on the distribution of Atlantic salmon or lamprey, but a positive co-occurrence with European eel at the catchment scale. Model outputs also reinforced previous findings on the impact of barriers to migration and other abiotic and biotic factors on fish species, demonstrating the effectiveness of eDNA sampling in rivers for understanding species distributions at a catchment scale. C_LIO_LIThis case study provides novel insights into the co-distribution of beavers and migratory fish, and highlights how catchment-wide eDNA monitoring can be applied by environmental managers to aid decision-making and impact assessment more generally. C_LI

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bioRxiv2024

Seasonal changes in fish eDNA signal vary between contrasting river types

Due to the societal reliance on goods and services provided by river systems, and their close proximity to settlements, few modern-day rivers are without significant anthropogenic modifications. The natural river hydrology is often altered as a consequence of pumping water for flood alleviation, retaining water for irrigation and modifying channels for navigation. In recent years, water pumping stations have been found to have several adverse impacts, including fish mortality (direct and indirect) and habitat fragmentation. More broadly, modern-day river systems face a myriad of anthropogenic flow and channel modifications, with varying impacts on different fish life stages. To manage such risks in line with policy, knowledge of the overall fish community and priority species present is required. It is therefore important to understand the robustness of developing survey strategies across differently managed river systems. This study investigates the seasonal patterns of environmental DNA (eDNA) metabarcoding detections from water samples, taken across three differently managed river types over a one-year period. We observed some significant seasonal variation in detection rates and fish communities; however, this variation was not consistent among river types. Despite this, we found comparatively poor fish communities upstream of pumping stations all year-round, with pumped catchments containing significantly fewer species than the adjacent main river channel and our regional control site. Finally, we highlight that seasonal variation in detectability for the overall fish community may not always reflect that of priority species. In our case, we found favourable European eel (Anguilla anguilla) detection in the summer months across all river types. It is therefore recommended that rather than focusing on overall detectability, policy driven targeted surveys should be designed with priority species ecology in mind.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2024

Proving a negative; estimating species 'Confidence in Absence for Decision-Making' (CIADM) using environmental DNA monitoring

O_LIPolicy-driven decision-making is an important aspect of environmental management globally, often focused on protecting priority species. However, declining trends in freshwater biodiversity have resulted in a lack of up-to-date knowledge regarding the distribution of rare and elusive species. Furthermore, when dealing with priority species, it is sometimes more important to provide a confident assessment of absence, than merely confirm their presence. Without such confident assessments, resource intensive management plans may be misplaced, and not adequately targeted to conserve important remaining populations. C_LIO_LIHere, we present a framework to estimate confidence in absence, referred to as "Confidence in Absence for Decision-Making" (CIADM), based on single-visit environmental DNA metabarcoding data obtained from water samples. It uses a case study of European eel presence / absence upstream of 44 water pumping stations, given their critically endangered status and the legislative drivers for remediation (EC Eel Regulation 1100/2007, Eels (England and Wales) Regulation 2009). Through a high degree of biological (sample) and technical (PCR) replication, we retrospectively assigned confidence in absence values and proposed various strategies to achieve the required confidence levels in future surveys. C_LIO_LIOur findings indicate that 17 out of 44 pumping stations tested positive for eel, and we were able to assign a >99% confidence level that the remaining 27 sites were negative for eel DNA at the time of sampling. Increasing both biological and technical replication increased confidence in absence values. For example, using three PCR replicates per sample, required four replicate biological samples to achieve >95% and six to achieve >99% confidence in eel absence given non-detection. However, we estimate that by using seven PCR replicates per sample a >99% confidence in eel absence following non-detection could be achieved with only three replicate biological samples. Furthermore, we found that eel positive sites had significantly higher species richness, and fish communities differed between eel positive and eel negative sites. C_LIO_LIThis study highlights the importance of optimising workflow specific replication, and provides an adaptable framework to produce confidence estimations of priority species absence given non-detection. C_LI

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