Biology subjects

Little, C. T. S.

Publications and source records attributed to Little, C. T. S..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Temporal resolution reshapes dynamics of inferred community structure and extinction selectivity across the Permian-Triassic mass extinction

The Permian-Triassic mass extinction fundamentally restructured ecosystems, yet it remains unresolved whether ecological collapse unfolded gradually or in discrete steps, and how extinction selectivity varied with environmental change. Here, we analyse marine food webs from Meishan (China) at high temporal resolution. We show that trophic structure destabilised prior to peak biodiversity loss, followed by a structural tipping point during the extinction interval when the community became less robust to secondary extinctions. Extinction selectivity shifted substantially across the study interval. During the extinction interval, extinction was concentrated at lower trophic levels, propagating upwards from benthic herbivores to higher-level consumers. Although coarse resolution preserves temporal trends in trophic structure and extinction selectivity, it obscures abrupt transitions, sequential extinction dynamics, and critical shifts in ecological organisation. We demonstrate that temporal resolution governs inference of extinction dynamics, with important implications for reconstructing past ecological crises and interpreting ecosystem responses to rapid environmental change.

paleontology↗

bioRxiv2026

No global collapse of food webs across the Permian-Triassic Mass Extinction

The Permian-Triassic mass extinction (PTME), the Earths most severe biotic crisis associated with extreme environmental perturbations, eliminated >80% of marine species1. However, whether it triggered a globally pervasive top-down collapse of marine food webs, and whether recovery proceeded through bottom-up reassembly, remain unresolved2-4. Here we reconstruct spatially explicit metacommunity food webs from seven regions spanning equatorial to high latitudes to test how extinction dynamics and ecosystem reorganization varied geographically. By integrating estimates of community structure and species interactions, we provide direct inference on trophic disruption across the PTME. Despite catastrophic species loss and flattening of the latitudinal diversity gradient5, trophic collapse was not globally uniform, and higher trophic levels were not globally truncated. Instead, extinction selectivity was spatially heterogenous and tracked environmental severity. Benthic, low-motility herbivores with limited respiratory capacity were disproportionately lost, consistent with intensified warming, deoxygenation and disruption of primary productivity under elevated pCO2. Mid-to high-latitude communities became top-heavy and structurally complex, whereas tropical systems remained bottom-heavy and less robust to secondary extinction. These results demonstrate that trophic disruption and recovery were geographically structured, mediated by environmental forcing, species traits and pre-extinction food-web architecture, with implications for predicting marine ecosystem responses to ongoing climate change.

paleontology↗

bioRxiv2022

Extinction cascades, community collapse, and recovery across a Mesozoic hyperthermal event

Biotic interactions and community structure are seldom examined in mass extinction studies but must be considered if we are to truly understand extinction and recovery dynamics at the ecosystem scale. Here, we model shallow marine food web structure across the Toarcian extinction event in the Cleveland Basin, UK using a trait-based inferential modelling framework. First, we subjected our pre-extinction community to extinction cascade simulations in order to identify the nature of extinction selectivity and dynamics. Second, we tracked the pattern and duration of the recovery of ecosystem structure and function following the extinction event. In agreement with postulated scenarios, we found that primary extinctions targeted towards infaunal and epifaunal benthic guilds reproduced the empirical post-extinction community. These results are consistent with geochemical and lithological evidence of an anoxia/dysoxia kill mechanism for this extinction event. Structural and functional metrics show that the extinction event caused a switch from a diverse, stable community with high levels of functional redundancy to a less diverse, more densely connected, and less stable community of generalists. Ecological recovery appears to have lagged behind the recovery of biodiversity, with most metrics only beginning to return to pre-extinction levels [~]7 million years after the extinction event. This protracted pattern supports the theory of delayed benthic ecosystem recovery following mass extinctions even in the face of seemingly recovering taxonomic diversity.

paleontology↗