Biology subjects

Leivits, A.

Publications and source records attributed to Leivits, A..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2024

Continent-wide drivers of spatial synchrony in age structure across wild great tit populations

Spatio-temporal variation in age structure influences population dynamics, yet we have limited understanding of the spatial scale at which its fluctuations are synchronised between populations. Using 32 great tit populations, spanning 3200km and >130,000 birds across 67 years, we quantify spatial synchrony in breeding age structure and its drivers. We show that larger clutch sizes, colder winters and summers, and larger beech crops lead to younger populations. We report distant-dependent spatial synchrony of age structure, which is maintained at approximately 650km. Despite covariation with age structure, reproductive and environmental variables do not influence the scale of synchrony, except for a moderate effect of beech masting. We suggest that local ecological and density-dependent dynamics impact how environmental variation interacts with age structure, influencing estimates of the environments effect on spatial synchrony. Our analyses demonstrate the operation of synchrony in age structure over large scales, with implications for age-dependent demography in populations.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2020

Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less responsive to climatic variation

The phenology of many species shows strong sensitivity to climate change; however, with few large scale intra-specific studies it is unclear how such sensitivity varies over a species range. We document large intra-specific variation in phenological sensitivity to temperature using laying date information from 67 populations of two European songbirds covering a large part of their breeding range. Populations inhabiting deciduous habitats showed stronger phenological sensitivity compared with those in evergreen and mixed habitats. Strikingly, however, the lowest sensitivity was seen in populations that had experienced the greatest change in climate. Therefore, we predict that the strongest phenological advancement will not occur in those populations with the highest sensitivity. Our results show that to effectively assess the impact of climate change on phenology across a species range it will be necessary to account for intra-specific variation in phenological sensitivity, climate change exposure, and the ecological characteristics of a population.

ecology↗