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Lauring, A. S.

Publications and source records attributed to Lauring, A. S..

29 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

The effective population size and mutation rate of influenza A virus in acutely infected individuals

The global evolutionary dynamics of influenza viruses ultimately derive from processes that take place within and between infected individuals. Recent work suggests that within-host populations are dynamic, but an in vivo estimate of mutation rate and population size in naturally infected individuals remains elusive. Here we model the within-host dynamics of influenza A viruses using high depth of coverage sequence data from 200 acute infections in an outpatient, community setting. Using a Wright-Fisher model, we estimate a within-host effective population size of 32-72 and an in vivo mutation rate of 3.4x10-6 per nucleotide per generation.

microbiology↗

The early evolution of oral poliovirus vaccine is shaped by strong positive selection and tight transmission bottlenecks

The evolution of circulating vaccine-derived polioviruses (cVDPV) from components of the live-attenuated oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) presents a major challenge to global polio eradication. This process has largely been characterized by consensus sequencing of isolates collected from routine surveillance, and little is known about the early evolution of OPV within vaccinated hosts. These early events are critical steps in the progression of OPV to cVDPV. Here, we use whole genome, high depth of coverage sequencing to define the evolutionary trajectories of monovalent type 2 OPV in a cluster-randomized trial of polio vaccines in Matlab, Bangladesh. By sequencing 416 longitudinal samples from 219 mOPV2 recipients and 81 samples from 52 household contacts, we were able to examine the extent of convergent evolution in vaccine recipients and track the amount of viral diversity transmitted to new hosts. Using time-series data from a synchronized point of vaccine administration, we identify strong positive selection of reversion mutations at three known attenuating sites within two months post-vaccination. Beyond these three recognized "gate-keeper" mutations, we identify 19 mutations that exhibit significant parallelism across vaccine recipients, providing evidence for early positive selection not previously detected by phylogenetic inference. An analysis of shared genetic variants in samples from vaccinated individuals and their household contacts suggests a tight effective bottleneck during transmission. The absence of positively selected variants among household contacts across the cohort suggests that this tight bottleneck limits the transmission of these early adaptive mutations. Together, our results highlight the distinct evolutionary dynamics of live attenuated virus vaccines and have important implications for the success of novel OPV2 and other next generation approaches. SignificanceThe emergence of circulating vaccine-derived polioviruses (cVDPV) through evolution of the oral polio vaccine (OPV) poses a significant obstacle to global eradication. Understanding the genetic changes in OPV that occur as it evolves and transmits in populations is important for preventing future cVDPV outbreaks. Little is known about the early events in VDPV evolution and the selective forces that drive them. We used high depth-of-coverage genome sequencing to assess the within-host evolutionary dynamics of monovalent type 2 OPV in a vaccine trial in Matlab, Bangladesh. We leverage longitudinal sampling from vaccine recipients and household contacts to identify mutations that arise in parallel across individuals and estimate the size of the transmission bottleneck. We find evidence for strong positive selection on key sites in the capsid and the 5 noncoding region, many of which have not been previously identified. Our results also suggest that narrow transmission bottlenecks can constrain the spread of mutations selected within individuals. These results provide important insights into how OPV variants spread in populations and are highly relevant for ongoing poliovirus surveillance and the design of improved polio vaccines.

microbiology↗

Pre-existing immunity provides a barrier to airborne transmission of influenza viruses

Human-to-human transmission of influenza viruses is a serious public health threat, yet the precise role of immunity from previous infections on the susceptibility to airborne viruses is still unknown. Using human seasonal influenza viruses in a ferret model, we examined the roles of exposure duration and heterosubtypic immunity on influenza transmission. We found that airborne transmission of seasonal influenza strains is abrogated in recipient animals with pre-existing non-neutralizing immunity, indicating that transmissibility of a given influenza virus strain should be examined in the context of ferrets that are not immunologically naive.

microbiology↗

Influenza B viruses exhibit lower within-host diversity than influenza A viruses in human hosts

Influenza B virus undergoes seasonal antigenic drift more slowly than influenza A, but the reasons for this difference are unclear. While the evolutionary dynamics of influenza viruses play out globally, they are fundamentally driven by mutation, reassortment, drift, and selection within individual hosts. These processes have recently been described for influenza A virus, but little is known about the evolutionary dynamics of influenza B virus (IBV) at the level of individual infections and transmission events. Here we define the within-host evolutionary dynamics of influenza B virus by sequencing virus populations from naturally-infected individuals enrolled in a prospective, community-based cohort over 8176 person-seasons of observation. Through analysis of high depth-of-coverage sequencing data from samples from 91 individuals with influenza B, we find that influenza B virus accumulates lower genetic diversity than previously observed for influenza A virus during acute infections. Consistent with studies of influenza A viruses, the within-host evolution of influenza B viruses is characterized by purifying selection and the general absence of widespread positive selection of within-host variants. Analysis of shared genetic diversity across 15 sequence-validated transmission pairs suggests that IBV experiences a tight transmission bottleneck similar to that of influenza A virus. These patterns of local-scale evolution are consistent with influenza B virus slower global evolutionary rate.\n\nImportanceThe evolution of influenza virus is a significant public health problem and necessitates the annual evaluation of influenza vaccine formulation to keep pace with viral escape from herd immunity. Influenza B virus is a serious health concern for children, in particular, yet remains understudied compared to influenza A virus. Influenza B virus evolves more slowly than influenza A, but the factors underlying this are not completely understood. We studied how the within-host diversity of influenza B virus relates to its global evolution by sequencing viruses from a community-based cohort. We found that influenza B virus populations have lower within-host genetic diversity than influenza A virus and experience a tight genetic bottleneck during transmission. Our work provides insights into the varying dynamics of influenza viruses in human infection.

microbiology↗

Antibodies against egg- and cell-grown influenza A(H3N2) viruses in adults hospitalized during the 2017-2018 season

BackgroundThe 2017-2018 US influenza season was severe with low vaccine effectiveness. Circulating A(H3N2) viruses from multiple genetic groups were antigenically similar to cell-grown vaccine strains. However, most influenza vaccines are egg-propagated.\n\nMethodsSerum was collected shortly after illness onset from 15 PCR confirmed A(H3N2) infected cases and 15 uninfected (controls) hospitalized adults enrolled in an influenza vaccine effectiveness study.\n\nGeometric mean titers against egg- and cell-grown A/Hong Kong/4801/2014 A(H3N2) vaccine strains and representative circulating viruses (including A/Washington/16/2017) were determined by microneutralization (MN) assays. Independent effects of strain-specific titers on susceptibility were estimated by logistic regression.\n\nResultsMN titers against egg-A/Hong Kong were significantly higher among those who were vaccinated (MN GMT: 173 vs 41; P = 0.01). However, antibody titers to cell-grown viruses were much lower in all individuals (P>0.05) regardless of vaccination. In unadjusted models, a 2-fold increase in MN titers against egg-A/Hong Kong was not significantly protective against infection (29% reduction; p=0.09), but a similar increase in cell-A/Washington titer (3C.2a2) was protective (60% reduction; p=0.02). A similar increase in egg-A/Hong Kong titer was not significantly associated with odds of infection when adjusting for MN titers against A/Washington (15% reduction; P=0.61). A 54% reduction of odds of infection was observed with a 2-fold increase in A/Washington (not significant; P=0.07), adjusted for egg-A/Hong Kong titer.\n\nConclusionAlthough individuals vaccinated in 2017-2018 had high antibody titers against the egg-adapted vaccine strain, antibody responses to cell-grown circulating viruses may not be sufficient to provide protection, likely due to egg-adaptation in the vaccine.

epidemiology↗

Evaluation of correlates of protection against influenza A(H3N2) and A(H1N1)pdm09 infection: Applications to the hospitalized patient population.

BackgroundInfluenza vaccines are important for prevention of influenza-associated hospitalization. Assessments of serologic correlates of protection can support interpretation of influenza vaccine effectiveness evaluations in hospitalized populations.\n\nMethodsSerum specimens collected at admission from adults hospitalized for treatment of acute respiratory illnesses during two influenza seasons were tested in hemagglutination-inhibition (HAI) and neuraminidase-inhibition (NAI) assays. We evaluated the suitability of these specimens as proxies for pre-infection immune status, and measured associations between antibody titers and influenza vaccination and infection\n\nResultsSpecimens were collected within 3 days of illness onset from 65% of participants; geometric mean titers (GMTs) did not vary by day of collection. In both seasons, vaccinated participants had higher HAI and NAI GMTs than unvaccinated participants. HAI titers against the 2014-2015 A(H3N2) vaccine strain did not correlate with protection from infection with antigenically-drifted A(H3N2) viruses that circulated that season. In contrast, higher HAI titers against the A(H1N1)pdm09 vaccine strain were associated with reduced odds of A(H1N1)pdm09 infection in 2015-2016.\n\nConclusionsSerum collected after hospital admission can be used to assess correlates of protection against influenza infection. Broader implementation of similar studies would provide an opportunity to understand the successes and shortcomings of current influenza vaccines.

epidemiology↗

A speed-fidelity trade-off determines the mutation rate and virulence of an RNA virus

Mutation rates can evolve through genetic drift, indirect selection due to genetic hitchhiking, or direct selection on the physicochemical cost of high fidelity. However, for many systems, it has been difficult to disentangle the relative impact of these forces empirically. In RNA viruses, an observed correlation between mutation rate and virulence has led many to argue that their extremely high mutation rates are advantageous, because they may allow for increased adaptability. This argument has profound implications, as it suggests that pathogenesis in many viral infections depends on rare or de novo mutations. Here we present data for an alternative model whereby RNA viruses evolve high mutation rates as a byproduct of selection for increased replicative speed. We find that a poliovirus antimutator, 3DG64S, has a significant replication defect and that wild type and 3DG64S populations have similar adaptability in two distinct cellular environments. Experimental evolution of 3DG64S under r-selection led to reversion and compensation of the fidelity phenotype. Mice infected with 3DG64S exhibited delayed morbidity at doses well above the LD50, consistent with attenuation by slower growth as opposed to reduced mutational supply. Furthermore, compensation of the 3DG64S growth defect restored virulence, while compensation of the fidelity phenotype did not. Our data are consistent with the kinetic proofreading model for biosynthetic reactions and suggest that speed is more important than accuracy. In contrast to what has been suggested for many RNA viruses, we find that within host spread is associated with viral replicative speed and not standing genetic diversity.\n\nAuthor SummaryMutation rate evolution has long been a fundamental problem in evolutionary biology. The polymerases of RNA viruses generally lack proofreading activity and exhibit extremely high mutation rates. Since most mutations are deleterious and mutation rates are tuned by natural selection, we asked why hasnt the virus evolved to have a lower mutation rate? We used experimental evolution and a murine infection model to show that RNA virus mutation rates may actually be too high and are not necessarily adaptive. Rather, our data indicate that viral mutation rates are driven higher as a result of selection for viruses with faster replication kinetics. We suggest that viruses have high mutation rates, not because they facilitate adaption, but because it is hard to be both fast and accurate.

microbiology↗

The evolutionary dynamics of influenza A virus within and between human hosts

The global evolutionary dynamics of influenza virus ultimately derive from processes that take place within and between infected individuals. Here we define the dynamics of influenza A virus populations in human hosts through next generation sequencing of 249 specimens from 200 individuals collected over 6290 person-seasons of observation. Because these viruses were collected over 5 seasons from individuals in a prospective community-based cohort, they are broadly representative of natural human infections with seasonal viruses. We used viral sequence data from 35 serially sampled individuals to estimate a within host effective population size of 30-70 and an in vivo mutation rate of 4x10-5 per nucleotide per cellular infectious cycle. These estimates are consistent across several models and robust to the models' underlying assumptions. We also identified 43 epidemiologically linked and genetically validated transmission pairs. Maximum likelihood optimization of multiple transmission models estimates an effective transmission bottleneck of 1-2 distinct genomes. Our data suggest that positive selection of novel viral variants is inefficient at the level of the individual host and that genetic drift and other stochastic processes dominate the within and between host evolution of influenza A viruses.

microbiology↗

Epistatic interactions within the influenza virus polymerase complex mediate mutagen resistance and replication fidelity

Lethal mutagenesis is a broad-spectrum antiviral strategy that employs mutagenic nucleoside analogs to exploit the high mutation rate and low mutational tolerance of many RNA viruses. Studies of mutagen-resistant viruses have identified determinants of replicative fidelity and the importance of mutation rate to viral population dynamics. We have previously demonstrated the effective lethal mutagenesis of influenza virus using three nucleoside analogs as well as the viruss high genetic barrier to mutagen resistance. Here, we investigate the mutagen-resistant phenotypes of mutations that were enriched in drug-treated populations. We find that PB1 T123A has higher replicative fitness than the wild type, PR8, and maintains its level of genome production during 5-fluorouracil treatment. Surprisingly, this mutagen-resistant variant also has an increased baseline rate of C to U and G to A mutations. A second drug-selected mutation, PA T97I, interacts epistatically with PB T123A to mediate high-level mutagen resistance, predominantly by limiting the inhibitory effect of nucleosides on polymerase activity. Consistent with the importance of epistatic interactions in the influenza polymerase, we find that nucleoside analog resistance and replication fidelity are strain dependent. Two previously identified ribavirin-resistance mutations, PB1 V43I and PB1 D27N, do not confer drug resistance in the PR8 background, and the PR8-PB1 V43I polymerase exhibits a normal baseline mutation rate. Our results highlight the genetic complexity of the influenza virus polymerase and demonstrate that increased replicative capacity is a mechanism by which an RNA virus can counter the negative effects of elevated mutation rates.\n\nImportanceRNA viruses exist as genetically diverse populations. This standing genetic diversity gives them the potential to adapt rapidly, evolve resistance to antiviral therapeutics, and evade immune responses. Viral mutants with altered mutation rates or mutational tolerance have provided insights into how genetic diversity arises and how it affects the behavior of RNA viruses. To this end, we identified variants within the polymerase complex of influenza virus that are able tolerate drug-mediated increases in viral mutation rates. We find that drug resistance is highly dependent on interactions among mutations in the polymerase complex. In contrast to other viruses, influenza virus counters the effect of higher mutation rates primarily by maintaining high levels of genome replication. These findings suggest the importance of maintaining large population sizes for viruses with high mutation rates and show that multiple proteins can affect both mutation rate and genome synthesis.

microbiology↗

The mutation rates and mutational bias of influenza A virus

Influenza virus has a high mutation rate, and this low replicative fidelity contributes to its capacity for rapid evolution. Clonal sequencing and fluctuation tests have suggested that the mutation rate of influenza A virus is 7.1 x 10-6 - 4.5 x 10-5 substitutions per nucleotide per cell infection cycle and 2.7 x 10-6 - 3.0 x 10-5 substitutions per nucleotide per strand copied (s/n/r). However, sequencing assays are biased toward mutations with minimal impacts on viral fitness and fluctuation tests typically investigate only a subset of the twelve mutational classes. We developed a fluctuation test based on reversion to fluorescence in a set of virally encoded mutant green fluorescent proteins. This method allowed us to measure the rates of selectively neutral mutations representative of all 12 mutational classes in the context of an unstructured RNA. We measured an overall mutation rate of 1.8 x 10-4 s/n/r for PR8 (H1N1) and 2.5 x 10-4 s/n/r for Hong Kong 2014 (H3N2). The replication mode was linear. The mutation rates of these divergent strains are significantly higher than previous estimates and suggest that each replicated genome will have an average of 2-3 mutations. The viral mutational spectrum is heavily biased toward A to G and U to C transitions, resulting in a transition to transversion bias of 2.7 and 3.6 for the two strains. These mutation rates were relatively constant over a range of physiological temperatures. Our high-resolution analysis of influenza virus mutation rates will enable more refined models of its molecular evolution.\n\nSignificanceThe rapid evolution of influenza virus is a major problem in public health. A key factor driving this rapid evolution is the virus very high mutation rate. We developed a new method for measuring the rates of all 12 mutational classes in influenza virus, which eliminates some of the biases of existing assays. We find that the influenza virus mutation rate is much higher than previously reported and is consistent across two distinct strains and a range of temperatures. Our data suggest that influenza viruses replicate at their maximally tolerable mutation rates, highlighting both the virus evolutionary potential and its significant constraints.

microbiology↗

Vaccination has minimal impact on the intrahost diversity of H3N2 influenza viruses

While influenza virus diversity and antigenic drift have been well characterized on a global scale, the factors that influence the virus rapid evolution within and between human hosts are less clear. Given the modest effectiveness of seasonal vaccination, vaccine-induced antibody responses could serve as a potent selective pressure for novel influenza variants at the individual or community level. We used next generation sequencing of patient-derived viruses from a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of vaccine efficacy to characterize the diversity of influenza A virus and to define the impact of vaccine-induced immunity on within-host populations. Importantly, this study design allowed us to isolate the impact of vaccination while still studying natural infection. We used pre-season hemagglutination inhibition and neuraminidase inhibition titers to quantify vaccine-induced immunity directly and to assess its impact on intrahost populations. We identified 166 cases of H3N2 influenza over 3 seasons and 5119 person-years. We obtained whole genome sequence data for 119 samples and used a stringent and empirically validated analysis pipeline to identify intrahost single nucleotide variants at [≥]1% frequency. Phylogenetic analysis of consensus hemagglutinin and neuraminidase sequences showed no stratification by pre-season HAI and NAI titer, respectively. In our study population, we found that the vast majority of intrahost single nucleotide variants were rare and that very few were found in more than one individual. Most samples had fewer than 15 single nucleotide variants across the entire genome, and the level of diversity did not significantly vary with day of sampling, vaccination status, or pre-season antibody titer. Contrary to what has been suggested in experimental systems, our data indicate that seasonal influenza vaccination has little impact on intrahost diversity in natural infection and that vaccine-induced immunity may be only a minor contributor to antigenic drift at local scales.

microbiology↗