Labroo, M. R. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2022

Clonal breeding strategies to harness heterosis: insights from stochastic simulation

To produce genetic gain, hybrid crop breeding can change the additive as well as dominance genetic value of populations, which can lead to utilization of heterosis. A common hybrid breeding strategy is reciprocal recurrent selection (RRS), in which parents of hybrids are typically recycled within pools based on general combining ability (GCA). However, the relative performance of RRS and other possible breeding strategies have not been thoroughly compared. RRS can have relatively increased costs and longer cycle lengths which reduce genetic gain, but these are sometimes outweighed by its ability to harness heterosis due to dominance and increase genetic gain. Here, we used stochastic simulation to compare gain per unit cost of various clonal breeding strategies with different amounts of population inbreeding depression and heterosis due to dominance, relative cycle lengths, time horizons, estimation methods, selection intensities, and ploidy levels. In diploids with phenotypic selection at high intensity, whether RRS was the optimal breeding strategy depended on the initial population heterosis. However, in diploids with rapid cycling genomic selection at high intensity, RRS was the optimal breeding strategy after 50 years over almost all amounts of initial population heterosis under the study assumptions. RRS required more population heterosis to outperform other strategies as its relative cycle length increased and as selection intensity decreased. Use of diploid fully inbred parents vs. outbred parents with RRS typically did not affect genetic gain. In autopolyploids, RRS typically was not beneficial regardless of the amount of population inbreeding depression. Key MessageReciprocal recurrent selection sometimes increases genetic gain per unit cost in clonal diploids with heterosis due to dominance, but it typically does not benefit autopolyploids.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2021

New cycle, same old mistakes? Overlapping vs. discrete generations in long-term recurrent selection

BackgroundRecurrent selection is a foundational breeding method for quantitative trait improvement. It typically features rapid breeding cycles that can lead to high rates of genetic gain. In recurrent phenotypic selection, generations do not overlap, which means that breeding candidates are evaluated and considered for selection for only one cycle. With recurrent genomic selection, candidates can be evaluated based on genomic estimated breeding values indefinitely, therefore facilitating overlapping generations. Candidates with true high breeding values that were discarded in one cycle due to underestimation of breeding value could be identified and selected in subsequent cycles. The consequences of allowing generations to overlap in recurrent selection are unknown. We assessed whether maintaining overlapping and discrete generations led to differences in genetic gain for phenotypic, genomic truncation, and genomic optimum contribution recurrent selection by simulation of traits with various heritabilities and genetic architectures across fifty breeding cycles. We also assessed differences of overlapping and discrete generations in a conventional breeding scheme with multiple stages and cohorts. ResultsWith phenotypic selection, overlapping generations led to decreased genetic gain compared to discrete generations due to increased selection error bias. Selected individuals, which were in the upper tail of the distribution of phenotypic values, tended to also have high absolute error relative to their true breeding value compared to the overall population. Without repeated phenotyping, these individuals erroneously believed to have high value were repeatedly selected across cycles, leading to decreased genetic gain. With genomic truncation selection, overlapping and discrete generations performed similarly as updating breeding values precluded repeatedly selecting individuals with inaccurately high estimates of breeding values in subsequent cycles. Overlapping generations did not outperform discrete generations in the presence of a positive genetic trend with genomic truncation selection, as past generations had lower mean genetic values than the current generation of selection candidates. With genomic optimum contribution selection, overlapping and discrete generations performed similarly, but overlapping generations slightly outperformed discrete generations in the long term if the targeted inbreeding rate was extremely low. ConclusionsMaintaining discrete generations in recurrent phenotypic selection leads to increased genetic gain, especially at low heritabilities, by preventing selection error bias. With genomic truncation selection and genomic optimum contribution selection, genetic gain does not differ between discrete and overlapping generations assuming non-genetic effects are not present. Overlapping generations may increase genetic gain in the long term with very low targeted rates of inbreeding in genomic optimum contribution selection.

genetics↗