Kutt, A. S. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2025

Landscape-scale predictors of mammal abundance and species richness in Queensland tropical savannas: conservation implications

The small mammals in the tropical savannas of northern Australia, have undergone a degree of change in recent decades, best documented in the Northern Territory. Data is limited from northern Queensland and though the same trends are assumed, the topographic and climatic features differ substantially. In this study we examined data systematically collected from 725 sites between 1998-2012 in three bioregions representing a climatic gradient: from semi-arid to monsoon tropical savannas. We investigated via information-theoretic models and model averaging, the relationship between five mammal groupings and three landscape variables (fractional cover green, elevation and vegetation diversity) to elucidate any consistent or different patterns in the mammal fauna. Key patterns included relationships with increasing elevation (critical weight range species richness positively associated with elevation, rodent species richness negatively associated), increasing rodent and dasyurid species richness with vegetation diversity, and lower macropod and dasyurids abundance with increasing fractional cover green. These relationships underscore a need to consider mammal conservation in Queensland with more nuance than in the more topographically inert Northern Territory. Management strategies need to be more attuned to taxonomic and regional differences, to prevent perverse outcomes.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2025

A slow unpicking of the landscape thread? Changes in tropical savanna birds on a gradient of habitat modification over 12 years of monitoring

ContextIn south-eastern Australia, land clearing has been extensive, resulting in an avifauna that has been significantly depleted. In northern Australian tropical savannas, land clearing is much less but increasing. AimsTo examine the relative change in bird community composition of a Queensland tropical savanna over a 12-year period where sites represent a gradient of habitat modification. I investigate if these changes trigger avifauna disruption in the wider intact woodlands. MethodsThe data were collected from 60 sites sampled seven times between 2004 and 2016, using an eight-count repeat census in each site, in each year of survey. The data was examined via a range of non-parametric multivariate method. Key ResultsThe analysis of bird community composition indicated that variation was not parallel across the habitat modification gradient (i.e., cleared, thinned sites displayed higher temporal change and instability). The strongest directional change and temporal turnover in {beta}-diversity was strongly linked to the gradient of modification from cleared to thinned, to intact. ConclusionsIn this study I demonstrated that, where tree clearing has commenced or trees are thinned (even though it is only a small percentage of the total land cover), this initiates bird community instability, though the surrounding intact vegetation seemed to remain unaffected up until 2016. ImplicationsRegional changes in bird populations can take many decades to appear after substantial disturbance, and continued monitoring of landscapes being progressively cleared, should be a priority to identify and prevent irreversible collapse of the avifauna, such has occurred in south-eastern Australia.

ecology↗