Biology subjects

Kurpas, M. K.

Publications and source records attributed to Kurpas, M. K..

6 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Accurate detection of tumor clonality and ongoing expansion mode from genomic data

Recent evidence shows that despite considerable effort, currently available algorithms for estimating intratumor heterogeneity (ITH) remain limited. We developed DECODE (Deciphering Cancer Origin from DNA Evolution), a novel mutation clustering method that incorporates the impact of sample-specific sequencing coverage and mutation calling biases. On synthetic data, DECODE outperformed existing methods across multiple clonality metrics and accurately detected and characterized the neutral tail in the site frequency spectrum (SFS), which encodes the tumors ongoing expansion mode. In acute myeloid leukemia, accounting for the neutral tail enabled DECODE to yield more parsimonious clonal decompositions that align more closely with known subclonal dynamics that drive relapse. Applied to data from The Cancer Genome Atlas, DECODE not only detected a neutral SFS tail in most samples across tumor types but also uncovered a clinically meaningful link between ITH and survival in low-grade glioma. By jointly inferring clonality and expansion mode, DECODE provides two complementary and prognostically relevant readouts of tumor evolution from single tumor genomic samples.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2025

Statistical and Evolutionary Analysis of Sequenced DNA from Breast Cancer FFPE Specimens

BackgroundDespite the introduction of instant freezing of tumor specimens, formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) blocks of tissue are still commonplace in clinical practice and constitute an important reference for genetic epidemiology of cancer. We carried out a study of a collection of breast tumors paired with lymph-node metastases and analyzed using advanced computational methods, to determine how much information can be obtained from mid-depth whole-exome bulk DNA sequencing. MethodsWe gathered 15 paired (primary and an involved lymph node) excised breast tumors of different molecular subtypes (HER2+, triple negative, luminal A and luminal B HER2-), from the National Research Institute of Oncology, Krakow (Poland) Branch. FFPE specimens contained typical artifacts, manifesting themselves in spurious DNA variant calls. We used several bioinformatics tools to remove the artifacts and analyzed the exomic data, using both commercial and original in-house computational techniques. ResultsWe used several of recent bioinformatics tools to remove the FFPE artifacts and found a serious dispersal of outcomes. After calibration, a series of analyses was performed, including copy number study, resulting in ploidy levels ranging from 1 to 5 (average of 2.5). Positive association was found between the frequency of oncogenes relative to tumor suppressor genes and DNA copy number. In addition, we carried out analyses of the clonal structure of the data using original computational methods based on evolutionary modeling. Interesting results concerning clonal structure, early tumor expansion, and interdependence of the primary tumor and lymph node metastases have been obtained. ConclusionsDespite the imperfections of the FFPE data, many important features of molecular evolution of tumor DNA can be recovered from routine clinical samples.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2023

Comparison of Tug-of-War Models Assuming Moran versus Branching Process Population Dynamics

Mutations arising during cancer evolution are typically categorized as either drivers or passengers, depending on whether they increase the cell fitness. Recently, McFarland et al. introduced the Tug-of-War model for the joint effect of rare advantageous drivers and frequent but deleterious passengers. We examine this model under two common but distinct frameworks, the Moran model and the branching process. We show that frequently used statistics are similar between a version of the Moran model and the branching process conditioned on the final cell count, under different selection scenarios. We infer the selection coefficients for three breast cancer samples, resulting in good fits of the shape of their Site Frequency Spectra. All fitted values for the selective disadvantage of passenger mutations are nonzero, supporting the view that they exert deleterious selection during tumorigenesis that driver mutations must compensate.

cancer biology↗

bioRxiv2022

Mutation patterns in SARS-COV-2 Alpha and Beta variants indicate non-neutral evolution

Due to the emergence of new variants of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus, the question of how the viral genomes evolved, leading to the formation of highly infectious strains, becomes particularly important. Two early emergent strains, Alpha and Beta, characterized by a significant number of missense mutations, provide natural testing samples. In this study we are exploring the history of each of the segregating sites present in Alpha and Beta variants of concern, to address the question whether defining mutations were accumulating gradually leading to the formation of sequence characteristic of these variants. Our analysis exposes data features that suggest other than neutral evolution of SARS-CoV-2 genomes, leading to emergence of variants of concern. We observe only small number of possible combinations of mutations indicating rapid evolution of genomes. In addtion, mutation patterns observed in whole genome samples of Alpha and Beta variants also indicate presence of stronger selection than in remaining genome samples.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2022

Evolutionary analysis of genomes of SARS-CoV-2-related bat viruses suggests old roots, constant effective population size, and possible increase of fitness

It is of vital practical interest to understand the co-evolution of bat {beta}-coronaviruses with their hosts, since a number of these most likely crossed the species boundaries and infected humans. Complete sequences of 47 consensus genomes are available for bat {beta}-coronaviruses related to the SARS-CoV-2 human virus. We carried out several types of evolutionary analyses using these data. First, using the publicly available BEAST 2 software, we generated phylogenetic trees and skyline plots. The roots of the trees, both for the entire sequences and subsequences coding for the E and S proteins as well as the 5 and 3 UTR regions, are estimated to be located from several decades to more than a thousand years ago, while the effective population sizes remained largely constant. Motivated by this, we developed a simple estimator of the effective population size in a Moran model with constant population, which, under the model is equal to the expected age of the MRCA measured in generations. Comparisons of these estimates to those produced by BEAST 2 shows qualitative agreement. We also compared the site frequency spectra (SFS) of the bat genomes to those provided by the Moran Tug-of-War model. Comparison does not exclude the possibility that overall fitness of the bat {beta}-coronaviruses was increasing over time as a result of directional selection. Stability of interactions of bats and their viruses was considered likely on the basis of specific manner in which bat immunity is tuned, and it seems consistent with our analysis.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Moran Process Version of the Tug-of-War Model: Complex Behavior Revealed by Mathematical Analysis and Simulation Studies

AO_SCPLOWBSTRACTC_SCPLOWIn a series of publications McFarland and co-authors introduced the tug-of-war model of evolution of cancer cell populations. The model is explaining the joint effect of rare advantageous and frequent slightly deleterious mutations, which may be identifiable with driver and passenger mutations in cancer. In this paper, we put the Tug-of-War model in the framework of a denumerable-type Moran process and use mathematics and simulations to understand its behavior. The model is associated with a time-continuous Markov Chain (MC), with a generator that can be split into a sum of the drift and selection process part and of the mutation process part. Operator semigroup theory is then employed to prove that the MC does not explode, as well as to characterize a strong-drift limit version of the MC which displays "instant fixation" effect, which was an assumption in the original McFarlands model. Mathematical results are fully confirmed by simulations of the complete and limit versions. They also visualize complex stochastic transients and genealogies of clones arising in the model.

evolutionary biology↗