Biology subjects

Kearney, K.

Publications and source records attributed to Kearney, K..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2025

Changes in body size with age do not follow the temperature-size rule

The temperature size-rule is often described as a reduction in ectothermic body size with warming. This coincides with the expectation that faster growth under warming would lead to larger sizes early in life but smaller sizes later in life. Here, we use > 99,000 observations of weight-at-age of four commercially-important fishes over 25 years to ask whether changes in size and growth can be explained by temperature. We also examine whether oxygen, a key part of a proposed mechanism behind the temperature size-rule, explains patterns of weight-at-age better than temperature. Changes in weight-at-age over time were more related to temperature than oxygen but the effect of temperature on weight was small and did not vary by age, counter to the temperature size-rule. Importantly, these results were sensitive to how the relationship between weight-at-age and temperature was modeled. While the functional form (linear or polynomial) mattered little, how space was included in the model led to different conclusions regarding how temperature affects size and growth. Assuming that spatial and spatiotemporal random effects - those that account for the higher degree of similarity between observations collected closer in space and time - are shared across ages led to different results compared to allowing these effects to vary by age. Models with shared effects suggested weight for younger ages had positive relationships with temperature and negative relationships for older ages. However, these models provided spurious support for the temperature size-rule as they had less statistical support than models that allowed spatial effects to vary by age. Overall, our work highlights that relationships among size, growth, temperature, and oxygen may not be as straightforward as theory suggests and illustrates that modeling decisions can have a large effect on tests of ecological theory, and more broadly, our ability to understand biological responses to climate change.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2022

Predicting Pacific cod spawning habitat in a changing climate

Warming temperatures elicit shifts in habitat use and geographic distributions of fishes, with uneven effects across life stages. Spawners and embryos are particularly sensitive to environmental conditions, with direct impacts of temperature on spawning habitat, as well as indirect connections between their population dynamics and fisheries effort, productivity, and management. Here, we ask how changing environmental conditions and thermal sensitivities of developing embryos confer spatiotemporal variability of thermally-suitable spawning habitat for Pacific cod in the eastern Bering Sea. Specifically, we use bottom temperature values from regionally downscaled global climate models coupled with an experimentally-derived relationship between hatch success and temperature to predict how the extent, mean latitude, and consistency of suitable spawning habitat has changed in the past and may change into the future. We then validate our predictions of suitable spawning habitat with distributions of adults and larvae and examine whether thermal habitat availability relates to recruitment success into the adult cod into the population. We find that the extent and mean latitude of suitable spawning habitat increase over time, particularly if no climate change mitigation occurs in the future. Hotspots of suitable spawning habitat are consistent across shorter time periods but do shift across the Bering Sea shelf by the end of the century. Finally, we find no correlation between the availability of suitable spawning habitat and annual estimates of recruitment. Collectively, our results suggest that as temperatures warm, the availability of suitable spawning habitat will increase and expand spatially and, thus, is not likely to limit recruitment. This work highlights the importance of coupling experimental data with climate models to identify the complex and mechanistic dynamics among temperature, life histories, and ecology, and offers a pathway for examining life stage-specific changes in habitat use and distribution with continued climate change.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2020

Multi-proxy evidence for the impact of the Storegga Slide Tsunami on the early Holocene landscapes of the southern North Sea

Doggerland was a land mass occupying an area currently covered by the North Sea until marine inundation took place during the mid-Holocene, ultimately separating the British land mass from the rest of Europe. The Storegga Slide, which triggered a tsunami reflected in sediment deposits in the Northern North Sea, North East coastlines of the British Isles and across the North Atlantic, was a major event during this transgressive phase. The spatial extent of the Storegga tsunami however remains unconfirmed because to date no direct evidence for the event has been recovered from the southern North Sea. We present evidence that Storegga associated deposits occur in the southern North Sea. Palaeo-river systems have been identified using seismic survey in the southwestern North Sea and sedimentary cores extracted to track the Mid Holocene inundation. At the head of one palaeo-river system near the Outer Dowsing Deep, the Southern River, we observed an abrupt and catastrophic inundation stratum. Based on lithostratigraphic, macro and microfossils and sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA) evidence, supported by optical stimulation luminescence (OSL) and radiocarbon dating, we conclude these deposits were a result of the Storegga event. Seismic identification of this stratum to adjacent cores indicated diminished traces of the tsunami, largely removed by subsequent erosional processes. Our results demonstrate the catastrophic impact of Storegga within this area of the Southern North Sea, but indicate that these effects were temporary and likely localized and mitigated by the dense woodland and topography of the area. We conclude clear physical remnants of the wave are likely to be restricted to inland basins and incised river valley systems.

paleontology↗