Biology subjects

Kaski, S.

Publications and source records attributed to Kaski, S..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2017

Resolving outbreak dynamics using Approximate Bayesian Computation for stochastic birth-death models

Earlier research has suggested that Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) makes it possible to fit simulator-based intractable birth-death models to investigate communicable disease outbreak dynamics with accuracy comparable to that of exact Bayesian methods. However, recent findings have indicated that key parameters such as the reproductive number R may remain poorly identifiable. Here we show that the identifiability issue can be resolved by taking into account disease-specific characteristics of the transmission process in closer detail. Using tuberculosis (TB) in the San Francisco Bay area as a case-study, we consider the situation where the genotype data are generated as a mixture of three stochastic processes, each with their distinct dynamics and clear epidemiological interpretation.\n\nThe ABC inference yields stable and accurate posterior inferences about outbreak dynamics from aggregated annual case data with genotype information. We also show that under the proposed model, the infectious population size can be reliably inferred from the data. The estimate is approximately two orders of magnitude smaller compared to assumptions made in the earlier ABC studies, and is much better aligned with epidemiological knowledge about active TB prevalence. Similarly, the reproductive number R related to the primary underlying transmission process is estimated to be nearly three-fold compared with the previous estimates, which has a substantial impact on the interpretation of the fitted outbreak model.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2017

Modelling GxE with historical weather information improves genomic prediction in new environments

Interaction between the genotype and the environment (GxE) has a strong impact on the yield of major crop plants. Although influential, taking GxE explictily into account in plant breeding has remained difficult. Recently GxE has been predicted from environmental and genomic covariates, but existing works have not shown that generalization to new environments and years without access to in-season data is possible and practical applicability remains unclear. Using data from a Barley breeding program in Finland, we construct an in-silico experiment to study the viability of GxE prediction under practical constraints. We show that the response to the environment of a new generation of untested Barley cultivars can be predicted in new locations and years using genomic data, machine learning and historical weather observations for the new locations. Our results highlight the need for models of GxE: non-linear effects clearly dominate linear ones and the interaction between the soil type and daily rain is identified as the main driver for GxE for Barley in Finland. Our study implies that genomic selection can be used to capture the yield potential in GxE effects for future growth seasons, providing a possible means to achieve yield improvements, needed for feeding the growing population.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2017

MediSyn: uncertainty-aware visualization of multiple biomedical datasets to support drug treatment selection

BackgroundDispersed biomedical databases limit user exploration to generate structured knowledge. Linked Data unifies data structures and makes the dispersed data easy to search across resources, but it lacks supporting human cognition to achieve insights. In addition, potential errors in the data are difficult to detect in their free formats. Devising a visualization that synthesizes multiple sources in such a way that links between data sources are transparent, and uncertainties, such as data conflicts, are salient is challenging.\n\nResultsTo investigate the requirements and challenges of uncertainty-aware visualizations of linked data, we developed MediSyn, a system that synthesizes medical datasets to support drug treatment selection. It uses a matrix-based layout to visually link drugs, targets (e.g., mutations), and tumor types. Data uncertainties are salient in MediSyn; for example, (i) missing data are exposed in the matrix view of drug-target relations; (ii) inconsistencies between datasets are shown via overlaid layers; and (iii) data credibility is conveyed through links to data provenance.\n\nConclusionsThrough the synthesis of two manually curated datasets, cancer treatment biomarkers and drug-target bioactivities, a use case shows how MediSyn effectively supports the discovery of drug-repurposing opportunities. A study with six domain experts indicated that MediSyn benefited the drug selection and data inconsistency discovery. Though linked publication sources supported user exploration for further information, the causes of inconsistencies were not easy to find. Additionally, MediSyn could embrace more patient data to increase its informativeness. We derive design implications from the findings.

bioinformatics↗