Jones, H. P. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2020

Anthropogenic factors influence the occupancy of an invasive carnivore in a suburban preserve system

Domestic cats (Felis catus) are one of the worlds most damaging invasive species. Free-ranging cats kill billions of wild animals every year, spread parasites and diseases to both wildlife and humans, and are responsible for the extinction or extirpation of at least 63 species. While the ecology and conservation implications of free-ranging cats have well studied in some locations, relatively little is known about cats inhabiting urban nature preserves in the United States. To address this knowledge gap, we used camera traps to study the occupancy and activity patterns of free-ranging cats in 55 suburban nature preserves in the Chicago, IL metropolitan area. From 2010-2018 (4,440 trap days), we recorded 355 photos of free-ranging cats across 26 preserves ({psi}naive = 0.45) and 41 randomly distributed monitoring points ({psi}naive = 0.18). Cats were detected every year, but rarely at the same point or preserve, and cats were largely crepuscular/diurnal. Using single-season occupancy models and a "stacked" design, we found that cat occupancy increased with building density and detectability was highest near the urban/preserve boundary. Based on our top-ranked model, predicted occupancy within individual preserves ranged from 0.09 to 0.28 ({psi}mean = 0.11) and was poorly correlated with preserve size or shape. Overall, our results suggest that free-ranging cats are rare within suburban preserves in our study area, and that these cats are most likely owned or heavily subsidized by people (which pose different risks and management challenges than truly feral cats). We discuss the conservation and management implications for urban natural areas. HighlightsO_LIWe surveyed for domestic cats across 55 suburban preserves from 2010-2018. C_LIO_LIWe modeled occupancy and detectability as a function of urban covariates. C_LIO_LICat occupancy was low overall and best predicted by building density. C_LIO_LIThe risk to native species is highest near preserve boundaries bordered by built environments. C_LI

ecology↗

bioRxiv2019

Not all seabird species can overcome marine threats when predator removal at their colonies is prioritised

Seabirds are globally threatened. In the face of multiple threats, it is critical to understand how conservation strategies that mitigate one threat intersect with others to impact population viability. Marine threats, including pollution, climate change, and fisheries could derail gains to seabird populations resulting from arduous predator eradication efforts. However, this potentially negative effect is yet to be evaluated. We test whether mortality from marine threats can subvert the on-going recovery of 17 seabird species from 37 colonies on islands worldwide where predators were removed. We use demographic modelling to estimate potential adult mortality from fisheries, plastic ingestion, and climate change. For 82% of the species we examine, marine threats do not impede recovery following predator eradication. However, for six colonies of three species, Calonectris diomedea, C. borealis, and Ardenna carneipes, mortality from multiple marine threats may interrupt their recovery. Combining our demographic approach with comparative phylogenetic methods, we explore whether foraging niche, range, and morphometric traits inform the vulnerability to marine threats using an expanded dataset of 81 seabird species. Our analyses reveal surface filtering and pursuit diving species, and species with smaller at-sea distributions to be most vulnerable to declines due to multiple threats. However, these traits do not necessarily predict species vulnerability to marine threats in the absence of predators at nesting colonies, suggesting that shared traits may not be useful to infer vulnerability to multiple marine threats. Post-eradication monitoring to determine whether species require additional conservation management following predator eradication are essential in the face of intensifying pressures in the marine environment.

ecology↗