Biology subjects

Jarquin, D.

Publications and source records attributed to Jarquin, D..

15 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Genotypic and multi-environment phenotypic evaluation of the lima bean USDA National Plant Germplasm System collection

Lima bean (Phaseolus lunatus L.) is an economically and agronomically important grain legume. Lima beans (or limas) show a range of climatic adaptations with independent domestications in the Andes (large-seeded) and Mesoamerica (small- or medium-seeded). We generated and integrated genotypic and comprehensive field- and laboratory-based phenotypic information for the available accessions in the USDA National Plant Germplasm System collection across multiple environments to inform germplasm utilization in breeding. A total of 810 accessions were genotyped using short-read, low-coverage sequencing. Accession geographic origin and domestication explained population structure. A partially overlapping subset of the panel (n=141-308) was field-evaluated across two years in each of Davis, CA, Central Ferry, WA, and Coachella Valley, CA (the latter was fall-planted for evaluation of photoperiod-sensitive accessions) to assess trait performance in contrasting environments. Agronomic traits such as determinacy and flowering time, and seed traits such as seed coat color and hundred-seed weight, were scored. Macronutrient traits (protein, starch, fat, and ash content) were measured on dry (mature) harvested grain via near-infrared spectroscopy. Genome-wide association analyses identified loci significantly associated with descriptive, agronomic, and seed traits, including orthologs of known genes in common bean and novel candidate regions. Genomic predictive abilities were moderate to high for key traits. Finally, we established a conditional core collection that was constrained to include 211 extensively phenotyped accessions and for which 91 supplemental accessions were selected to maximize genetic diversity from among the genotyped accessions. Overall, these resources provide a foundation to support genomics-assisted breeding of limas.

plant biology↗

bioRxiv2026

Reaction Norm Modeling of High-Dimensional Genomic and Environmental Data Improves Prediction Accuracy in Winter Wheat

Genomic prediction models that account genotype-by-environment (GxE) have the potential to accelerate the rate of genetic gain for yield and agronomic performance, yet relatively few studies have applied GxE prediction in public soft red winter wheat (Triticum aestivum) breeding programs. In this study, we extended a reaction norm-based genomic prediction framework by integrating weather-based environmental covariates to more effectively capture genotype- environment interactions. Key agronomic traits, including seed yield, plant height, test weight, and heading date, were evaluated across 33 environments (location-year) using over 3,200 breeding lines from the North Carolina State University small grains breeding program. Multiple genomic prediction models were compared using several cross-validation (CV) schemes representing common breeding scenarios. Across traits, the reaction norm M5 model, which incorporates both GxE and genotype-by-environmental covariate interactions (GxO), achieved the highest prediction accuracy (PA) in CV2 (predicting incomplete field trials) and CV1 for yield and test weight (predicting new lines). The highest PA was observed for test weight under CV2 (0.54) and for yield under CV1 (0.41). Under CV0 (predicting new environments), the M3 model incorporating GxE produced highest PA across traits, with the greatest accuracy for plant height (0.45), although differences among M2, M3, and M4 were small. Prediction under CV00 (predicting new lines in new environments) remained more challenging, with PA values 0.10 - 0.20 across traits. Overall, our results demonstrate that integrating environmental covariates into genomic prediction models can improve predictive performance across diverse wheat-growing environments in North Carolina, supporting their utility for applied breeding efforts. CORE IDEASO_LIIntegrating genotype-by-environment (GxE) interactions with environmental covariates improves prediction accuracy across environments. C_LIO_LIModel performance varies by prediction scenario, with different approaches performing best for new lines, incomplete trials, or new environments. C_LIO_LIPrediction of new lines in new environments remains challenging. C_LI PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARYThis study explores how adding environmental information to genomic prediction models can improve prediction accuracy in a public winter wheat breeding program. Using data from multi-environment trials conducted across diverse conditions in North Carolina, we evaluated statistical models that capture how different wheat lines respond to changing environments. By incorporating weather data, we improved the ability to predict performance across locations and years. These findings provide practical insights for refining selection strategies and accelerating genetic gain in wheat breeding.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2026

Optimizing resource allocation in Miscanthus breeding with sparse testing designs for genomic prediction

Phenotyping high-biomass perennial crops is laborious and the rate of genetic gain in perennial crop breeding programs is typically low. So, it is especially important to identify methods that produce efficiency gains in the breeding process. Miscanthus is a C4 perennial grass with favorable characteristics for producing biomass as a feedstock for biofuels and diverse biobased products. Increasing biomass yield will increase profitability and environmental benefits, so is a key target for Miscanthus breeding. In addition, the identification of well-adapted genotypes across a wide range of environmental conditions requires the establishment of multi-environment trials (METs). Sparse testing is a genomic prediction-based strategy that reduces the phenotyping costs in METs by selecting a subset of genotypes to evaluate in a subset of environments and then predicts the performance of the unobserved genotype-environment combinations. A Miscanthus sacchariflorus (MSA) population comprising 336 genotypes observed across three environments was analyzed. Three prediction models considering main effects (environments, genotypes, genomic) and interaction effects (genotype-by-environment; GxE interaction) were implemented for forecasting dry biomass yield (YDY), total culm (TCM), average internode length (AIL), and culm node number (CNN). Multiple calibration sets based on different compositions and sizes were considered to evaluate performance in terms of the predictive ability (PA) and the mean square error (MSE) for a fixed testing set size. The training set size ranged from 52 to 112 to predict a fixed set of 224 unobserved genotypes across all three environments. The results showed that the model accounting for GxE interaction presented the highest PA and the lowest MSE for CNN (PA: [~]0.77, MSE: [~]0.5) and YDY (PA: [~]0.70, MSE: [~]1.3) while for TCM and AIL these ranged from [~]0.28 to 0.41 and [~]1.3 to 4.3, respectively. Overall, varying training sets and allocation strategies did not affect PA and MSE, with 52 non-overlapping and 0 overlapping genotypes per environment as the optimal cost-effective allocation framework. This suggests that implementing sparse testing designs could significantly reduce phenotyping costs by fivefold, without compromising PA in breeding programs for perennial crops such as Miscanthus.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2026

Multi-trait Multi-environment Genomic Prediction Strategies for Miscanthus sacchariflorus Populations

Genomic selection holds the potential to serve as a strategic tool to enhance the genetic gain of complex traits in Miscanthus breeding programs. The development of improved cultivars requires their assessment for various traits across diverse environments to ensure suitable overall performance. Hence, the multi-trait multi-environment (MTME) genomic prediction (GP) models offer an opportunity to improve selection accuracy. This study aims to evaluate the potential of five GP models: (1) three MTME models including genotype-by-trait-by-environment interaction (GxExT) and (2) two single-trait multi-environment (STME) models (with and without GxE interaction). A Miscanthus sacchariflorus population comprising 336 genotypes evaluated in three environments and scored for four traits (biomass yield YDY, total culm number TCM, average internode length AIL, and culm node number CNN) was analyzed. The predictive ability of the models was evaluated considering three cross-validation schemes resembling realistic scenarios (CV1: predicting new genotypes, CVP: predicting missing traits in a given environment, and CV2: predicting partially observed genotypes). On average, in all cross-validation schemes compared to the STME the predictive ability of the MTME models was 10% to 70% higher for TCM and AIL. On the other hand, for YDY and CNN, both STME models performed similarly or slightly better (between 5 to 64%) than the MTME models in most environments. While the MTME models were not successful for all traits when compared to their STME counterparts, MTME models improved the prediction of the performance of genotypes that were untested across environments or lacked trait information in a specific environment. Overall, our study suggests that MTME GP models can be implemented in Miscanthus breeding programs to improve the predictive ability of the complex traits, shorten breeding cycles, and accelerate selection decisions.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2026

Weather Characterization for Optimizing Genomic Prediction in Miscanthus sacchariflorus

Environmental factors affect crop growth and development thus their consideration across sites and years become essential for genotypic evaluation. Genomic selection (GS) has been broadly implemented to accelerate breeding cycles by skipping field evaluations thus allowing early identification of outperforming genotypes. In this study, 7,740 phenotypic records corresponding to 516 Miscanthus sacchariflorus genotypes evaluated in five locations across three years were considered for analysis. Additionally, environmental data on six weather covariates was implemented to characterize similarities between locations. Different sets of locations of variable sizes were used for model calibration based on two cross-validations (CV00 and CV0) schemes leaving out one location at a time. Predictive ability across locations of the best model varied between 0.45 and 0.90 for both schemes. These results were compared to associate predictive ability in function of weather patterns between training and testing sets to allow models calibration optimization. We found it is feasible to optimize resource allocation by considering environmentally correlated sets. In most cases, the information from only one and, at most, two locations were enough to deliver better results than using all four locations, reducing training sets by up to 75%. The results obtained shed light on helping breeders make informed decisions considering weather data when designing evaluations.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2026

ENHANCING GENOMIC PREDICTION MODELS IN MISCANTHUS POPULATIONS BY INCORPORATING THE GENOTYPE-BY-ENVIRONMENT INTERACTION

Giant Miscanthus giganteus (Mxg) is one of the most promising perennial crops to generate biomass feedstock for bioenergy and biobased products. It is derived from the natural inter-species hybridization of Miscanthus sacchariflorus (Msa) and Miscanthus sinensis (Msi) species, thus population improvement within these species is crucial. Genomic selection (GS) is an attractive option to accelerate breeding of perennial grasses, such as Miscanthus, which requires up to three years of evaluation to produce reliable phenotypic data. Hence, genotypes are observed in multiple years and locations causing inconsistent response patterns from one year to the next, between location, and/or location-by-year combinations. These inconsistencies are known as the genotype-by-environment interaction effect (GxE). Although GS has been successfully implemented in multiple annual crops where straightforward cross-validation schemes exist to assess the levels of predictive ability that can be reached, for perennial crops new cross-validation schemes will help avoid data contamination. Here, we propose a series of cross-validation schemes to evaluate model performance for perennial crops. We perform a case study by analyzing one panel of each species (516 genotypes of Msa, 280 genotypes of Msi) scored for biomass yield at different locations around the world over several years. The results of the different cross-validation schemes provide insights about the usefulness of GS to accelerate the breeding process of Miscanthus species. In addition, leveraging the GxE effects of different types significantly increases predictive ability (up to 10% in Msa and 30% for Msi) compared to the conventional approaches based on main effects only.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2026

Bayesian AMMI-Based Simulation of Genotype x Environment Interactions

Genotype-by-environment interaction (GEI) has been studied to identify environment-stable/favorable genotypes. The GEI simulation could help refine the inference by incorporating tangible factors such as genomic and environmental information. The Bayesian additive main effect and multiplicative interaction (Bayesian AMMI) model captures the genotype-specific responses across environments, reflecting directional relationships between genotypes and environments. Thus, we propose a Bayesian AMMI-based GEI simulation framework that utilizes high-throughput environmental covariance matrices to generate GEI effects with interpretable directional structure. To demonstrate the proposed approach, two simulated phenotypes were assessed under four levels of GEI variance. In the first simulation (Sim1), GEI effects were sampled from a multivariate normal distribution defined by the GEI matrix. In the second simulation (Sim2), GEI effects were generated by extending Sim1 with the Bayesian AMMI model. In both simulations, increasing GEI variance resulted in lower correlations of phenotypes across environments and stronger genotype-specific sensitivity to environmental variation. Across five cross-validation designs, models accounting for GEI consistently outperformed one that did not, with prediction accuracy generally decreasing as GEI variance increased. Clear distinctions between the two simulated phenotypes were evident from biplot analyses: Sim2 successfully captured environmental relatedness and genotype-specific responses, whereas such structure was absent in Sim1. These results demonstrate that the proposed Bayesian AMMI-based GEI simulation framework enables interpretable visualization of GEI and supports genomic selection strategies under complex environmental conditions.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2024

Genomic prediction by modelling genotype by environment interaction for yield in groundnut

Multi-environment trials (METs) are routinely conducted in plant breeding to capture the genotype-by-environment (GxE) interaction effects. We assessed the potential of using genomic prediction (GP) in four groundnut traits (pod yield[PY], shelling percentage[SP], seed weight[SW] and seed weight of 100 seeds[SW100]) observed in four environments. Three prediction models (M1: Environment + Line, M2: Environment + Line + Genomic, and M3: Environment + Line + Genomic + Genomic x Environment) were evaluated under four cross-validation (CV) schemes that simulate realistic problems that breeders face at different stages of their programs. CV2 predicts lines tested in sparse multi-location trials; CV1 predicts newly developed lines; CV0 predicts tested lines in unobserved environments by leaving one environment out; CV00 predicts untested lines in unobserved environments. Under CV2, the average predictive ability (PA) range was 0.6-0.68 (PY), -0.26-0.05 (SP), 0.5-0.59 (SW) and 0.79-0.86 (SW100). For CV1, the PA range was -0.12-0.51 (PY), -0.08-0.35 (SP), -0.10-0.47 (SW) and -0.05-0.47 (SW100). In CV0, the PA range was 0.27-0.35 (PY), -0.18--0.17 (SP), 0.24-0.32 (SW) and 0.59-0.66 (SW100). In CV00, the PA range was 0.01-0.23 (PY), -0.03-0.07 (SP), 0.01-0.19 (SW) and -0.02-0.38 (SW100). In all the four CV schemes, including marker data improved the PA. Incorporating GxE in M3 model improved PA in CV2 and CV1 schemes and also reduced the residual and environment variances. The high PA in CV2 imply that sparse testing could be implemented. The low PA recorded in CV00 shows that it is difficult to predict untested lines in new environments.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2024

Sparse Testing Designs for Optimizing Predictive Ability in Sugarcane Populations

Sugarcane is a crucial crop for sugar and bioenergy production. Saccharose content and total weight are the two main key commercial traits that compose sugarcanes yield. These traits are under complex genetic control and their response patterns are influenced by the genotype-by-environment (GxE) interaction. An efficient breeding of sugarcane demands an accurate assessment of the genotype stability through multi-environment trials (METs), where genotypes are tested/evaluated across different environments. However, phenotyping all genotype-in-environment combinations is often impractical due to cost and limited availability of propagation-materials. This study introduces the sparse testing designs as a viable alternative, leveraging genomic information to predict unobserved combinations through genomic prediction models. This approach was applied to a dataset comprising 186 genotypes across six environments (6 x 186 = 1,116 phenotypes). Our study employed three predictive models, including environment and genotype as main effects, as well as the GxE interaction to predict saccharose accumulation (SA) and tons of cane per hectare (TCH). Calibration sets sizes varying between 72 (6.5%) to 186 (16.7%) of the total number of phenotypes were composed to predict the remaining 930 (83.3%). Additionally, we explored the optimal number of common genotypes across environments for GxE pattern prediction. Results demonstrate that maximum accuracy for SA ({rho} = 0.611) and for TCH ({rho} = 0.341) was achieved using in training sets few (3) to no common (0) genotype across environments maximizing the number of different genotypes that were tested only once. Significantly, we show that reducing phenotypic records for model calibration has minimal impact on predictive ability, with sets of 12 non-overlapped genotypes per environment (72 = 12 x 6) being the most convenient cost-benefit combination.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2024

Introducing CHiDO a No Code Genomic Prediction Software implementation for the Characterization & Integration of Driven Omics

Climate change represents a significant challenge to global food security by altering environmental conditions critical to crop growth. Plant breeders can play a key role in mitigating these challenges by developing more resilient crop varieties; however, these efforts require significant investments in resources and time. In response, it is imperative to use current technologies that assimilate large biological and environmental datasets into predictive models to accelerate the research, development, and release of new improved varieties. Leveraging large and diverse data sets can improve the characterization of phenotypic responses due to environmental stimuli and genomic pulses. A better characterization of these signals holds the potential to enhance our ability to predict trait performance under changes in weather and/or soil conditions with high precision. This paper introduces CHiDO, an easy-to-use, no-code platform designed to integrate diverse omics datasets and effectively model their interactions. With its flexibility to integrate and process data sets, CHiDOs intuitive interface allows users to explore historical data, formulate hypotheses, and optimize data collection strategies for future scenarios. The platforms mission emphasizes global accessibility, democratizing statistical solutions for situations where professional ability in data processing and data analysis is not available. Core ideasO_LIThe authors developed CHiDO, a platform for breeders to build predictive models integrating multi-omics data. C_LIO_LICHiDO is a no-code tool that leverages the reaction norm model proposed by Jarquin et al. (2014). C_LIO_LIThe platform aims to increase access to predictive analytics lowering relevant technical and financial barriers. C_LI

genomics↗

bioRxiv2023

Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy Phenomic and Genomic Prediction of Maize Agronomic and Composition Traits Across Environments

For nearly two decades, genomic selection has supported efforts to increase genetic gains in plant and animal improvement programs. However, novel phenomic strategies helping to predict complex traits in maize have proven beneficial when integrated into across- and within-environment genomic prediction models. One phenomic data modality is near infrared spectroscopy (NIRS), which records reflectance values of biological samples (e.g., maize kernels) based on chemical composition. Predictions of seven maize agronomic traits and three kernel composition traits across two years (2011-2012) and two management conditions (water stressed and well-watered) were conducted using combinations of NIRS and genomic data within four different cross-validation prediction scenarios. In aggregate, models incorporating NIRS data alongside genomic data improved predictive ability over models using only genomic data in 5 of 28 trait/cross-validation scenarios for across-environment prediction and 15 of 28 trait/environment scenarios for within-environment prediction, while the model with NIRS data alone had the highest prediction ability in only 1 of 28 scenarios for within-environment prediction. Potential causes of the surprisingly lower phenomic than genomic prediction power in this study are discussed, including sample size, sample homogenization, and low GxE. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) implicated known (i.e., MADS69, ZCN8, sh1, wx1, du1) and unknown candidate genes linked to plant height and flowering-related agronomic traits as well as compositional traits such as kernel protein and starch content. This study demonstrated that including NIRS with genomic markers is a viable method to predict multiple complex traits with improved predictive ability and elucidate underlying biological causes. Key messageGenomic and NIRS data from a maize diversity panel were used for prediction of agronomic and kernel composition traits while uncovering candidate genes for kernel protein and starch content.

plant biology↗

bioRxiv2022

Combining phenotypic and genomic data to improve prediction of binary traits

Plant breeders want to develop cultivars that outperform existing genotypes. Some characteristics (here main traits) of these cultivars are categorical and difficult to measure directly. It is important to predict the main trait of newly developed genotypes accurately. In addition to marker data, breeding programs often have information on secondary traits (or phenotypes) that are easy to measure. Our goal is to improve prediction of main traits with interpretable relations by combining the two data types using variable selection techniques. However, the genomic characteristics can overwhelm the set of secondary traits, so a standard technique may fail to select any phenotypic variables. We develop a new statistical technique that ensures appropriate representation from both the secondary traits and the phenotypic variables for optimal prediction. When two data types (markers and secondary traits) are available, we achieve improved prediction of a binary trait by two steps that are designed to ensure that a significant intrinsic effect of a phenotype is incorporated in the relation before accounting for extra effects of genotypes. First, we sparsely regress the secondary traits on the markers and replace the secondary traits by their residuals to obtain the effects of phenotypic variables as adjusted by the genotypic variables. Then, we develop a sparse logistic classifier using the markers and residuals so that the adjusted phenotypes may be selected first to avoid being overwhelmed by the genotypes due to their numerical advantage. This classifier uses forward selection aided by a penalty term and can be computed effectively by a technique called the one-pass method. It compares favorably with other classifiers on simulated and real data.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2022

Genomic selection performs as effectively as phenotypic selection for increasing seed yield in soybean

Increasing the rate of genetic gain for seed yield remains the primary breeding objective in both public and private soybean breeding programs. Genomic selection (GS) has the potential to accelerate the rate of genetic gain for soybean seed yield. To date, limited studies have empirically validated accuracy of GS and compared to phenotypic selection (PS), and none has been done for soybean breeding. This study conducted the first empirical validation of GS for increasing seed yield using over 1,500 lines and over 7 years (2010-2016) of replicated experiments in the University of Nebraska soybean breeding program. The study was designed to capture the varying genetic relatedness of the training population to three validation sets: two large bi-parental populations (TBP-1 and TBP-2), and a large validation set comprised of 457 pre-selected advanced lines derived from 45 bi-parental populations in the variety development program (TMP). We found that prediction accuracy (0.54) from our validation experiments was competitive with what we obtained from a series of cross-validation experiments (0.64). Both GS and PS were more effective for increasing population mean performance with similar realized gain but significantly greater than random selection (RS). We found a selection advantage of GS over PS where higher genetic gain and identification of top-performing lines was maximized at higher selection stringency from 10 to 20% selected proportion. GS led to at least 2% increase in the mean genetic similarity vs. PS and RS, potentially causing a minimal loss of genetic diversity. We showed that loss of genetic variance in the GS set was presumably due to a significant shift on allelic frequencies towards the extremes. Across all loci, an average increase of 0.04 in allelic frequency in the GS set was observed after selection, which is about 5% higher than the base population when no selection was made. Overall, we demonstrate that GS performed as effectively as PS, and the implementation of GS in a public soybean breeding program should be warranted mainly for reducing breeding cycle time and lowering cost per unit gain.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2019

Coupling Day Length Data and Genomic Prediction tools for Predicting Time-Related Traits under Complex Scenarios

Genomic selection (GS) has proven to be an efficient tool for predicting crop-rank performance of untested genotypes; however, when the traits have intermediate optima (phenology stages) this implementation might not be the most convenient. GS might deliver high rank correlations but incurring in serious bias. Days to heading (DTH) is a crucial development stage in rice for regional adaptability with significant impact in yield potential. The objectives of this research consisted in the development of a method that accurately predicts time related traits like DTH in unobserved environments. For this, we developed an implementation that incorporate day length information (DL) in the prediction process for two relevant scenarios: CV0, predicting tested genotypes in unobserved environments (C method); and CV00, predicting untested genotypes in unobserved environments (CB method). The use of DL has advantages over weather data since it can be determined in advance just by knowing the location and planting date. The proposed methods showed that DL information significantly helps to improve the predictive ability of DTH in unobserved environments. Under CV0, the C method returned an root-mean-square-error (RMSE) of 3.9 days, a Pearson Correlation (PC) of 0.98 and the differences between the predicted and observed environmental means (EMD) ranged between -4.95 and 4.67 days. For CV00, the CB method returned an RMSE of 7.3 days, a PC of 0.93 and the EMD ranged between -6.4 and 4.1 days while the conventional GS implementation produced an RMSE of 18.1 days, a PC of 0.41 and the EMD ranged between -31.5 and 28.7 days.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2019

Variance heterogeneity genome-wide mapping for cadmium in bread wheat reveals novel genomic loci and epistatic interactions

Genome-wide association mapping identifies quantitative trait loci (QTL) that influence the mean differences between the marker genotypes for a given trait. While most loci influence the mean value of a trait, certain loci, known as variance heterogeneity QTL (vQTL) determine the variability of the trait instead of the mean trait value (mQTL). In the present study, we performed a variance heterogeneity genome-wide association study (vGWAS) for grain cadmium (Cd) concentration in bread wheat. We used double generalized linear model and hierarchical generalized linear model to identify vQTL associated with grain Cd. We identified novel vQTL regions on chromosomes 2A and 2B that contribute to the Cd variation and loci that affect both mean and variance heterogeneity (mvQTL) on chromosome 5A. In addition, our results demonstrated the presence of epistatic interactions between vQTL and mvQTL, which could explain variance heterogeneity. Overall, we provide novel insights into the genetic architecture of grain Cd concentration and report the first application of vGWAS in wheat. Moreover, our findings indicated that epistasis is an important mechanism underlying natural variation for grain Cd concentration.

genetics↗