Biology subjects

Ionita-Laza, I.

Publications and source records attributed to Ionita-Laza, I..

13 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Beyond point estimates: quantifying predictive uncertainty reveals hidden dimensions of biological age acceleration and improves risk interpretation

Biological age estimates are increasingly used to study aging, disease risk, and mortality, yet their predictive uncertainty is rarely quantified. Consequently, conventional age-gap measures can treat deviations as equally informative even when the underlying biological age predictions differ substantially in reliability. We developed a framework for uncertainty-aware biological aging that generates calibrated prediction intervals and individualized probabilities of accelerated or decelerated aging alongside point estimates. We applied this framework to the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project, evaluating three composite and eleven organ-specific biological age clocks. Predictive uncertainty varied substantially both within and across clocks, revealing that apparently extreme age gaps can differ markedly in the strength of evidence supporting accelerated or decelerated aging. In particular, low-accuracy clocks, including many organ-specific clocks, provided little evidence for confidently accelerated or decelerated aging. Beyond biological age gaps, prediction-interval width was independently associated with disease risk and mortality, particularly for composite, brain, and immune clocks, suggesting that predictive uncertainty captures an additional dimension of biological aging that may reflect increased molecular heterogeneity and dysregulation associated with aging and disease. We replicated these findings in Biobank Japan and an independent clinical cohort from Stanford. By incorporating individual-specific predictive uncertainty, our framework provides a more informative characterization of biological aging and enables improved individual-level risk stratification for disease prevention and longitudinal monitoring.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2026

The enhanced multi-tissue atlas of regulatory effects in cattle

Cattle are integral to global food security, yet the molecular architecture of their complex traits remains poorly understood. Here, we present the Cattle Genotype-Tissue Expression (CattleGTEx) Phase 1 resource (https://cattlegtex.farmgtex.org/), a substantial expansion of the pilot study. By leveraging 12,422 RNA-seq profiles across 43 tissues and 82 breeds, we characterized 433,972 primary and 161,428 non-primary regulatory effects spanning seven molecular phenotypes. This high-resolution atlas resolves 75% of GWAS signals for 44 complex traits, significantly addressing the "missing regulation" in livestock. We propose a genetic regulatory model demonstrating how variants across multiple biological layers interact with specific biological contexts to shape phenotypic variation. Furthermore, CattleGTEx elucidates mechanisms underlying adaptive evolution between Bos taurus and Bos indicus, as well as artificial selection in dairy and beef breeds. Finally, by mapping evolutionary constraints on these regulatory effects, we demonstrate the translational value of this resource for prioritizing causal variants in human complex diseases. Together, Phase 1 of CattleGTEx provides a transformative framework for functional genomics, precision breeding, and comparative genetics.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2026

Context-dependent genetic regulation of gene expression in pigs

Production livestock provide a natural system for studying gene regulation under physiologically demanding conditions shaped by rapid growth, environmental exposure, and immune challenges. Using farm pigs from the PigGTEx resource as a model, we applied quantile regression to uncover latent, context-dependent genetic effects on gene expression across tissues. This approach identifies quantile-specific expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) that are not detected by standard linear regression and are enriched in distal regulatory elements and three-dimensional genome architectural features rather than promoter-proximal regions. Genes with quantile-dependent eQTLs are more intolerant to loss-of-function variants and exhibit stronger enrichment in GO functional categories, indicating their likely functional significance. Cross-species comparisons reveal substantial overlap between pig and human eGenes across tissues, indicating conservation of regulatory architecture. Notably, many quantile-specific eQTLs influence tail expression states and involve genes relevant to human disease. For example, we identify a cis-eQTL affecting the conserved transcriptional regulator BCL6B in pig blood that modulates enhancer activity and reduces expression at lower quantiles. In contrast, BCL6B is minimally expressed in resting human blood and lacks detectable cis-regulatory variation under baseline conditions, consistent with its reported induction during immune activation. These findings demonstrate that pig eQTL maps can reveal context-dependent regulatory variation at loci that remain silent or weakly variable in human cohorts.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2026

Sex-specific Genetic Regulatory Effects in Chickens

Sexual dimorphism is a defining vertebrate feature, yet its sex-specific molecular architecture remains poorly understood. Here we established a sex-balanced, uniformly reared chicken cohort to map this landscape, integrating individual whole-genome sequencing with 7,969 bulk and 779,380 single nucleus transcriptomes across 32 tissues from 280 birds. We identified 495,098 independent expression quantitative trait loci for 20,194 genes, including 10,937 loci modulated by cell-type composition. Notably, 340 genes were regulated by 449 loci in a sex-dependent manner, significantly enrichment in endocrine tissues like adipose and the adrenal gland. Furthermore, we fine-mapped 1,219 structural variants, demonstrating their unique roles to tissue- and sex-specific expression beyond SNPs. Ultimately, we showed the utility of these regulatory effects in elucidating the molecular basis of metabolism and complex traits in both chickens and humans. This comprehensive atlas of regulatory effects provides profound insights into the genomic and molecular basis of sexual dimorphism in vertebrates.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2025

Quantifying Uncertainty in Polygenic Risk Scores Using Conformalized Quantile Regression

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) are widely used in post-GWAS analyses to predict complex traits across humans, animals, and plants, yet the uncertainty of these predictions is rarely quantified at the individual level. Here, we introduce a framework for individualized uncertainty quantification based on quantile regression and conformal prediction, enabling the construction of prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage under minimal assumptions. Quantile regression enables adaptive, individual-specific prediction intervals that capture asymmetry and allow interval widths to vary substantially across individuals based on genetic information alone. Applying this framework to 62 traits in the UK Biobank and the ProgeNIA/SardiNIA studies, we show that these intervals maintain valid coverage and reduce uncertainty in risk stratification compared to existing methods, driven by their adaptive construction. Prediction interval width correlates positively with age and BMI, indicating reduced genetic predictability in subsets of the population where genetic effects interact with environmental factors. Our results demonstrate that incorporating uncertainty is essential for interpreting polygenic predictions and provide a principled approach to distinguish individuals whose phenotypes are well explained by genetic predictors from those in whom non-genetic influences dominate.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2025

Regenie.QRS: computationally efficient whole-genome quantile regression at biobank scale

Genotype-phenotype associations can be context-dependent and dynamic in nature leading to heterogeneity of genetic effects across different parts of the phenotype distribution. Quantile regression, an alternative to linear regression for continuous phenotypes, is particularly well suited for detecting and characterizing heterogeneous genotype-phenotype associations. Here we propose a novel and computationally efficient whole-genome quantile regression technique, Regenie.QRS, for biobank-scale GWAS data with genetic structure. Our approach first estimates the polygenic effect, and then incorporates this effect as an offset in the non-mixed quantile regression model. Our simulations demonstrate robust control of type I error and higher power to detect heterogeneous associations relative to linear regression in GWAS, and improved power over the marginal quantile regression tests. We present applications using data from the UK Biobank and the ProgeNIA/SardiNIA project, where we show the advantages of Regenie.QRS in identifying and characterizing heterogeneous genetic effects. To cite just one interesting example, using quantile regression we are able to show that even though variants at the G6PC2 locus increase glucose levels, their effects are much stronger at lower quantiles of glucose level distribution than at higher quantiles, showing that G6PC2 serves as a guardian against low glucose levels without driving dangerous hyperglycemia, which may explain the lack of association with diabetes risk.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2025

Quantile-specific confounding: correction for subtle population stratification via quantile regression

Subtle population structure remains a significant concern in genome-wide association studies. Using human height as an example, we show how quantile regression, a natural extension of linear regression, can better correct for subtle population structure due to its inherent ability to adjust for quantile-specific effects of covariates such as principal components. We utilize data from the UK biobank and the SardiNIA/ProgeNIA project for demonstration.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2023

Quantile Regression for biomarkers in the UK Biobank

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for biomarkers important for clinical phenotypes can lead to clinically relevant discoveries. GWAS for quantitative traits are based on simplified regression models modeling the conditional mean of a phenotype as a linear function of genotype. An alternative and easy to apply approach is quantile regression that naturally extends linear regression to the analysis of the entire conditional distribution of a phenotype of interest by modeling conditional quantiles within a regression framework. Quantile regression can be applied efficiently at biobank scale using standard statistical packages in much the same way as linear regression, while having some unique advantages such as identifying variants with heterogeneous effects across different quantiles, including non-additive effects and variants involved in gene-environment interactions; accommodating a wide range of phenotype distributions with invariance to trait transformation; and overall providing more detailed information about the underlying genotype-phenotype associations. Here, we demonstrate the value of quantile regression in the context of GWAS by applying it to 39 quantitative traits in the UK Biobank (n > 300, 000 individuals). Across these 39 traits we identify 7,297 significant loci, including 259 loci only detected by quantile regression. We show that quantile regression can help uncover replicable but unmodelled gene-environment interactions, and can provide additional key insights into poorly understood genotype-phenotype correlations for clinically relevant biomarkers at minimal additional cost.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2021

Summary statistics knockoff inference empowers identification of putative causal variants in genome-wide association studies

Recent advances in genome sequencing and imputation technologies provide an exciting opportunity to comprehensively study the contribution of genetic variants to complex phenotypes. However, our ability to translate genetic discoveries into mechanistic insights remains limited at this point. In this paper, we propose an efficient knockoff-based method, GhostKnockoff, for genome-wide association studies (GWAS) that leads to improved power and ability to prioritize putative causal variants relative to conventional GWAS approaches. The method requires only Z-scores from conventional GWAS and hence can be easily applied to enhance existing and future studies. The method can also be applied to meta-analysis of multiple GWAS allowing for arbitrary sample overlap. We demonstrate its performance using empirical simulations and two applications: (1) analysis of 1,403 binary phenotypes from the UK Biobank data in 408,961 samples of European ancestry, and (2) a meta-analysis for Alzheimers disease (AD) comprising nine overlapping large-scale GWAS, whole-exome and whole-genome sequencing studies. The UK Biobank analysis demonstrates superior performance of the proposed method compared to conventional GWAS in both statistical power (2.05-fold more discoveries) and localization of putative causal variants at each locus (46% less proxy variants due to linkage disequilibrium). The AD meta-analysis identified 55 risk loci (including 31 new loci) with ~70% of the proximal genes at these loci showing suggestive signal in downstream single-cell transcriptomic analyses. Our results demonstrate that GhostKnockoff can identify putatively functional variants with weaker statistical effects that are missed by conventional association tests.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2021

Identification of putative causal loci in whole-genome sequencing data via knockoff statistics

The analysis of whole-genome sequencing studies is challenging due to the large number of rare variants in noncoding regions and the lack of natural units for testing. We propose a statistical method to detect and localize rare and common risk variants in whole-genome sequencing studies based on a recently developed knockoff framework. It can (1) prioritize causal variants over associations due to linkage disequilibrium thereby improving interpretability; (2) help distinguish the signal due to rare variants from shadow effects of significant common variants nearby; (3) integrate multiple knockoffs for improved power, stability and reproducibility; and (4) flexibly incorporate state-of-the-art and future association tests to achieve the benefits proposed here. In applications to whole-genome sequencing data from the Alzheimers Disease Sequencing Project (ADSP) and COPDGene samples from NHLBI Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) Program we show that our method compared with conventional association tests can lead to substantially more discoveries.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2021

A Multi-dimensional Integrative Scoring Framework for Predicting Functional Regions in the Human Genome

Attempts to identify and prioritize functional DNA elements in coding and noncoding regions, particularly through use of in silico functional annotation data,continue to increase in popularity. However, specific functional roles may vary widely from one variant to another, making it challenging to summarize different aspects of variant function. Here we propose Multi-dimensional Annotation Class Integrative Estimation (MACIE), an unsupervised multivariate mixed model framework capable of integrating annotations of diverse origin to assess multi-dimensional functional roles for both coding and noncoding variants. Unlike existing one-dimensional scoring methods, MACIE views variant functionality as a composite attribute encompassing multiple characteristics, and estimates the joint posterior functional probability vector of each genomic position, a quantity that offers richer and more interpretable information in the presence of multiple aspects of functionality. Applied to a variety of independent coding and non-coding datasets, MACIE demonstrates powerful and robust performance in discriminating between functional and non-functional variants. We also show an application of MACIE to fine-mapping using lipids GWAS summary statistics data from the European Network for Genetic and Genomic Epidemiology Consortium.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2020

Multitrait genetic-phenotype associations to connect disease variants and biological mechanisms

BackgroundGenome-wide association studies (GWAS) uncovered a wealth of associations between common variants and human phenotypes. These results, widely shared across the scientific community as summary statistics, fostered a flurry of secondary analysis: heritability and genetic correlation assessment, pleiotropy characterization and multitrait association test. Amongst these secondary analyses, a rising new field is the decomposition of multitrait genetic effects into distinct profiles of pleiotropy. ResultsWe conducted an integrative analysis of GWAS summary statistics from 36 phenotypes to decipher multitrait genetic architecture and its link to biological mechanisms. We started by benchmarking multitrait association tests on a large panel of phenotype sets and established the Omnibus test as the most powerful in practice. We detected 322 new associations that were not previously reported by univariate screening. Using independent significant associations, we investigated the breakdown of genetic association into clusters of variants harboring similar multitrait association profile. Focusing on two subsets of immunity and metabolism phenotypes, we then demonstrate how SNPs within clusters can be mapped to biological pathways and disease mechanisms, providing a putative insight for numerous SNPs with unknown biological function. Finally, for the metabolism set, we investigate the link between gene cluster assignment and success of drug targets in random control trials. We report additional uninvestigated drug targets classified by clusters. ConclusionsMultitrait genetic signals can be decomposed into distinct pleiotropy profiles that reveal consistent with pathways databases and random control trials. We propose this method for the mapping of unannotated SNPs to putative pathways.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2020

Ancestry adjustment improves genome-wide estimates of regional intolerance

Genomic regions subject to purifying selection are more likely to carry disease causing mutations. Cross species conservation is often used to identify such regions but has limited resolution to detect selection on short evolutionary timescales such as that occurring in only one species. In contrast, intolerance looks for depletion of variation relative to expectation within a species, allowing species specific features to be identified. When estimating the intolerance of noncoding sequence methods strongly leverage variant frequency distributions. As the expected distributions depend on demography, if not properly controlled for, ancestral population source may obfuscate signals of selection. We demonstrate that properly incorporating demography in intolerance estimation greatly improved variant classification (13% increase in AUC relative to comparison constraint test, CDTS; and 9% relative to conservation). We provide a genome-wide intolerance map that is conditional on demographic history that is likely to be particularly valuable for variant prioritization.

genetics↗