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Holmes, C.

Publications and source records attributed to Holmes, C..

12 recordsLinked to original sources

MIDFA: Scalable Bayesian Factor Analysis for Mixed and Incomplete Data

Probabilistic latent variable models are a powerful tool for uncovering structure in high-dimensional datasets, particularly in biomedical applications. The increasing availability of large-scale epidemiological studies, such as the UK Biobank, poses important modelling challenges, including mixed data types, high dimensionality, and structured missingness. Existing approaches address some of these issues, but few provide a unified and scalable framework for handling them simultaneously. Here, we propose a scalable Bayesian factor analysis framework designed to address these challenges. Our method combines a semi-parametric Gaussian copula model with a continuous spike-and-slab prior to induce sparse and interpretable factor loadings. The number of latent dimensions is learned nonparametrically from the data using an Indian buffet process prior. For model fitting, we develop an expectation-maximisation algorithm that naturally accommodates missing data. We validate the proposed method through comprehensive simulation studies. In addition, we showcase the proposed model using the Novartis-Oxford Multiple Sclerosis dataset in two ways. First, we identify latent dimensions shared across MS clinical and neuroimaging variables, characterising disease structure while demonstrating the models ability to handle multiple data types and structured missingness. Second, we use the model for dimensionality reduction of structural MRI data, extracting features for downstream analysis that go beyond traditional whole-brain summary statistics. In those applications, our method identifies sparse latent structures and provides insights beyond those obtained from traditional approaches.

neuroscience↗

Drought tolerance of Aedes aegypti mosquito eggs is influenced by adaptation to local climate conditions and associations with humans

Urbanization is intensifying human interactions with mosquitoes, exacerbating public health challenges. Densely populated areas provide ideal conditions for container-dwelling mosquitoes, with increased host availability and the presence of artificial breeding sites. These anthropophilic mosquitoes often exhibit distinct ecological adaptations compared to their rural counterparts. Since mosquito eggs are immobile and remain at the site of oviposition, they provide a valuable lens for assessing how urbanization, climate-driven shifts in temperature, and drought affect mosquito reproductive success. This study examined Ae. aegypti egg viability under varying temperature and dry conditions over five months, focusing on lineages with distinct ancestries from West African populations. Mosquitoes collected from urban habitats with a high human preference demonstrated higher egg survival under prolonged arid conditions. Analysis of climatic factors revealed that dry season temperature and precipitation during wet periods are significant predictors of egg drought tolerance. Modeling future climate scenarios based on input from our egg viability results suggests a projected shift and expansion in the seasonal survival window for Ae. aegypti by the end of the century. This study highlights the importance of understanding environmental constraints on the drought tolerance of mosquito eggs to predict and mitigate future mosquito outbreaks.

physiology↗

Parallel but distinct adaptive routes in the budding and fission yeasts after 10,000 generations of experimental evolution

Quantitative genetics approaches designed to understand the evolution of traits have helped improve our understanding of the genetic basis of adaptation. However, they often overlook crucial aspects of adaptation, including the long-term temporal evolutionary dynamics, the predictability of evolutionary outcomes, the influence of past evolution on future evolutionary trajectories (contingency), and the diversity of molecular mechanisms underlying adaptation. Experimental evolution has been a useful tool for answering these questions, but extracting fundamental principles and predictive features of evolutionary outcomes from these datasets remains challenging due to the large number of covariates and confounding effects, such as differences in experimental setup, species lifestyle, gene content, and evolution rate. Here, we sought to circumvent these challenges by comparing distant yeast species that share several evolutionary features but differ mainly in evolutionary history and genome architecture, i.e. Saccharomyces cerevisiae and Schizosaccharomyces pombe. Thus, we evolved 10 populations of the fission yeast for 10,000 generations in the same conditions as a pre-existing budding yeast dataset (i.e. high-sugar media and hypoxic conditions), allowing us to observe repeatable evolutionary outcomes within species but diverse molecular mechanisms and targets of adaptation across species. The most frequent adapting route in these conditions involved upregulating fermentation genes and downregulating the glycolysis gene pyk1, which has not previously been observed in S. cerevisiae evolved populations or in wild Kluyveromyces lactis, but similar evolutionary paths have been observed in Schizosaccharomyces japonicus and in clinically relevant populations, such as some cancer cells. This suggests that parallelism is pervasive in the tree of life and that mechanisms of adaptation can be shared among closely related or distant species. Despite similar gene content and identical environments, recurrent adaptation across S. pombe populations involved different genes than in S. cerevisiae and was mostly detectable at the transcriptomic level. This suggests that trans-regulatory effects may play an important role in adaptation on short evolutionary timescales and that differences in evolutionary outcomes between these species may be attributed to contingency.

evolutionary biology↗

Wound healing and angiogenic profiling of dermal endothelial cells isolated from people with type 2 diabetes.

Impaired wound healing in type 2 diabetes (T2D) is associated with microvascular dysfunction and remains a significant clinical challenge. We aimed to determine whether primary human dermal microvascular endothelial cells (HDMVECs) from individuals with T2D exhibit abnormal cellular functions, and whether exposure to T2D serum impacts healthy endothelial function. In Experiment 1, T2D-HDMVECs displayed paradoxically higher migratory and angiogenic capacities than their healthy counterparts, despite markedly reduced eNOS expression and disrupted endothelial-identity gene expression. In Experiments 2 and 3, healthy HDMVECs showed decreased tube formation, nitric oxide production, and Notch/angiogenesis-related gene expression after exposure to both healthy and T2D serum, suggesting the presence of serum-derived factors that inhibit these pathways. However, T2D-HDMVECs remained largely unresponsive to these serum-driven effects, reinforcing an "intrinsic" reprogramming of T2D endothelial cells. Overall, our data reveal a complex interplay between cell-autonomous alterations and extrinsic signals in diabetic endothelial dysfunction. Therapeutic strategies targeting both intrinsic cellular programs (e.g., eNOS, Notch signaling) and the circulating milieu may represent promising avenues for enhancing wound repair in patients with T2D.

physiology↗

BARTharm: MRI Harmonization Using Image Quality Metrics and Bayesian Non-parametric

Image derived phenotypes (IDPs) harmonization from Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) data is essential for reducing scanner-induced, non-biological variability and enabling accurate multi-site analysis. Existing methods like ComBat, while widely used, rely on linear assumptions and explicit scanner IDs - limitations that reduce their effectiveness in real-world scenarios involving complex scanner effects, non-linear biological variation, or anonymized data. We introduce BARTharm, a novel harmonization framework that uses Image Quality Metrics (IQMs) instead of Scanner IDs and models scanner and biological effects separately using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), allowing for flexible, data-driven adjustment of IDPs. Through extensive simulation studies, we demonstrate that IQMs provide a more informative and flexible representation of scanner-related variation than categorical Scanner IDs, enabling more accurate removal of non-biological effects. Leveraging this and its ability to model complex relationships, BARTharm, consistently outperforms ComBat across a range of challenging scenarios, including model misspecification and confounded scanner-biological relationships. Applied to real-world datasets, BARTharm successfully removes scanner-induced bias while preserving meaningful biological signals, resulting in stronger, more reliable associations with clinical outcomes. Overall, we find that BARTharm is a robust, data-driven improvement over traditional harmonization approaches, particularly suited for modern, large-scale neuroimaging studies.

neuroscience↗

A metagene of NRF2 expression is a prognostic biomarker in all stage colorectal cancer

ObjectiveNrf2 overexpression confers poor prognosis in some cancers but its role in colorectal cancer (CRC) is unknown. Due to its role as a transcription factor we hypothesise a metagene of NRF2 regulated genes could act as a prognostic biomarker in CRC.\n\nDesignUsing known NRF2 regulated genes, we defined an NRF2 metagene to represent the pathway expression using principal component analysis and Cox proportional hazard models. The NRF2 metagene was validated in four independent datasets, including the recently profiled MRC FOCUS randomised controlled trial.\n\nResults36 genes comprised the final prognostic metagene in the training set. 1,360 patients were included in the validation analyses. High NRF2 metagene expression is associated with worse disease free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) outcomes in stage I/II/III disease and worse OS in stage IV disease. In multivariate analyses, NRF2 expression remained significant when adjusted for known prognostic factors of adjuvant chemotherapy and stage in stage I/II/III disease, as well as BRAF V600E mutation and sidedness in stage IV disease. NRF2 metagene expression exhibits variation within each of the Consensus Molecular Subtypes (CMS) but high expression is particularly enriched in CMS 4.\n\nConclusionWe demonstrate in a large scale analysis that NRF2 expression is a novel biomarker of poor prognosis across all stages of colorectal cancer. Higher expression observed in CMS 4 further refines the molecular taxonomy of colorectal cancer.

cancer biology↗

treeSeg: Testing for Dependence on Tree Structures

Tree structures, showing hierarchical relationships and the latent structures between samples, are ubiquitous in genomic and biomedical sciences. A common question in many studies is whether there is an association between a response variable measured on each sample and the latent group structure represented by some given tree. Currently this is addressed on an ad hoc basis, usually requiring the user to decide on an appropriate number of clusters to prune out of the tree to be tested against the response variable. Here we present a statistical method with statistical guarantees that tests for association between the response variable and a fixed tree structure across all levels of the tree hierarchy with high power, while accounting for the overall false positive error rate. This enhances the robustness and reproducibility of such findings. Significance StatementTree like structures are abundant in the empirical sciences as they can summarize high dimensional data and show latent structure among many samples in a single framework. Prominent examples include phylogenetic trees or hierarchical clustering derived from genetic data. Currently users employ ad hoc methods to test for association between a given tree and a response variable, which reduces reproducibility and robustness. In this paper, we introduce treeSeg, a simple to use and widely applicable methodology with high power for testing between all levels of hierarchy for a given tree and the response while accounting for the overall false positive rate. Our method allows for precise uncertainty quantification and therefore increases interpretability and reproducibility of such studies across many fields of science.

bioinformatics↗

Gene-Based Analysis in HRC Imputed Genome Wide Association Data Identifies Three Novel Genes For Alzheimer’s Disease

A novel POLARIS gene-based analysis approach was employed to compute gene-based polygenic risk score (PRS) for all individuals in the latest HRC imputed GERAD (N cases=3,332 and N controls=9,832) data using the International Genomics of Alzheimers Project summary statistics (N cases=13,676 and N controls=27,322, excluding GERAD subjects) to identify the SNPs and weight their risk alleles for the PRS score. SNPs were assigned to known, protein coding genes using GENCODE (v19). SNPs are assigned using both 1) no window around the gene and 2) a window of 35kb upstream and 10kb downstream to include transcriptional regulatory elements. The overall association of a gene is determined using a logistic regression model, adjusting for population covariates.\n\nThree novel gene-wide significant genes were determined from the POLARIS gene-based analysis using a gene window; PPARGC1A, RORA and ZNF423. The ZNF423 gene resides in an Alzheimers disease (AD)-specific protein network which also includes other AD-related genes. The PPARGC1A gene has been linked to energy metabolism and the generation of amyloid beta plaques and the RORA has strong links with genes which are differentially expressed in the hippocampus. We also demonstrate no enrichment for genes in either loss of function intolerant or conserved noncoding sequence regions.

genetics↗

Interferon lambda 4 impacts broadly on hepatitis C virus diversity.

Type III interferons (IFN-{lambda}) are part of the innate immune response to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection however the specific role of IFN-{lambda}4 and the nature of the viral adaption to this pressure have not been defined. Here we use paired genome-wide human and viral genetic data in 485 patients infected with HCV genotype 3a to explore the role of IFN-{lambda}4 on HCV evolution during chronic infection. We show that genetic variations within the host IFNL4 locus have a broad and systematic impact on HCV amino acid diversity. We also demonstrate that this impact is larger in patients producing a more active form of IFN-{lambda}4 protein compared to the less active form. A similar observation was noted for viral load. We conclude that IFN-{lambda}4 protein is a likely causal agent driving widespread HCV amino acid changes and associated with viral load and possibly other clinical and biological outcomes of HCV infection.

genomics↗

GWAS identifies 10 loci for objectively-measured physical activity and sleep with causal roles in cardiometabolic disease.

Physical activity and sleep disorders are established risk factors for many diseases, but their etiology is poorly understood, partly due to a reliance on self-reported evidence. Here we report a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of wearable-defined and machine-learned physical activity and sleep phenotypes in 91,112 UK Biobank participants, and self-reported physical activity in 351,154 UK Biobank participants. While the self-reported activity analysis resulted in no significant (p<5x10-9) loci, the analysis of objectively-measured traits identified 10 loci, 6 of which are novel. These 10 loci account for 0.05% of activity and 0.33% of sleep phenotype variation, but genome-wide estimates suggest that common variation accounts for ~12% of phenotypic variation, indicating high polygenicity. Heritability was higher in women than in men for overall activity ({Delta}h2 = 4%, p=6.3x10-5), moderate intensity activity (6%, p=6.7x10-8), and walking (5%, p=2.6x10-6). Heritability partitioning, enrichment and pathway analyses all indicate the central nervous system plays a role in activity behaviours. Mendelian randomization in publicly available GWAS data and in 278,367 UK Biobank participants, who were not included in our discovery analyses, suggest that overall activity might be causally related to lowering body fat percentage (beta per SD higher overall activity: -0.44, SE=0.047, p=2.70x10-21) and systolic blood pressure (beta per SD: -0.71, SE=0.125, p=1.38x10-8). Our current results advocate the value of physical activity for the reduction of adiposity and blood pressure.

genetics↗

Statistical machine learning of sleep and physical activity phenotypes from sensor data in 96,609 UK Biobank participants

Current public health guidelines on physical activity and sleep duration are limited by a reliance on subjective self-reported evidence. Using data from simple wrist-worn activity monitors, we developed a tailored machine learning model, using balanced random forests with Hidden Markov Models, to reliably detect a number of activity modes. We show that physical activity and sleep behaviours can be classified with 87% accuracy in 159,504 minutes of recorded free-living behaviours from 132 adults. These trained models can be used to infer fine resolution activity patterns at the population scale in 96,220 participants. For example, we find that men spend more time in both low- and high-intensity behaviours, while women spend more time in mixed behaviours. Walking time is highest in spring and sleep time lowest during the summer. This work opens the possibility of future public health guidelines informed by the health consequences associated with specific, objectively measured, physical activity and sleep behaviours.

bioinformatics↗

Dehydration Bouts Prompt Increased Activity And Blood Feeding By Mosquitoes

Mosquitoes are prone to dehydration and respond to this stress through multiple mechanisms, but previous studies have examined very specific responses and fail to provide an encompassing view of the role that dehydration has on mosquito biology. This study examined underlying changes in biology of the northern house mosquito, Culex pipiens, associated with short bouts of dehydration. We show that dehydration increased blood feeding propensity of mosquitoes, which was the result of both enhanced activity and a higher tendency to land on a host. Mosquitoes exposed to dehydrating conditions with access to water or rehydrated individuals experience no water loss and failed to display behavioral changes. RNA-seq and metabolome analyses following dehydration indicated that factors associated with energy metabolism are altered, specifically the breakdown of trehalose to yield glucose, which likely underlies changes in mosquito activity. Suppression of trehalose breakdown by RNA interference reduced phenotypes associated with dehydration. Comparable results were noted for two other mosquito species, suggesting this is a general response among mosquitoes. Lastly, field-based mesocosm studies using C. pipiens revealed that dehydrated mosquitoes were more likely to host feed, and disease modeling indicates dehydration bouts may increase transmission of West Nile virus. These results suggest that periods of dehydration prompt mosquitoes to utilize blood feeding as a mechanism to obtain water. This dehydration-induced increase in blood feeding is likely to intensify disease transmission during periods of low water availability.\n\nSignificanceDehydration stress has substantial impacts on the biology of terrestrial invertebrates. To date, no studies have elucidated the difference between dehydration exposure and realized water loss in relation to mosquito behavior and physiology. Our experiments show that direct dehydration stress increases mosquito activity and subsequent blood feeding, likely as a mechanism to locate and utilize a bloodmeal for rehydration. These dehydration-induced phenotypes were linked to altered carbohydrate metabolism that acts as a source of energy. This study provides important insight into the impact of mosquito-dehydration dynamics on disease transmission that is likely general among mosquitoes.

physiology↗