Non-heritable variation in individual fitness adds stability to neutral theories in ecology and evolution
Neutral theories in ecology1 and evolution2 contend that high diversity of natural communities and high rates of molecular evolution conform to models where individuals have equal fitness and mutations have no effects. Demographic stochasticity makes community and population compositions inherently unstable under these models, with overall levels of diversity being maintained by random processes. This is in contrast with niche and adaptive theories which emphasize differences between species or genotypes as the key to their coexistence3. Here we show that non-heritable variation in individual fitness within species or genotypes can stabilize coexistence without evoking niche differentiation. We construct two classes of mathematical models based on experimental evidence: (1) bacterial growth with variation in cell longevity4,5; and (2) microbial transmission in a host population with variation in host susceptibility6-11. We find stable coexistence of 2 bacterial species in the first model under a single oscillating resource, and 3 or more in the second with independent distributions of host susceptibility to the various microbial species. We discuss the implications of these findings for the interpretation of common measures of relative fitness and for the maintenance of biodiversity.