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Hill, S. C.

Publications and source records attributed to Hill, S. C..

10 recordsLinked to original sources
bioRxiv2024

Utilising citizen science data to rapidly assess potential wild bridging hosts and reservoirs of infection: avian influenza outbreaks in Great Britain

High pathogenicity avian influenza virus (HPAIV) is a rapidly evolving orthomyxovirus causing significant economic and environmental harm. Wild birds are a key reservoir of infection and an important source of viral incursions into poultry populations. However, we lack thorough understanding of which wild species drive incursions and whether this changes over time. We explored associations between abundances of 152 avian species and cases of HPAI in poultry premises across Great Britain between October-2021 and January-2023. Spatial generalised additive models were used, with species abundance distributions sourced from eBird modelled predictions. Associations were investigated at the species-specific level and across aggregations of species. During autumn/winter, associations were generally strongest with waterbirds such as ducks and geese; however, we also found significant associations in other groups such as non-native gamebirds, and rapid change in species-specific associations over time. Our results demonstrate the value of citizen science in rapid exploration of wild reservoirs of infection as facilitators of disease incursion into domestic hosts, especially in regions where surveillance programmes in wild birds are absent. This can be a critical step towards improving species-specific biosecurity measures and targeted surveillance; particularly for HPAIV, which has undergone sudden shifts in host-range and continues to rapidly evolve.

ecology↗
bioRxiv2023

Association of poultry vaccination with the interspecies transmission and molecular evolution of H5 subtype avian influenza virus

The effectiveness of vaccinating poultry in preventing the transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses (AIVs) has been questioned for years and its impact on wild birds is uncertain 1-3. Here we reconstruct movements of H5 subtype AIV lineages among vaccinated poultry, unvaccinated poultry, and wild birds, worldwide from 1996 to 2023. We find that lineage transitions among host types are lagged and that movements from wild birds to unvaccinated poultry were more frequent than those from wild birds to vaccinated poultry. However, we also find that the HA gene of the AIV lineage that circulated predominately among Chinese poultry with high vaccination coverage underwent faster evolution and greater nonsynonymous divergence than other lineages. Further, this Chinese poultry lineage contained more codons inferred to be under positive selection, including at known antigenic sites, and its rates of nonsynonymous divergence and adaptative fixation increased after mass poultry vaccination began. Our results indicate that the epidemiological, ecological and evolutionary consequences of widespread AIV vaccination in poultry may be linked in complex ways, and that much work is needed to better understand how such interventions may affect AIV transmission to, within and from wild birds.

evolutionary biology↗
bioRxiv2023

Genetic diversity, recombination and cross-species transmission of a waterbird gammacoronavirus in the wild

2.Viruses emerging from wildlife can cause outbreaks in humans and domesticated animals. Predicting the emergence of future pathogens and mitigating their impacts requires an understanding of what shapes virus diversity and dynamics in wildlife reservoirs. In order to better understand coronavirus ecology in wild species, we sampled birds within a coastal freshwater lagoon habitat across five years, focussing on a large population of mute swans (Cygnus olor) and the diverse species that they interact with. We discovered and characterised the full genome of a divergent gammacoronavirus belonging to the Goose coronavirus CB17 species. We investigated the genetic diversity and dynamics of this gammacoronavirus using untargeted metagenomic sequencing of 223 fecal samples from swans of known age and sex, and RT-PCR screening of 1632 additional bird samples. The virus circulated persistently within the bird community; virus prevalence in mute swans exhibited seasonal variations, but did not change with swan age-class or epidemiological year. One whole genome was fully characterised, and revealed that the virus originated from a recombination event involving an undescribed gammacoronavirus species. Multiple lineages of this gammacoronavirus co-circulated within our study population. Viruses from this species have recently been detected in aquatic birds from both the Anatidae and Rallidae families, implying that host species habitat sharing may be important in shaping virus host range. As the host range of the Goose coronavirus CB17 species is not limited to geese, we propose that this species name should be updated to "Waterbird gammacoronavirus 1". Non-invasive sampling of bird coronaviruses may provide a tractable model system for understanding the evolutionary and cross-species dynamics of coronaviruses.

ecology↗
bioRxiv2022

Seasonal dynamics of the wild rodent faecal virome

Viral discovery studies in wild animals often rely on cross-sectional surveys at a single time point. As a result, our understanding of the temporal stability of wild animal viromes remains poorly resolved. While studies of single host-virus systems indicate that host and environmental factors influence seasonal virus transmission dynamics, comparable insights for whole viral communities in multiple hosts are lacking. Leveraging non-invasive faecal samples from a long-term wild rodent study, we characterised viral communities of three common European rodent species (Apodemus sylvaticus, A. flavicollis, and M. glareolus) living in temperate woodland over a single year. Our findings indicate that a substantial fraction of the rodent virome is seasonally transient and associated with vertebrate or bacteria hosts. Further analyses of one of the most abundant virus families, Picornaviruses, show pronounced temporal changes in viral richness and diversity, which were associated with concurrent and up to [~]3-month lags in host density, ambient temperature, rainfall and humidity, suggesting complex feedbacks from the host and environmental factors on virus transmission and shedding in seasonal habitats. Overall, this study emphasizes the importance of understanding the seasonal dynamics of wild animal viromes in order to better predict and mitigate zoonotic risks.

ecology↗
bioRxiv2019

Early identification of dengue virus lineage replacement in Brazil using portable genomic surveillance

Over 400 million people are estimated to be at risk of acquiring dengue virus (DENV). Despite efforts to mitigate the impact of DENV epidemics, the virus remains a public health problem in the Americas: more than one million DENV cases were reported in the continent between January and July 2019 DENV was first detected in Brazil in 1982, and Brazil has reported 88% (1,127,244 cases) of all DENV cases in the Americas during 2019 to date. Sao Paulo state in the southeast of Brazil has reported nearly half of all DENV infections in the country. Here we characterised the genetic diversity of DENV strains circulating in Sao Paulo state in 2019, at the epicentre of the ongoing DENV epidemic. Using portable nanopore sequencing we generated 20 new DENV genome sequences from viremic patients with suspected dengue infection residing in two of the most-affected municipalities, Araraquara and Sao Jose do Rio Preto. We conducted a comprehensive phylogenetic analysis with 1,630 global DENV strains to better understand the evolutionary history of the DENV lineages that currently circulate in the region. The new outbreak strains were classified as DENV2 genotype III (American/Asian genotype). Notably, phylogenetic analysis indicated that the 2019 outbreak is the result of a novel DENV lineage that was recently introduced to Brazil from the Caribbean region. Our genetic analysis further indicates that the introduction and onwards spread of the outbreak lineage (named here DENV2-III BR-4) indicates a new DENV2 lineage replacement in Brazil. Dating phylogeographic analysis suggests that DENV2-III BR-4 was introduced to Brazil in or around early 2014, possibly from the Caribbean region. Our study describes the early detection of a newly introduced and rapidly-expanding DENV2 virus lineage in Brazil.\n\nAuthor SummaryDengue is the most important mosquito-borne viral disease of humans. The disease is caused by the dengue virus (DENV) that is classified within genus Flavivirus. DENV infections are caused by 4 serotypes (DENV 1-4) that are genetically related but antigenically distinct. Dengue infection results in a variety of symptoms that range from mild fever to dengue hemorrhagic fever and/or dengue shock syndrome (DHF/DSS). Clinical outcomes are associated with different types of infection, viral serotypes, genotypes, lineages, and host genetic factors. As a re-emerging infectious disease, DENV has become a serious threat to public health in the Americas, and particularly in Brazil, where it was introduced in the 1980s and became well established due to the country-wide re-infestation of the Aedes aegypti mosquito vector species. During the first six months of 2019, 1,282,183 DENV cases were reported in the Americas, with Brazil reporting a staggering 1,127,244 (88%) of all dengue cases in the continent. To date, no information exists on the genetic composition of the DENV lineage or lineages causing the current epidemic. Here we use portable sequencing to rapidly generate virus genome data from cases occurring in two different are severely-affected municipalities in Sao Paulo state, Brazil. We find that the 2019 dengue outbreak in Brazil is caused by a newly introduced DENV serotype 2 genotype III (Asian/American) that seems to be replacing previously-circulating DENV2 lineages. We discuss the potential implications of our results regarding the current outbreak in the context of previous outbreaks in the same region.

genomics↗
bioRxiv2019

Genomic Surveillance of Yellow Fever Virus Epidemic Waves in Sao Paulo, Brazil, 2017 - 2018

Sao Paulo (SP), a densely inhabited state in southeast Brazil that contains the fourth most populated city in the world, recently experienced its largest yellow fever virus (YFV) outbreak in decades. YFV does not normally circulate extensively in SP, so most people were unvaccinated when the outbreak began. Surveillance in non-human primates (NHPs) is important for determining the magnitude and geographic extent of an epizootic, thereby helping to evaluate the risk of YFV spillover to humans. Data from infected NHPs can give more accurate insights into YFV spread than when using data from human cases alone. To contextualise human cases, identify epizootic foci and uncover the rate and direction of YFV spread in SP, we generated and analysed virus genomic data and epizootic case data from NHP in SP. We report the occurrence of three spatiotemporally distinct phases of the outbreak in SP prior to February 2018. We generated 51 new virus genomes from YFV positive cases identified in 23 different municipalities in SP, mostly sampled from non-human primates between October 2016 and January 2018. Although we observe substantial heterogeneity in lineage dispersal velocities between phylogenetic branches, continuous phylogeographic analyses of generated YFV genomes suggest that YFV lineages spread in Sao Paulo state at a mean rate of approximately 1km per day during all phases of the outbreak. Viral lineages from the first epizootic phase in northern Sao Paulo subsequently dispersed towards the south of the state to cause the second and third epizootic phases there. This alters our understanding of how YFV was introduced into the densely populated south of SP state. Our results shed light on the sylvatic transmission of yellow fever in highly fragmented forested regions in SP state and highlight the importance of continued surveillance of zoonotic pathogens in sentinel species. Authors SummarySince July 2016, the southeast region of Brazil has experienced the largest yellow fever virus (YFV) outbreak in decades. Sao Paulo is the most densely populated state in southeast Brazil. The outbreak has caused serious public health concern in the state, as YFV does not normally circulate widely there and most of the 21 million inhabitants were correspondingly unvaccinated against YFV when the outbreak began. In Brazil, YFV typically circulates among non-human primates, and human cases represent isolated spillover events from this predominantly sylvatic cycle. Understanding the epidemiological dynamics and spread of YFV in non-human primates is therefore critical for contextualising human cases, and guiding vaccination strategies that can better protect local human populations. Here, we aim to contextualise human cases, identify epizootic foci and uncover the rate and direction of YFV spread in SP. We analyse the geographic and temporal distribution of observed cases of YFV in non-human primates in Sao Paulo state, and identify three distinct phases of the epizootic. We generate sequence data from 51 YFV-positive cases and perform phylogenetic and phylogeographic analyses aimed at understanding the spatial spread of YFV in Sao Paulo state. Analyses of these data indicate that YFV spread from the north of Sao Paulo state into more densely populated southern regions. Although we observe substantial heterogeneity in the rate at which different sampled YFV lineages spread, the typical rate of spread was low with a mean rate of ~1 km per day. This is consistent with a scenario in which the majority of transmission events occurred between non-human primates and sylvatic vectors across forested patches. Article Summary LineGenomic surveillance of yellow fever in Sao Paulo during the 2016-2018 epizootic

epidemiology↗
bioRxiv2019

Emergence of the Zika virus Asian lineage in Angola

Research In ContextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSWe searched PubMed without language restrictions using the keywords Zika and Africa for papers published to October 2018. We also checked available Situation Report publications from WHO for evidence of Zika virus (ZIKV) or congenital Zika disease in Africa. ZIKV African lineage has been detected within Africa since the mid 20th century, yet evidence for spread of the ZIKV Asian lineage within Africa is limited. Two countries in Africa (Cabo Verde and Angola) have reported ZIKV cases that are believed to be caused by a newly introduced Asian lineage virus. Sequence data are critical for confirming and understanding the spread of ZIKV Asian lineage within Africa, but these data are currently limited to a single 193bp fragment of the ZIKV NS1 gene from Angola. In addition, whilst epidemiological data on ZIKV and suspected microcephaly cases have been reported in detail from Cabo Verde, data from Angola are extremely limited.\n\nAdded value of this studyWe provide a detailed report of detected ZIKV acute cases and suspected microcephaly cases in Angola. We sequence ZIKV genomes from three acutely infected cases. These represent the first three Asian lineage genomes available from Africa, one of which was acquired from a baby with confirmed microcephaly. Analysis of these sequences suggests that ZIKV may have been introduced to Angola between July 2015 and June 2016, after which it likely circulated for at least one year. This provides the first genetic confirmation of autochthonous ZIKV Asian lineage transmission within Africa. We suggest that the virus was more likely introduced to Angola directly from Brazil, rather than from Cabo Verde. Our analyses from Angola, only the second African country to report presence of the Asian virus lineage, therefore improve our understanding of the extent and clinical impact of ZIKV Asian lineage in the continent.\n\nImplications of all the available evidenceThe circulation of ZIKV Asian lineage within parts of sub-Saharan Africa is concerning given the potential for continued viral spread across much of the continent. Available evidence suggests that ZIKV has circulated and caused cases of microcephaly in Cabo Verde and in Angola. Detecting additional ZIKV transmission using only clinical data on suspected microcephaly or clusters of mild illness may be challenging in countries where systems for reporting birth defects are limited and infectious disease burden is high. Further spread of the ZIKV Asian lineage would likely not be detected unless molecular surveillance systems for ZIKV are implemented to routinely monitor ZIKV transmission in Africa. Implementation of such a surveillance system is especially important in countries that are linked by high human mobility to areas that have experienced recent or ongoing outbreaks of ZIKV.\n\nAbstractO_ST_ABSBackgroundC_ST_ABSZika virus (ZIKV) infections and suspected microcephaly cases have been recently reported in Angola, but no data are available on the origins, epidemiology, and diversity of the virus.\n\nMethodsSerum samples from 54 suspected ZIKV cases, 76 suspected microcephaly cases, and 24 mothers of infants with suspected microcephaly were received by the Angolan Ministry of Health. Computed tomographic brain imaging and serological assays (PRNT) were conducted on one microcephalic infant. All sera were tested for ZIKV by RT-qPCR. 349 samples from HIV+ patients and 336 samples from patients suspected of chikungunya virus or dengue virus infection were also tested. Portable sequencing was used to generate Angolan ZIKV genome sequences, including from a ZIKV+ neonate with microcephaly born in Portugal to an Angolan resident. Genetic and mobility data were analysed to investigate the date of introduction and geographic origin of ZIKV in Angola.\n\nFindingsFour autochthonous cases were ZIKV positive via RT-qPCR, with all positive samples collected between December 2016 and June 2017. Viral genomes were generated for two of these cases, and from the neonate with microcephaly identified in Portugal. Genetic analyses and other data indicate that ZIKV was introduced to Angola from Brazil between July 2015 and June 2016. This introduction likely initiated local ZIKV circulation in Angola that continued until June 2017. The scanned microcephaly case showed brain abnormalities consistent with congenital Zika syndrome and serological evidence for maternal ZIKV infection.\n\nInterpretationOur analyses confirm the autochthonous transmission of the ZIKV Asian lineage in continental Africa. Conducting ZIKV surveillance throughout Africa is critical in the light of presented evidence for autochthonous ZIKV transmission in Angola, and associated microcephaly cases.\n\nFundingRoyal Society, Wellcome Trust, CNPq, CAPES, ERC, Oxford Martin School, Global Challenges Research Fund, Africa Oxford, and John Fell Fund.

epidemiology↗
bioRxiv2018

Chikungunya virus outbreak in the Amazon region: replacement of the Asian genotype by an ECSA lineage

BackgroundSince its first detection in the Caribbean in late 2013, chikungunya virus (CHIKV) has affected 51 countries in the Americas. The CHIKV epidemic in the Americas was caused by the CHIKV-Asian genotype. In August 2014, local transmission of the CHIKV-Asian genotype was detected in the Brazilian Amazon region. However, a distinct lineage, the CHIKV-East-Central-South-America (ECSA)-genotype, was detected nearly simultaneously in Feira de Santana, Bahia state, northeast Brazil. The genomic diversity and the dynamics of CHIKV in the Brazilian Amazon region remains poorly understood despite its importance to better understand the epidemiological spread and public health impact of CHIKV in the country.\n\nMethodology/Principal FindingsWe report a large CHIKV outbreak (5,928 notified cases between August 2014 and August 2018) in Boa vista municipality, capital city of Roraimas state, located in the Brazilian Amazon region. In just 48 hours, we generated 20 novel CHIKV-ECSA genomes from the Brazilian Amazon region using MinION portable genome sequencing. Phylogenetic analyses revealed that despite an early introduction of the Asian genotype in 2015 in Roraima, the large CHIKV outbreak in 2017 in Boa Vista was caused by an ECSA-lineage most likely introduced from northeastern Brazil.\n\nEpidemiological analyses suggest a basic reproductive number of R0 of 1.66, which translates in an estimated 39 (95% CI: 36 to 45) % of Roraimas population infected with CHIKV-ECSA. Finally, we find a strong association between Google search activity and the local laboratory-confirmed CHIKV cases in Roraima.\n\nConclusions/SignificanceThis study highlights the potential of combining traditional surveillance with portable genome sequencing technologies and digital epidemiology to inform public health surveillance in the Amazon region. Our data reveal a large CHIKV-ECSA outbreak in Boa Vista, limited potential for future CHIKV outbreaks, and indicate a replacement of the Asian genotype by the ECSA genotype in the Amazon region.\n\nAuthor SummaryUntil the end of 2017, Brazil notified the highest number of infections caused by chikungunya virus (CHIKV) in the Americas. We investigated a large CHIKV outbreak in Boa vista municipality in the Brazilian Amazon region. Rapid portable genome sequencing of 20 novel isolates and subsequent genetic analysis revealed that ECSA lineage was introduced from northeastern Brazil to Roraima around July 2016. Epidemiological analyses suggest a basic reproductive number of R0 of 1.66, which suggests that approximately 39% of Roraimas population was infected with CHIKV-ECSA. Given the dominance of the CHIKV-Asian genotype in the Americas, our data highlights the rapid spread of a less understood and poorly characterized CHIKV-ECSA genotype in Brazil. Investigations on potential associations between public health impact of CHIKV and genetic diversity of circulating strains are warranted to better evaluate its impact in Brazil and beyond.

epidemiology↗
bioRxiv2017

Epidemic establishment and cryptic transmission of Zika virus in Brazil and the Americas

Zika virus (ZIKV) transmission in the Americas was first confirmed in May 2015 in Northeast Brazil1. Brazil has the highest number of reported ZIKV cases worldwide (>200,000 by 24 Dec 20162) as well as the greatest number of cases associated with microcephaly and other birth defects (2,366 confirmed cases by 31 Dec 20162). Following the initial detection of ZIKV in Brazil, 47 countries and territories in the Americas have reported local ZIKV transmission, with 22 of these reporting ZIKV-associated severe disease3. Yet the origin and epidemic history of ZIKV in Brazil and the Americas remain poorly understood, despite the value of such information for interpreting past trends in reported microcephaly. To address this we generated 53 complete or partial ZIKV genomes, mostly from Brazil, including data generated by the ZiBRA project - a mobile genomics lab that travelled across Northeast Brazil in 2016. One sequence represents the earliest confirmed ZIKV infection in Brazil. Joint analyses of viral genomes with ecological and epidemiological data estimate that the ZIKV epidemic first became established in NE Brazil by March 2014 and likely disseminated from there, both nationally and internationally, before the first detection of ZIKV in the Americas. Estimated dates of the international spread of ZIKV from Brazil coincide with periods of high vector suitability in recipient regions and indicate the duration of pre-detection cryptic transmission in those regions. NE Brazils role in the establishment of ZIKV in the Americas is further supported by geographic analysis of ZIKV transmission potential and by estimates of the virus basic reproduction number.\n\nOne Sentence SummaryVirus genomes reveal the establishment of Zika virus in Northeast Brazil and the Americas, and provide an appropriate timeframe for baseline (pre-Zika) microcephaly in different regions.

genomics↗