Search bioRxiv⌕ Search

Biology subjects

Hanson, J. O.

Publications and source records attributed to Hanson, J. O..

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Overcoming data limitations in macrogenetics: assessing and accounting for spatial heterogeneity in sequence data

At large scales, our ability to compare genetic diversity across species is often challenged by the difficulty of extracting range-wide sequence data from online databases. Using mitochondrial DNA from amphibians and reptiles spanning across six regions: Brazilian Atlantic Forest, Iberian Peninsula, northwestern Africa, Arabian Peninsula, Madagascar and Australian Monsoonal Tropics, we develop and implement a framework to overcome common limitations in macrogenetics. We compiled and manually curated a spatially explicit genetic dataset from public repositories, quantified the spatial representativeness of genetic sampling across species' ranges and developed a novel interpolation framework to estimate and map species-specific patterns of intraspecific genetic diversity (ISD) while accounting for heterogeneous spatial sampling. We estimated mean nucleotide diversity across species to produce regional maps for each genetic marker. Our final dataset comprised 182 amphibian and 239 reptile species, encompassing 184 genera from 54 families. Range representativeness of genetic sampling was generally high, despite some variation across study regions. Spatial patterns of ISD revealed geographic heterogeneity, and were consistent across the best-sampled mitochondrial markers. By combining automated and manual georeferencing, quantifying range representativeness, and accounting for bias in spatial interpolations, our pipeline is marker-agnostic and directly applicable to nuclear and genomic data as they become available.

evolutionary biology↗

Roadkill is a crucial factor in the population decline of migratory monarch butterflies

The charismatic migratory monarch butterfly population has declined dramatically, likely precipitated by loss of its breeding host plants (milkweed). Whether restoring milkweed would allow monarch recovery depends on whether additional factors currently limit the population. We investigated road mortality as one such factor. Monarchs cross thousands of roads during fall migration, and traffic volume has increased sharply while the population has plummeted. Using estimates of pre-migration distribution, flight patterns, and road traffic, we estimate that at least 61% (range 61% to 99.99%) of migrating monarchs are road-killed each fall. Although there is high uncertainty in our estimate, its magnitude suggests that roadkill could inhibit recovery of the population. Recovery planning should not only consider increasing the monarchs host plants, but must also address the reality of roadkill.

ecology↗

Protected area planning to conserve biodiversity in an uncertain future

Protected areas are a key instrument for conservation. Despite this, they are vulnerable to risks associated with weak governance, land use intensification, and climate change. Using a novel hierarchical optimization approach, we identified priority areas for expanding the global protected area system to explicitly account for such risks whilst maximizing protection of all known terrestrial vertebrate species. We illustrate how reducing exposure to these risks requires expanding the area of the global protected area system by 1.6% while still meeting conservation targets. Incorporating risks from weak governance drove the greatest changes in spatial priorities for protection, while incorporating risks from climate change required the largest increase in global protected area. Conserving wide-ranging species required countries with relatively strong governance to protect more land when bordering nations with comparatively weak governance. Our results underscore the need for cross-jurisdictional coordination and demonstrate how risk can be efficiently incorporated into conservation planning. Article Impact StatementAccounting for governance, land use and climate risks will result in more resilient and effective conservation effort for biodiversity.

ecology↗

Areas of global importance for terrestrial biodiversity, carbon, and water

Summary paragraphTo meet the ambitious objectives of biodiversity and climate conventions, countries and the international community require clarity on how these objectives can be operationalized spatially, and multiple targets be pursued concurrently1. To support governments and political conventions, spatial guidance is needed to identify which areas should be managed for conservation to generate the greatest synergies between biodiversity and natures contribution to people (NCP). Here we present results from a joint optimization that maximizes improvements in species conservation status, carbon retention and water provisioning and rank terrestrial conservation priorities globally. We found that, selecting the top-ranked 30% (respectively 50%) of areas would conserve 62.4% (86.8%) of the estimated total carbon stock and 67.8% (90.7%) of all clean water provisioning, in addition to improving the conservation status for 69.7% (83.8%) of all species considered. If priority was given to biodiversity only, managing 30% of optimally located land area for conservation may be sufficient to improve the conservation status of 86.3% of plant and vertebrate species on Earth. Our results provide a global baseline on where land could be managed for conservation. We discuss how such a spatial prioritisation framework can support the implementation of the biodiversity and climate conventions.

ecology↗

Integer linear programming outperforms simulated annealing for solving conservation planning problems

The resources available for conserving biodiversity are limited, and so protected areas need to be established in places that will achieve objectives for minimal cost. Two of the main algorithms for solving systematic conservation planning problems are Simulated Annealing (SA) and Integer linear programming (ILP). Using a case study in British Columbia, Canada, we compare the cost-effectiveness and processing times of SA versus ILP using both commercial and open-source algorithms. Plans for expanding protected area systems based on ILP algorithms were 12 to 30% cheaper than plans using SA. The best ILP solver we examined was on average 1071 times faster than the SA algorithm tested. The performance advantages of ILP solvers were also observed when we aimed for spatially compact solutions by including a boundary penalty. One practical advantage of using ILP over SA is that the analysis does not require calibration, saving even more time. Given the performance of ILP solvers, they can be used to generate conservation plans in real-time during stakeholder meetings and can facilitate rapid sensitivity analysis, and contribute to a more transparent, inclusive, and defensible decision-making process.

ecology↗