Search bioRxiv⌕ Search

Biology subjects

Grenyer, R.

Publications and source records attributed to Grenyer, R..

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Early outcomes of England's new biodiversity offset market

Nature markets are increasingly being operationalised as a tool for filling the biodiversity finance gap to achieve global biodiversity targets. One example is the off-site market underpinning the requirement for construction projects to achieve Biodiversity Net Gain (BNG) in England. Here, we quantify the outcomes of the market after 16 months of operation, collecting data from Englands offset register and planning portals. We evaluate the habitat diversity being delivered and how it aligns with environmental targets and existing efforts to achieve goals such as 30x30. Current habitat delivery is skewed toward a few habitat types, with other neutral grassland constituting 44% of planned habitat. There is very limited delivery of new wetland and woodland habitats, with most commitments being to improve the condition of existing habitats. Perhaps more importantly, only around 2% of the registered offset area has been sold. Our results demonstrate how the design of the statutory biodiversity metric used to measure BNG is shaping the market through incentives within the metric. The results also give insight into the demand for off-site BNG units in England and the role which government regulation plays in setting demand and therefore scaling the market.

ecology↗

Metrics based on habitat area and condition are poor proxies for invertebrate biodiversity

There is increasing demand for standardised, easy-to-use metrics to assess progress towards achieving biodiversity targets and the effectiveness of ecological compensation schemes. Biodiversity metrics based on combining habitat area and habitat condition scores are proliferating rapidly, but there is limited evidence on how they relate to ecological outcomes. Here, we test the relationship between the statutory biodiversity metric used for Biodiversity Net Gain (BNG) in England -- and as the basis for new biodiversity credit systems around the world -- and invertebrate richness, abundance, and community composition. We find that the combined area-condition BNG metric does not capture the value of arable farmland and grassland sites for invertebrate biodiversity: invertebrate communities were highly variable across sites that had the same type and condition under the BNG metric. We found no reliable relationship between scores under the metric and either invertebrate abundance or species richness, with the risk of the metric undervaluing sites of high invertebrate value. Our results highlight the need to incorporate factors beyond habitat type and condition into site evaluations, and to complement metric use with species-based surveys.

ecology↗

Automated assessment reveals extinction risk of reptiles is widely underestimated across space and phylogeny

The Red List of Threatened Species, published by the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN), is a crucial tool for conservation decision making. However, despite substantial effort, numerous species remain unassessed, or have insufficient data available to be assigned a Red List threat category. Moreover, the Red Listing process is subject to various sources of uncertainty and bias. The development of robust automated assessment methods could serve as an efficient and highly useful tool to accelerate the assessment process and offer provisional assessments. Here we aimed to: 1) present a machine learning based automated threat assessment method that can be used on less known species; 2) offer provisional assessments for all reptiles - the only major tetrapod group without a comprehensive Red List assessment; and 3) evaluate potential effects of human decision biases on the outcome of assessments. We use the method presented here to assess 4,369 reptile species that are currently unassessed or classified as Data Deficient by the IUCN. Our models range in accuracy from 88% to 93% for classifying species as threatened/non-threatened, and from 82% to 87% for predicting specific threat categories. Unassessed and Data Deficient reptiles were more likely to be threatened than assessed species, adding to mounting evidence that they should be considered threatened by default. The overall proportion of threatened species greatly increased when we included our provisional assessments. Assessor identities strongly affected prediction outcomes, suggesting that assessor effects need to be carefully considered in extinction risk assessments. Regions and taxa we identified as likely to be more threatened should be given increased attention in new assessments and conservation planning. Lastly, the method we present here can be easily implemented to help bridge the assessment gap on other less known taxa.

ecology↗

Global priorities for conservation of reptilian phylogenetic diversity in the face of human impacts

Phylogenetic Diversity (PD) is increasingly recognised as an important measure that can provide information on evolutionary and functional aspects of biodiversity for conservation planning that are not readily captured by species diversity. Here we develop and analyse two new metrics that combine the effects of PD and human encroachment on species range size -- one metric valuing regions and another enabling species prioritisation. We evaluate these metrics for reptiles, which have been largely neglected in previous studies, and contrast these results with equivalent calculations for all terrestrial vertebrate groups. We find that high human impacted areas unfortunately coincide with the most valuable areas of reptilian diversity, more than expected by chance. We also find that, under our species-level metric, the highest priority reptile species score far above the top mammal and bird species, and they include a disproportionate number of species with insufficient information on potential threats. Such Data Deficient species are, in terms of our metric, comparable to Critically Endangered species and may require urgent conservation attention.

ecology↗

Is phylogenetic diversity a surrogate for functional diversity across clades and space?

In the face of the biodiversity crisis, it is argued that we should prioritize species in order to capture high functional diversity (FD). Because species traits often reflect shared evolutionary history, many researchers have advocated for a \"phylogenetic gambit\": maximizing phylogenetic diversity (PD) should indirectly capture FD. For the first time, we empirically test this gambit using data from >15,000 vertebrate species and ecologically-relevant traits. Maximizing PD results in an average gain of 18% of FD relative to random choice. However, this average gain hides the fact that in over 1/3 of the comparisons, maximum PD sets contain less FD than randomly chosen sets of species. These results suggest that, while maximizing PD protection can help to protect FD, it represents a risky strategy.\n\nStatement of authorshipFM, MP, MC, SD, GVDR, RG, AOM, CT and WP conceived the design of the study. FM and GVDR conducted the analysis. FM, RG, MP and WP interpreted the results and wrote the first draft of the manuscript. All authors edited the final version.\n\nData accessibility statementMost of the data is publicly available (see methods). The Fish data is available upon request.\n\nCode accessibility statementR functions developed in this paper are available at https://github.com/FloMazel/FD_PD_Max

ecology↗