Biology subjects

Gogina, M.

Publications and source records attributed to Gogina, M..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2025

Weak effects of local prey density and spatial overlap on predation intensity in a temperate marine ecosystem

Quantifying the impact of lower trophic level species abundance on higher trophic level predators (and vice versa) is critical for understanding marine ecosystem dynamics and for implementing ecosystem-based management. Trophic ecosystem models generally predict a tight coupling between prey and fish predators, such that higher abundance of lower trophic species increases abundance of higher trophic level predators. This assumes that predator feeding rates are limited by prey availability to some degree. Despite being a key component of predator-prey interactions and multi-species fisheries management, relatively few studies have assessed the impacts of prey availability on predation patterns of mobile, generalist fish predators using spatiotemporal models and local-scale stomach content, predator, and prey data. In this study, we explore the association between local density of key prey and predator stomach contents, and predator-prey spatiotemporal overlap and predation indices, using the Baltic Sea as a case study. We use three decades of spatially resolved biomass and stomach content data on Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), and biomass data on three of its key prey: herring (Clupea harengus), the isopod Saduria entomon, and sprat (Sprattus sprattus). Using geostatistical generalized linear mixed effects models fitted to relative biomass density and prey-weight-per-predator-weight, we estimate spatiotemporal trends and annual indices of biomass weighted and area-expanded per-capita and population-level predation, predator-prey overlap, and the correlation between these indices. Range shifts have resulted in reduced predator-prey overlap over time, which is now the lowest in three decades. For Saduria, we find an association between prey availability and stomach contents, but not for herring or sprat. Similarly, only in Saduria do we find a positive correlation between population-level predation indices and the spatiotemporal overlap. Although behavioral interactions with pelagic prey are challenging to infer from stomach content and acoustic data due to high mobility leading to fine-scale spatiotemporal mismatch, the weak connection with local-scale availability, and low correlation between population-level predation and spatial overlap, could imply weaker coupling between pelagic prey and cod than previously thought. These findings provide key information on the strength of species interactions, which is crucial for the continued development of multispecies models and ecosystem-based fisheries management.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2024

Quantifying competition between two demersal fish species from spatiotemporal stomach content data

Inference on competition is often made on indirect patterns of potential competition, such as population trends and spatiotemporal overlap in diet and distribution. However, these indicators do not test if the contested resources are limited in supply, nor if they decline as competitor biomass increases. Using stomach content and biomass data, we evaluate food competition between Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) and flounder (Platichthys spp.) in the Baltic Sea. We quantify diet overlap and fit geostatistical mixed models to evaluate effects of local-scale covariates on stomach contents. The dietary overlap is low and does not decline with predator density. We find that cod feed less on the isopod Saduria entomon at high flounder densities. However, the total prey weight in cod is not affected by flounder densities. This suggests interspecific food competition is not limiting the overall feeding of cod, but affects its diet composition. In addition, we find support for intraspecific food competition in large cod and flounder. Our study illustrates the importance of local-scale processes when inferring competition from stomach content data.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2022

Evaluating drivers of spatiotemporal individual condition of a bottom-associated marine fish

An organisms body condition describes its mass given its length and is often positively associated with fitness. The condition of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) in the Baltic Sea has declined dramatically since the early 1990s, possibly due to increased competition, food limitation, and hypoxia. However, the effect of biotic and abiotic variables on body condition have not been evaluated at local scales, which is important given spatial heterogeneity. We evaluate changes in distribution, experienced environmental conditions, and individual-level condition of cod in relation to covariates at different spatial scales using geostatistical models with spatial and spatiotemporal random effects. Oxygen, sprat biomass, and temperature were positively related to condition, and depth negatively associated, but the effect sizes of these variables were small--spatial and spatiotemporal latent variables explained almost five times more variation than fixed effects. We also show that accounting for the heterogenous distribution of cod leads to both lover levels and steeper trends over time in experienced oxygen compared to those in the environment. Understanding the drivers of spatiotemporal variation in body condition is critical for predicting responses to environmental change and to effective fishery management; yet low explanatory power of covariates on individual condition constitutes a major challenge.

ecology↗