George, J.-P. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2021

European-wide forest monitoring substantiate the neccessity for a joint conservation strategy to rescue European ash species (Fraxinus spp.)

European ash (Fraxinus excelsior) and narrow-leafed ash (F. angustifolia) are keystone forest tree species in Europe with a broad ecological amplitude and significant economic importance. Besides global warming both species are currently under significant thread by an invasive fungal pathogen that has been progressively spreading throughout the continent for almost three decades. Ash dieback caused by the invasive ascomycete Hymenoscyphus fraxineus is capable of damaging ash trees of all age classes and often leads to the ultimate death of a tree after years of progressively developing crown defoliation. While studies at national and regional level already suggested rapid decline of ash populations as a result of ash dieback, a comprehensive survey at European level with harmonized crown assessment data across countries could shed more light into the population decline from a pan-European perspective and could also pave the way for a new conservation strategy beyond national boarders. Here, we present data from the ICP Forests Level I crown condition monitoring including 27 countries, covering the timespan from 1987-2020. In total, 407 survey plots randomly distributed across these countries were analyzed resulting in >36,000 individual observations. We found a substantial increase in defoliation and mortality over time indicating that crown defoliation has almost doubled during the last three decades. Hotspots of mortality are currently situated in southern Scandinavia and north-eastern Europe, well corresponding to the fact that the disease spread fast from north-east to north-west. Overall survival probability after nearly 30 years of infection has already reached a critical value of 0.51, but with large differences among regions (0.00-0.907). Both a Cox proportional hazard model as well as an Aalen additive regression model strongly suggest that survival of ash is significantly lower in locations with excessive water regime and which experienced more extreme precipitation events during the last two decades. Our results underpin the neccessity for fast governmental acting and joint rescue efforts beyond national boarders since overall mean defoliation will likely reach 50% as early as 2030 as suggested by time series forecasting. We strongly recommend to develop a pan-European conservation strategy before the decline will reach its tipping point resulting into non-reversible loss of diversity in the European forest landscape.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2020

Looking for the needle in a downsized haystack: Whole-exome sequencing unravels how selection and gene flow have shaped climatic adaptation in Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii)

The widespread Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco) occurs along a steep gradient of diverse climates throughout its natural range, which is expected to result in spatially varying selection to local climate conditions. However, phenotypic signals of climatic adaptation can often be confounded, because unraveled clines covary with signals caused by neutral evolutionary processes such as gene flow and genetic drift. Here, we present phenotypic and genotypic data from a common garden experiment showing a putative signal of adaptation to climate after trees have been growing for 40 years in a common environment. Sixteen Douglas-fir provenances originating from a North-to-South gradient of approx. 1,000 km were analyzed and genomic information was obtained from exome capture, which resulted in an initial genomic dataset of >90,000 single nucleotide polymorphisms. We used a restrictive and conservative filtering approach which permitted us to include only SNPs and individuals in environmental association analysis (EAA) that were free of potentially confounding effects (LD, relatedness among trees, heterozygosity deficiency and deviations from Hardy-Weinberg proportions). We used four conceptually different genome scan methods based on FST outlier detection and gene-environment association in order to disentangle truly adaptive SNPs from neutral SNPs and found that a relatively small proportion of the exome showed a truely adaptive signal (0.01-0.17%) when population substructuring and multiple testing was accounted for. Nevertheless, the unraveled SNP candidates showed significant relationship with climate at provenance origins which strongly suggests that they have most likely featured adaption in Douglas-fir across a steep climatic gradient. Two SNPs were independently found by three of the employed algorithms and one could be assigned with high probability to a Picea abies homolog gene involved in circadian clock control as was also found in Populus balsamifera.

evolutionary biology↗