Building pyramids against the evolutionary emergence of pathogens
Mutations allowing pathogens to escape host immunity promote the spread of infectious diseases in heterogeneous host populations and can lead to major epidemics. Understanding the conditions favoring these evolutionary emergences is key for the development of durable control strategies against pathogens. Here we compare the durability of three different control strategies: (i) a mixing strategy where the host population results from the mix of two single-resistant genotypes, (ii) a pyramiding strategy where host resistance is due to a single double-resistant genotype, (iii) a combining strategy where host resistance is due to a mix between a single-resistant genotype and a double-resistant genotype. First, we use evolutionary epidemiology theory to clarify the interplay between demographic stochasticity and evolutionary dynamics to show that the pyramiding strategy always yields lower probability of evolutionary emergence. Second, we confirm experimentally these predictions using virulent bacteriophages introduced in bacterial populations where we can manipulate the diversity and the depth of CRISPR immunity. Our work shows that pyramiding multiple defenses into the same individual host and avoiding mixing with single-defense strategies is a robust way to protect individuals and populations against pathogen evolutionary emergence. These results have practical implications for the optimal deployment of host resistance in agriculture and biotechnology but also for the optimal use of vaccination against human pathogens.