Ganio, E. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2024

An immune signature of postoperative cognitive decline in elderly patients

Postoperative cognitive decline (POCD) is the predominant complication affecting elderly patients following major surgery, yet its prediction and prevention remain challenging. Understanding biological processes underlying the pathogenesis of POCD is essential for identifying mechanistic biomarkers to advance diagnostics and therapeutics. This longitudinal study involving 26 elderly patients undergoing orthopedic surgery aimed to characterize the impact of peripheral immune cell responses to surgical trauma on POCD. Trajectory analyses of single-cell mass cytometry data highlighted early JAK/STAT signaling exacerbation and diminished MyD88 signaling post-surgery in patients who developed POCD. Further analyses integrating single-cell and plasma proteomic data collected before surgery with clinical variables yielded a sparse predictive model that accurately identified patients who would develop POCD (AUC = 0.80). The resulting POCD immune signature included one plasma protein and ten immune cell features, offering a concise list of biomarker candidates for developing point-of-care prognostic tests to personalize perioperative management of at-risk patients. The code and the data are documented and available at https://github.com/gregbellan/POCD. TeaserModeling immune cell responses and plasma proteomic data predicts postoperative cognitive decline.

neuroscience↗

bioRxiv2020

Integration of Mechanistic Immunological Knowledge into a Machine Learning Pipeline Increases Predictive Power

The dense network of interconnected cellular signaling responses quantifiable in peripheral immune cells provide a wealth of actionable immunological insights. While high-throughput single-cell profiling techniques, including polychromatic flow and mass cytometry, have matured to a point that enables detailed immune profiling of patients in numerous clinical settings, limited cohort size together with the high dimensionality of data increases the possibility of false positive discoveries and model overfitting. We introduce a machine learning platform, the immunological Elastic-Net (iEN), which incorporates immunological knowledge directly into the predictive models. Importantly, the algorithm maintains the exploratory nature of the high-dimensional dataset, allowing for the inclusion of immune features with strong predictive power even if not consistent with prior knowledge. In three independent studies our method demonstrates improved predictive power for clinically-relevant outcomes from mass cytometry data generated from whole blood, as well as a large simulated dataset.

bioinformatics↗