Biology subjects

Fontenille, D.

Publications and source records attributed to Fontenille, D..

7 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2026

Aedes albopictus and dengue transmission risk in France over the 21st century

Climate change is dramatically affecting species distribution and phenology worldwide. Its impact on arthropod vectors, such as the Aedes albopictus mosquito, has important consequences for biting nuisance and arbovirus transmission risk. Here, we assess the impact of climate change on the presence and abundance of Ae. albopictus, as well as the risk of dengue transmission over France during the 21st century. We use a mechanistic model that we adjusted against records of recent autochthonous cases of dengue in France. We simulate climatic suitability indicators, such as the adult abundance during the activity period, epidemic risk and secondary cases of dengue under different climatic and demographic scenarios at different periods up to 2085. Future simulations are based on a high-pressure scenario (high greenhouse gas emissions, high demographic growth) and a median-pressure scenario (median greenhouse gas emissions, demographic stagnation). To account for climate model uncertainty, we repeat the simulations for three different regional climate models. By 2085, in the high-pressure scenario, most of France (89-96%) will be climatically suitable for the establishment of Ae. albopictus, with the exception of mountain ranges. Similarly, autochthonous transmission of dengue will be theoretically possible in all colonized areas except over northern lowlands (71-95%). In the median pressure scenario, both climatic suitability for establishment (49-89%) and autochthonous dengue transmission risk (31-82%) exhibit large variation. Low population density areas show moderate suitability for vector establishment but exhibit the highest potential for dengue transmission. Overwintering mechanisms, such as egg diapause, indispensable for survival in temperate climates, may not be necessary along the Mediterranean and Basque coasts, allowing activity of the vector all year-round in the future.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2025

Temperature is the key weather determinant of Aedes albopictus seasonal activity in southern France

The presence and the activity of Aedes albopictus are a growing concern for nuisance and public health in Europe. Vector control operators, public health officers, and communities look for weather-based decision support systems to inform mosquito management policies. Despite an increasing number of entomological and modelling studies, our incomplete understanding of mosquito population response to weather drivers in natural conditions restricts the development of sound vector management policies. Here, we aim to clarify the role of weather conditions on Ae. albopictus presence and abundance in four sites in southwestern France. We rely on ovitrap longitudinal records collected on a 1-2 weeks basis and weather time series over 2023 and 2024 to model oviposition activity. Our analysis combines a mechanistic model from literature and a new machine learning model fitted on cross-correlated lagged weather predictors. Both models satisfactorily reproduce the observed oviposition dynamics, correctly predicting the onset and the end of the activity - periods that existing models have often inadequately captured. Temperature plays a major role in triggering the presence of Ae. albopictus, explaining the interannual variation of oviposition in all sites, especially in spring and autumn. In fact, warm springs and autumns extend the periods in which Ae. albopictus life-history traits (fertility, development, survival) approach their thermal optima. In summer, a more prominent role of rain and humidity emerges among secondary drivers of oviposition intensity. This work contributes to the development of operational weather-driven forecasting tools for Ae. albopictus activity to support vector control operations in different biogeographical contexts.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2025

Green cities and the risk for vector-borne disease transmission for humans and animals: a scoping review

BackgroundGreening cities is a nature-based strategy for sustainable urban development that integrates natural elements like plants or water bodies, to mitigate climate change impacts and enhance human well-being. However, urban green infrastructures (UGIs) can influence the distribution of disease vectors, potentially affecting vector-borne diseases (VBDs). UGIs may provide new suitable environments for urban vectors, while also creating opportunities to mitigate VBD risks through predation, competition, and dilution effects. This article examined the relationships between UGIs, vectors, and associated pathogens, impacting both human and animal health, highlighting knowledge gaps and identifying research priorities to support VBD risk mitigation measures and to guide smart urban planning and design. MethodsA systematic literature search was conducted following PRISMA guidelines in three databases (Pubmed, Scopus, Web of Science). Selected articles involved (i) any aspect of a urban vector system, (ii) in UGIs, and (iii) statistical analysis of the effects of UGIs on VBD risk. Methods employed to characterize UGIs and VBDs were described and the identified impacts were summarized by vector group. ResultsAmong the 98 articles reviewed, most addressed mosquito-pathogen systems (66), tick-pathogen systems (29), and few other vector-borne pathogen systems (3), with studies often confined to a single city or several cities within the same country and focused on one vector group. Urban vegetation generally appeared to heighten the risk of tick-borne diseases. In contrast, the influence of UGIs on the risk of mosquito-borne diseases varied depending on the vector system and on the environmental and climatic context. The diversity of indicators used to assess UGIs and VBD risks may affect the observed impact on VBD risk. ConclusionGiven the increasing popularity of urban greening, it is crucial to investigate its potential implications for public health, and thereby urban planning decisions. However, the lack of standardized protocols complicates the accurate assessment of the effects of UGIs on the risk for VBD emergence and transmission and consequently, on potential mitigation measures.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2025

Aedes albopictus is rapidly invading its climatic niche in France: wider implications for biting nuisance and arbovirus control in Western Europe

The Asian tiger mosquito, Aedes albopictus, is a competent vector of arboviruses, such as dengue. After its introduction into southern Europe, this invasive species has been rapidly spreading as well as causing autochthonous cases of arboviral diseases. Both Ae. albopictus presence and potential to transmit arboviruses are facilitated at warm temperatures, hence global warming is expected to affect their presence in temperate regions. We use a climate- and environmental-driven mechanistic modelling framework to investigate the impact of recent climate change on Ae. albopictus range expansion and its potential to transmit dengue in Western Europe. We simulate climatic suitability, adult density and dengue transmission risk which we compare with a large ensemble of entomological and epidemiological observations over the past 20 years. Most importantly, we analyze a novel spatiotemporal dataset of colonized municipalities in metropolitan France to estimate the spread rate of Ae. albopictus and compare it with model predictions. Lastly, we analyze the sensitivity of entomological and epidemiological risk to changes in temperature, rainfall and human density. Distribution of simulated mosquito populations and dengue transmission risk satisfactorily match entomological and dengue observations for Western Europe (AUC = 0.90 and 0.75 respectively). While lowlands in southern Europe were already climatically suitable for hosting Ae. albopictus around 2010, Western France, together with large populated cities, such as London, Zagreb and Vienna, have become suitable recently. Importantly, the accelerating colonization of Ae. albopictus in France may be approaching the limit of its theoretical climatic niche; future expansion will depend on the climate-driven enlargement of suitable areas. Area at risk of dengue transmission has recently expanded from the Mediterranean coasts over northern Spain and Western France. The sensitivity analysis suggests that climate change may expose medium-sized cities to the highest epidemiological risk; this finding is consistent with recently reported dengue outbreaks in Europe.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2018

Modelling and assessment of combining gilt vaccination, vector control and pig herd management to control Japanese Encephalitis virus transmission in Southeast Asia

Despite existence of human vaccines, Japanese Encephalitis (JE) remains a prominent public health problem in Southeast Asia (SEA). JE is caused by a Flavivirus which is transmitted between pigs, the main amplifying hosts, by Culex mosquito bites. Therefore, sow vaccination, pig herd management and vector control -or a combination of these three potential control measures, might constitute additional control measures contributing to reduce JE health impact in humans, and economic losses in pig farms. We built a deterministic metapopulation model, combining a pig and a Culex mosquito vector population, to represent JE virus (JEV) transmission dynamic within a pig herd. The dynamic of the epidemiological systems resulted from an infectious process, operating in continuous time, combined with the pig breeding process that was modeled based on discrete events occurring instantaneously. We used this model to simulate JEV transmission within a continuum of plausible pig breeding systems encountered in SEA, ranging from backyards to semi-commercial systems. We then analyzed the joint effects of the three tested control measures, namely sow vaccination, pig herd management and vector control, on several indicators characterizing (i) the ability of different pig breeding systems to be simultaneously profitable and allow JEV eradication in the herd, (ii) the impact of JE on pig production and the profitability of gilt vaccination, and (iii) the risk for human beings living in the vicinity of pig herds and/or near pig slaughterhouses. According to our model, herd management has no effect on JEV circulation. Vector control alone is a major control tool but shows paradoxical effects that should be considered in any mosquito based control strategy. Combining sow vaccination and vector control could be an alternative or an additional measure to human vaccination to efficiently reduce both JE incidence in humans and the economic impact of JE infection on pig farms.\n\nAuthor summaryJapanese Encephalitis (JE) still has an important impact on human health in Southeast Asia. Human vaccination is an efficient tool to protect humans but it may not be effective against emerging strains, and poor or remote population may not be able to afford it. Severe outbreaks still occur. JE virus (JEV) is primarily transmitted between pigs and mosquitoes. When infected after sexual maturity, pigs show reproduction disorders leading to economic losses. We propose a modelling approach to investigate the joint effect of three additional control measures, namely sow vaccination, vector control, and pig herd management on JEV transmission dynamic, risk for humans and pigs, and pig breeding sustainability. According to our results, vector control, associated or not with sow vaccination, may be an efficient tool to reduce JE incidence in both human and pigs.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2017

Field evidence for manipulation of mosquito host selection by the human malaria parasite, Plasmodium falciparum

Whether the malaria parasite Plasmodium falciparum can manipulate mosquito host choice in ways that enhance parasite transmission toward humans is unknown. We assessed the influence of P. falciparum on the blood-feeding behaviour of three of its major vectors (Anopheles coluzzii, An. gambiae and An. arabiensis) in Burkina Faso. Host preference assays using odour-baited traps revealed no effect of infection on mosquito long-range anthropophily. However, the identification of the blood meal origin of mosquitoes showed that females carrying sporozoites, the mature transmissible stage of the parasite, displayed a 24% increase in anthropophagy compared to both females harbouring oocysts, the parasite immature stage, and uninfected individuals. Using a mathematical model, we further showed that this increased anthropophagy in infectious females resulted in a > 250% increase in parasite transmission potential, everything else being equal. This important epidemiological consequence highlights the importance of vector control tools targeting infectious females.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2017

Can malaria parasites manipulate the odour-mediated host preference of their mosquito vectors?

Malaria parasites can manipulate mosquito feeding behaviours such as motivation and avidity to feed on vertebrate hosts in ways that increase parasite transmission. However, in natural conditions, not all vertebrate blood-sources are suitable hosts for the parasite. Whether malaria parasites can manipulate mosquito host choice in ways that enhance parasite transmission toward suitable hosts and/or reduce mosquito attraction to unsuitable hosts (i.e. specific manipulation) is unknown. To address this question, we experimentally infected three species of mosquito vectors (Anopheles coluzzii, Anopheles gambiae, and Anopheles arabiensis) with wild isolates of the human malaria parasite Plasmodium falciparum, and examined the effects of immature (oocyst) and mature (sporozoite) infections on mosquito behavioural responses (activation rate and odour choice) to combinations of calf odour, human odour and outdoor air using a dual-port olfactometer. Regardless of parasite developmental stage and mosquito species, P. falciparum infection did not alter mosquito activation rate or their choice for human odours. The overall expression pattern of host choice of all three mosquito species was consistent with a high degree of anthropophily, with both infected and uninfected individuals showing higher attraction toward human odour over calf odour, human odour over outdoor air, and outdoor air over calf odour. Our results suggests that, in this system, the parasite may not be able to manipulate the early long-range behavioural steps involved in the mosquito host-feeding process, including initiation of host-seeking and host orientation. Future studies examining mosquito host-feeding behaviours at a shorter range (i.e. the \"at-host\" foraging activities) are required to test whether malaria parasites can modify their mosquito host choice to enhance transmission toward suitable hosts and/or reduce biting on unsuitable hosts.

evolutionary biology↗