Biology subjects

Dougherty, E.

Publications and source records attributed to Dougherty, E..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2022

Sensitivity analysis of genome-scale metabolic flux prediction

TRIMER, Transcription Regulation Integrated with MEtabolic Regulation, is a genome-scale modeling pipeline targeting at metabolic engineering applications. Using TRIMER, regulated metabolic reactions can be effectively predicted by integrative modeling of metabolic reactions with Transcription Factor (TF)-gene regulatory network (TRN), where the TRN is modeled via Bayesian network (BN). In this paper, we focus on sensitivity analysis of metabolic flux prediction considering potential model uncertainty in TRIMER. We propose a computational strategy to construct the uncertainty class of TRN models based on the inferred regulatory order uncertainty when learning from given transcriptomic expression data and analyze the prediction sensitivity of the TRIMER pipeline for the metabolite yield of interest. The obtained sensitivity analyses can provide a useful guidance for Optimal Experimental Design (OED) to help acquire new data that can enhance TRN modeling and effectively achieve specific metabolic engineering objectives, including metabolite yield alterations. We have performed simulation experiments to demonstrate the effectiveness of our developed sensitivity analysis strategy and its potential to effectively guide OED. ACM Reference FormatPuhua Niu, Maria J. Soto, Shuai Huang, Byung-Jun Yoon, Edward R. Dougherty,, Francis J. Alexander, Ian Blaby, Xiaoning Qian. 2018. Sensitivity analysis of genome-scale metabolic flux prediction. In Proceedings of Make sure to enter the correct conference title from your rights confirmation email (CNB-MAC 2022). ACM, New York, NY, USA, 9 pages. https://doi.org/XXXXXXX.XXXXXXX

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2017

Consensus and conflict among ecological forecasts of Zika virus outbreaks in the United States

Ecologists are increasingly involved in the pandemic prediction process. In the course of the Zika outbreak in the Americas, several ecological models were developed to forecast the potential global distribution of the disease. Conflicting results produced by alternative methods are unresolved, hindering the development of appropriate public health forecasts. We compare ecological niche models and experimentally-driven mechanistic forecasts for Zika transmission in the continental United States, a region of high model conflict. We use generic and uninformed stochastic county-level simulations to demonstrate the downstream epidemiological consequences of conflict among ecological models, and show how assumptions and parameterization in the ecological and epidemiological models propagate uncertainty and produce downstream model conflict. We conclude by proposing a basic consensus method that could resolve conflicting models of potential outbreak geography and seasonality. Our results illustrate the unacceptable and often undocumented margin of uncertainty that could emerge from using any one of these predictions without reservation or qualification. In the short term, ecologists face the task of developing better post hoc consensus that accurately forecasts spatial patterns of Zika virus outbreaks. Ultimately, methods are needed that bridge the gap between ecological and epidemiological approaches to predicting transmission and realistically capture both outbreak size and geography.

ecology↗