Biology subjects

Davey Smith, G.

Publications and source records attributed to Davey Smith, G..

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

bioRxiv2018

An examination of multivariable Mendelian randomization in the single sample and two-sample summary data settings.

BackgroundMendelian Randomisation (MR) is a powerful tool in epidemiology which can be used to estimate the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome in the presence of unobserved confounding, by utilising genetic variants that are instrumental variables (IVs) for the exposure. This has been extended to Multivariable MR (MVMR) to estimate the effect of two or more exposures on an outcome.\n\nMethods/ResultsWe use simulations and theory to clarify the interpretation of estimated effects in a MVMR analysis under a range of underlying scenarios, where a secondary exposure acts variously as a confounder, a mediator, a pleiotropic pathway and a collider. We then describe how instrument strength and validity can be assessed for an MVMR analysis in the single sample setting, and develop tests to assess these assumptions in the popular two-sample summary data setting. We illustrate our methods using data from UK biobank to estimate the effect of education and cognitive ability on body mass index.\n\nConclusionMVMR analysis consistently estimates the effect of an exposure, or exposures, of interest and provides a powerful tool for determining causal effects in a wide range of scenarios with either individual or summary level data.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Testing the causal effects between subjective wellbeing and physical health using Mendelian randomisation

ObjectivesTo investigate whether the association between subjective wellbeing (subjective happiness and life satisfaction) and physical health is causal.\n\nDesignWe conducted two-sample bidirectional Mendelian randomisation between subjective wellbeing and six measures of physical health: coronary artery disease, myocardial infarction, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, LDL cholesterol and body mass index (BMI).\n\nParticipantsWe used summary data from four large genome-wide association study consortia: CARDIoGRAMplusC4D for coronary artery disease and myocardial infarction; the Global Lipids Genetics Consortium for cholesterol measures; the Genetic Investigation of Anthropometric Traits consortium for BMI; and the Social Science Genetics Association Consortium for subjective wellbeing. A replication analysis was conducted using 337,112 individuals from the UK Biobank (54% female, mean age =56.87, SD=8.00 years at recruitment).\n\nMain outcome measuresCoronary artery disease, myocardial infarction, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, BMI and subjective wellbeing.\n\nResultsThere was evidence of a causal effect of BMI on subjective wellbeing such that each 1 kg/m2 increase in BMI caused a 0.045 (95%CI 0.006 to 0.084, p=0.023) SD reduction in subjective wellbeing. Replication analyses provided strong evidence of an effect of BMI on satisfaction with health ({beta}=0.034 (95% CI: -0.042 to -0.026) unit decrease in health satisfaction per SD increase in BMI, p<2-16). There was no clear evidence of a causal effect between subjective wellbeing and the other physical health measures in either direction.\n\nConclusionsOur results suggest that a higher BMI lowers subjective wellbeing. Our replication analysis confirmed this finding, suggesting the effect in middle-age is driven by satisfaction with health. BMI is a modifiable determinant and therefore, our study provides further motivation to tackle the obesity epidemic because of the knock-on effects of higher BMI on subjective wellbeing.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

The effect of education and general cognitive ability on smoking: A Mendelian randomisation study

Recent analyses have shown educational attainment to be associated with a number of health outcomes. This association may, in part, be due to an effect of educational attainment on smoking behaviour. In this study we apply a multivariable Mendelian randomisation design to determine whether the effect of educational attainment on smoking behaviour could be due to educational attainment or general cognitive ability. We use individual data from the UK Biobank study (N = 120,050) and summary data from large GWAS studies of educational attainment, cognitive ability and smoking behaviour. Our results show that more years of education are associated with a reduced likelihood of smoking which is not due to an effect of general cognitive ability on smoking behaviour. Given the considerable physical harms associated with smoking, the effect of educational attainment on smoking is likely to contribute to the health inequalities associated with differences in educational attainment.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

The effect of body mass index on smoking behaviour and nicotine metabolism: a Mendelian randomization study

BackgroundGiven clear evidence that smoking lowers weight, it is possible that individuals with higher body mass index (BMI) smoke in order to lose or maintain their weight.\n\nMethods and FindingsWe undertook Mendelian randomization analyses using 97 genetic variants associated with BMI. We performed two sample Mendelian randomization analyses of the effects of BMI on smoking behaviour in UK Biobank (N=335,921) and the Tobacco and Genetics consortium genomewide association study (GWAS) (N[≤]74,035) respectively, and two sample Mendelian randomization analyses of the effects of BMI on cotinine levels (N[≤]4,548) and nicotine metabolite ratio (N[≤]1,518) in published GWAS, and smoking-related DNA methylation in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (N[≤]846).\n\nIn inverse variance weighted Mendelian randomization analysis, there was evidence that higher BMI was causally associated with smoking initiation (OR for ever vs never smoking per one SD increase in BMI: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.27) and smoking heaviness (1.45 additional cigarettes smoked per day per SD increase in BMI, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.86), but little evidence for a causal effect with smoking cessation. Results were broadly similar using pleiotropy robust methods (MR-Egger, median and weighted mode regression). These results were supported by evidence for a causal effect of BMI on DNA methylation at the aryl-hydrocarbon receptor repressor (AHRR) locus. There was no strong evidence that BMI was causally associated with cotinine, but suggestive evidence for a causal negative association with the nicotine metabolite ratio.\n\nConclusionsThere is a causal bidirectional association between BMI and smoking, but the relationship is likely to be complex due to opposing effects on behaviour and metabolism. It may be useful to consider BMI and smoking together when designing prevention strategies to minimise the effects of these risk factors on health outcomes.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Common genetic variants and health outcomes appear geographically structured in the UK Biobank sample: Old concerns returning and their implications.

Introductory paragraphThe inclusion of genetic data in large studies has enabled the discovery of genetic contributions to complex traits and their application in applied analyses including those using genetic risk scores (GRS) for the prediction of phenotypic variance. If genotypes show structure by location and coincident structure exists for the trait of interest, analyses can be biased. Having illustrated structure in an apparently homogeneous collection, we aimed to a) test for geographical stratification of genotypes in UK Biobank and b) assess whether stratification might induce bias in genetic association analysis.\n\nWe found that single genetic variants are associated with birth location within UK Biobank and that geographic structure in genetic data could not be accounted for using routine adjustment for study centre and principal components (PCs) derived from genotype data. We found that GRS for complex traits do appear geographically structured and analysis using GRS can yield biased associations. We discuss the likely origins of these observations and potential implications for analysis within large-scale population based genetic studies.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Prioritizing putative influential genes in early life cardiovascular disease susceptibility by applying tissue-specific Mendelian randomization

BackgroundThe extent to which changes in gene expression can influence cardiovascular disease risk across different tissue types has not yet been systematically explored. We have developed an analytical framework that integrates tissue-specific gene expression, Mendelian randomization and multiple-trait colocalization to develop functional mechanistic insight into the causal pathway from genetic variant to complex trait.\n\nMethodsWe undertook a transcriptome-wide association study in a population of young individuals to uncover genetic variants associated with both nearby gene expression and cardiovascular traits. Two-sample Mendelian randomization was then applied using large-scale datasets to investigate whether changes in gene expression within certain tissue types may influence cardiovascular trait variation. We subsequently performed Bayesian multiple-trait colocalization to further interrogate findings and also gain insight into whether DNA methylation, as well as gene expression, may play a role in disease susceptibility.\n\nResultsEight genetic loci were associated with changes in gene expression and early life measures of cardiovascular function. Our Mendelian randomization analysis provided evidence of tissue-specific effects at multiple loci, of which the effects at the ADCY3 and FADS1 loci for body mass index and cholesterol respectively were particularly insightful. Multiple trait colocalization uncovered evidence which suggested that changes in DNA methylation at the promoter region upstream of FADS1/TMEM258 may also play a role in cardiovascular trait variation along with gene expression. Furthermore, colocalization analyses were able to uncover evidence of tissue-specificity, most prominantly between SORT1 expression in liver tissue and cholesterol levels.\n\nConclusionsDisease susceptibility can be influenced by differential changes in tissue-specific gene expression and DNA methylation. Our analytical framework should prove valuable in elucidating mechanisms in disease, as well as helping prioritize putative causal genes at associated loci where multiple nearby genes may be co-regulated. Future studies which continue to uncover quantitative trait loci for molecular traits across various tissue and cell typse will further improve our capability to understand and prevent disease.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Mendelian randomization does not support serum calcium in prostate cancer risk

Background: Observational studies suggest that dietary and serum calcium are risk factors for prostate cancer. However, such studies suffer from residual confounding (due to unmeasured or imprecisely measured confounders), undermining causal inference. Mendelian randomization uses randomly assigned (hence unconfounded and pre-disease onset) germline genetic variation to proxy for phenotypes and strengthen causal inference in observational studies.\n\nObjective: We tested the hypothesis that serum calcium is associated with an increased risk of overall and advanced prostate cancer.\n\nDesign: A genetic instrument was constructed using 5 single nucleotide polymorphisms robustly associated with serum calcium in a genome-wide association study (N [≤] 61,079). This instrument was then used to test the effect of a 0.5 mg/dL increase (1 standard deviation, SD) in serum calcium on risk of prostate cancer in 72,729 men in the PRACTICAL (Prostate Cancer Association Group to Investigate Cancer Associated Alterations in the Genome) Consortium (44,825 cases, 27,904 controls) and risk of advanced prostate cancer in 33,498 men (6,263 cases, 27,235 controls).\n\nResults: We found weak evidence for a protective effect of serum calcium on prostate cancer risk (odds ratio [OR] per 0.5 mg/dL increase in calcium: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.63-1.08; P=0.12). We did not find strong evidence for an effect of serum calcium on advanced prostate cancer (OR per 0.5 mg/dL increase in calcium: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.57-1.70; P=0.93).\n\nConclusions: Our Mendelian randomization analysis does not support the hypothesis that serum calcium increases risk of overall or advanced prostate cancer.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Lipoprotein Signatures of Cholesteryl Ester Transfer Protein and HMG-CoA Reductase Inhibition

BackgroundCETP inhibition reduces vascular event rates but confusion surrounds its low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol effects. We sought to clarify associations of genetic inhibition of CETP on detailed lipoproteins.\n\nMethods and ResultsWe used variants associated with CETP (rs247617) and HMGCR (rs12916) expression in 62,400 Europeans with detailed lipoprotein profiling from nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Genetic associations were scaled to 10% lower risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). Associations of lipoprotein measures with risk of incident CHD in three population-based cohorts (770 cases) were examined.\n\nCETP and HMGCR had near-identical associations with LDL-cholesterol concentration estimated by Friedewald-equation. HMGCR had a relatively consistent effect on cholesterol concentrations across all apolipoprotein B-containing lipoproteins. CETP had stronger effects on remnant and very-low-density lipoprotein cholesterol but no effect on cholesterol concentrations in LDL defined by particle size (diameter 18-26 nm) (-0.02SD 95%CI: -0.10, 0.05 for CETP versus -0.24SD, 95%CI -0.30, -0.18 for HMGCR). CETP had profound effects on lipid compositions of lipoproteins, with strong reductions in the triglyceride content of all highdensity lipoprotein (HDL) particles. These alterations in triglyceride composition within HDL subclasses were observationally associated with risk of CHD, independently of total cholesterol and triglycerides (strongest HR per 1-SD higher triglyceride composition in very-large HDL 1.35; 95%CI: 1.18, 1.54).\n\nConclusionCETP inhibition does not affect size-specific LDL cholesterol but may lower CHD risk by lowering cholesterol in other apolipoprotein-B containing lipoproteins and lowering triglyceride content of HDL particles. Conventional composite lipid assays may mask heterogeneous effects of lipid-altering therapies.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Body mass index and mortality in UK Biobank: revised estimates using Mendelian randomization

ObjectiveObtain estimates of the causal relationship between different levels of body mass index (BMI) and mortality.\n\nMethodsMendelian randomization (MR) was conducted using genotypic variation reliably associated with BMI to test the causal effect of increasing BMI on all-cause and cause-specific mortality in participants of White British ancestry in UK Biobank.\n\nResultsMR analyses supported existing evidence for a causal association between higher levels of BMI and greater risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR) per 1kg/m2: 1.02; 95% CI: 0.97,1.06) and mortality from cardiovascular diseases (HR: 1.12; 95% CI: 1.02, 1.23), specifically coronary heart disease (HR: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.35) and those other than stroke/aortic aneurysm (HR: 1.13; 95% CI: 0.93, 1.38), stomach cancer (HR: 1.30; 95% CI: 0.91, 1.86) and oesophageal cancer (HR: 1.08; 95% CI: 0.84, 1.38), and with decreased risk of lung cancer mortality (HR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.84, 1.11). Sex-stratified analyses supported a causal role of higher BMI in increasing the risk of mortality from bladder cancer in males and other causes in females, but in decreasing the risk of respiratory disease mortality in males. The characteristic J-shaped observational association between BMI and mortality was visible with MR analyses but with a smaller value of BMI at which mortality risk was lowest and apparently flatter over a larger range of BMI.\n\nConclusionResults support a causal role of higher BMI in increasing the risk of all-cause mortality and mortality from other causes. However, studies with greater numbers of deaths are needed to confirm the current findings.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Appraising the causal relevance of DNA methylation for risk of lung cancer

DNA methylation changes in peripheral blood have been identified in relation to lung cancer risk. However, the causal nature of these associations remains to be fully elucidated. Meta-analysis of four epigenome-wide association studies (918 cases, 918 controls) revealed differential methylation at 16 CpG sites (FDR < 0.05) in relation to lung cancer risk. A two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis, using genetic instruments for methylation at 14 of the 16 CpG sites, and 29,863 cases and 55,586 controls from the TRICL-ILCCO lung cancer consortium, was performed to appraise the causal role of methylation at these sites on lung cancer. This approach provided little evidence that DNA methylation in peripheral blood at the 14 CpG sites play a causal role in lung cancer development, including for cg05575921 AHRR, where methylation is strongly associated with lung cancer risk. Further studies are needed to investigate the causal role played by DNA methylation in lung tissue.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

The median and the mode as robust meta-analysis methods in the presence of small study effects

Meta-analyses based on systematic literature reviews are commonly used to obtain a quantitative summary of the available evidence on a given topic. Despite its attractive simplicity, and its established position at the summit of the evidence-based medicine hierarchy, the reliability of any meta-analysis is largely constrained by the quality of its constituent studies. One major limitation is small study effects, whose presence can often easily be detected, but not so easily adjusted for. Here, robust methods of estimation based on the median and mode are proposed as tools to increase the reliability of findings in a meta-analysis. By re-examining data from published meta-analyses, and by conducting a detailed simulation study, we show that these two simple methods offer notable robustness to a range of plausible bias mechanisms, without making any explicit modelling assumptions. In conclusion, when performing a meta-analysis with suspected small study effects, we recommend reporting the mean, median and modal pooled estimates as a simple but informative sensitivity analyses.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Tendency towards being a “Morning person” increases risk of Parkinson’s disease: evidence from Mendelian randomisation

BackgroundCircadian rhythm may play a role in neurodegenerative diseases such as Parkinsons disease (PD). Chronotype is the behavioural manifestation of circadian rhythm and Mendelian randomisation (MR) involves the use of genetic variants to explore causal effects of exposures on outcomes. This study aimed to explore a causal relationship between chronotype and coffee consumption on risk of PD.\n\nMethodsTwo-sample MR was undertaken using publicly available GWAS data. Associations between genetic instrumental variables (IV) and \"morning person\" (one extreme of chronotype) were obtained from the personal genetics company 23andMe, Inc., and UK Biobank, and consisted of the per-allele odds ratio of being a \"morning person\" for 15 independent variants. The per-allele difference in log-odds of PD for each variant was estimated from a recent meta-analysis. The inverse variance weight method was used to estimate an odds ratio (OR) for the effect of being a \"morning person\" on PD. Additional MR methods were used to check for bias in the IVW estimate, arising through violation of MR assumptions. The results were compared to analyses employing a genetic instrument of coffee consumption, because coffee consumption has been previously inversely linked to PD.\n\nFindingsBeing a \"morning person\" was causally linked with risk of PD (OR 1*27; 95% confidence interval 1*06-1*51; p=0*012). Sensitivity analyses did not suggest that invalid instruments were biasing the effect estimate and there was no evidence for a reverse causal relationship between liability for PD and chronotype. There was no robust evidence for a causal effect of high coffee consumption using IV analysis, but the effect was imprecisely estimated (OR 1*12; 95% CI 0*89-1*42; p=0*22).\n\nInterpretationWe observed causal evidence to support the notion that being a \"morning person\", a phenotype driven by the circadian clock, is associated with a higher risk of PD. Further work on the mechanisms is warranted and may lead to novel therapeutic targets.\n\nFundingNo specific funding source.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Proof of concept for quantitative urine NMR metabolomics pipeline for large-scale epidemiology and genetics

BackgroundQuantitative molecular data from urine are rare in epidemiology and genetics. NMR spectroscopy could provide these data in high-throughput, and it has already been applied in epidemiological settings to analyse urine samples. However, quantitative protocols for large-scale applications are not available.\n\nMethodsWe describe in detail how to prepare urine samples and perform NMR experiments to obtain quantitative metabolic information. Semi-automated quantitative lineshape fitting analyses were set up for 43 metabolites and applied to data from various analytical test samples and from 1,004 individuals from a population-based epidemiological cohort. Novel analyses on how urine metabolites associate with quantitative serum NMR metabolomics data (61 metabolic measures; n=995) were performed. In addition, confirmatory genome-wide analyses of urine metabolites were conducted (n=578). The fully automated quantitative regression-based spectral analysis is demonstrated for creatinine and glucose (n= 4,548).\n\nResultsIntra-assay metabolite variations were mostly <5% indicating high robustness and accuracy of the urine NMR spectroscopy methodology per se. Intra-individual metabolite variations were large, ranging from 6% to 194%. However, population-based inter-individual metabolite variations were even larger (from 14% to 1655%), providing a sound base for epidemiological applications. Metabolic associations between urine and serum were found clearly weaker than those within serum and within urine, indicating that urinary metabolomics data provide independent metabolic information. Two previous genome-wide hits for formate and 2-hydroxyisobutyrate were replicated at genome-wide significance.\n\nConclusionsQuantitative urine metabolomics data suggest broad novelty for systems epidemiology. A roadmap for an open access methodology is provided.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Metabolomic consequences of genetic inhibition of PCSK9 compared with statin treatment

BackgroundBoth statins and PCSK9 inhibitors lower blood low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels to reduce risk of cardiovascular events. To assess potential differences between metabolic effects of these two lipid-lowering therapies, we performed detailed lipid and metabolite profiling of a large randomized statin trial, and compared the results with the effects of genetic inhibition of PCSK9, acting as a naturally occurring trial.\n\nMethods228 circulating metabolic measures were quantified by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy, including lipoprotein subclass concentrations and their lipid composition, fatty acids, and amino acids, for 5,359 individuals (2,659 on treatment) in the PROspective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk (PROSPER) trial at 6-months post-randomization. The corresponding metabolic measures were analyzed in eight population cohorts (N=72,185) using PCSK9 rs11591147 as an unconfounded proxy to mimic the therapeutic effects of PCSK9 inhibitors.\n\nResultsScaled to an equivalent lowering of LDL-C, the effects of genetic inhibition of PCSK9 on 228 metabolic markers were generally consistent with those of statin therapy (R2=0.88). Alterations in lipoprotein lipid composition and fatty acid balance were similar. However, discrepancies were observed for very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) lipid measures. For instance, genetic inhibition of PCSK9 showed weaker effects on lowering of VLDL-cholesterol compared with statin therapy (54% vs. 77% reduction, relative to the lowering effect on LDL-C; P=2 x 10-7 for heterogeneity). Genetic inhibition of PCSK9 showed no robust effects on amino acids, ketones, and a marker of inflammation (GlycA); in contrast, statin treatment lowered GlycA levels.\n\nConclusionsGenetic inhibition of PCSK9 results in similar metabolic effects as statin therapy across a detailed lipid and metabolite profile. However, for the same lowering of LDL-C, PCSK9 inhibitors are predicted to be less efficacious than statins at lowering VLDL lipids, which could potentially translate into subtle differences in cardiovascular risk reduction.

epidemiology↗

bioRxiv2018

Disentangling genetic overlap between Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder, literacy and language

Interpreting polygenic overlap between ADHD and both literacy- and language-related impairments is challenging as genetic confounding can bias associations. Here, we investigate evidence for links between polygenic ADHD risk and multiple literacy- and language-related abilities (LRAs), assessed in UK children (N[≤]5,919), conditional on genetic effects shared with educational attainment (EA). Genome-wide summary statistics on clinical ADHD and years-of-schooling were obtained from large consortia (N[≤]326,041). ADHD-polygenic scores (ADHD-PGS) were inversely associated with LRAs in ALSPAC, most consistently with reading-related abilities, and explained [≤]1.6% phenotypic variation. Polygenic links were then dissected into both genetic effects shared with and independent of EA using multivariable regressions (MVR), analogous to Mendelian Randomization approaches accounting for mediating effects. Conditional on EA, polygenic ADHD risk remained associated with multiple literacy-related skills, phonemic awareness and verbal intelligence, but not language-related skills such as listening comprehension and non-word repetition. Pooled reading performance showed the strongest overlap with ADHD independent of EA. Using conservative ADHD-instruments (P-threshold<5x10-8) this corresponded to a 0.35 decrease in Z-scores per log-odds in ADHD-liability (P=9.2x10-5). Using subthreshold ADHD-instruments (P-threshold<0.0015), these associations had lower magnitude, but higher predictive accuracy, with a 0.03 decrease in Z-scores (P=1.4x10-6). Polygenic ADHD-effects shared with EA were of equal strength and at least equal magnitude compared to those independent of EA, for all LRAs studied, and only detectable using subthreshold instruments. Thus, ADHD-related polygenic links are highly susceptible to genetic confounding, concealing an ADHD-specific association profile that primarily involves reading-related impairments, but few language-related problems.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

DNA methylation mediates genetic liability to non-syndromic cleft lip/palate

BackgroundNon-syndromic cleft lip/palate (nsCL/P) is a complex trait with genetic and environmental risk factors. Around 40 distinct genetic risk loci have been identified for nsCL/P, but many reside in non-protein-coding regions with an unclear function. We hypothesised that one possibility is that the genetic risk variants influence susceptibility to nsCL/P through gene regulation pathways, such as those involving DNA methylation.\n\nMethodsUsing nsCL/P Genome-wide association study summary data and methylation data from four studies, we used Mendelian randomization and joint likelihood mapping to identify putative loci where genetic liability to nsCL/P may be mediated by variation in DNA methylation in blood.\n\nResultsThere was evidence at three independent loci, VAX1 (10q25.3), LOC146880 (17q23.3) and NTN1 (17p13.1), that liability to nsCL/P and variation in DNA methylation might be driven by the same genetic variant. Follow up analyses using DNA methylation data, derived from lip and palate tissue, and gene expression catalogues provided further insight into possible biological mechanisms.\n\nConclusionsGenetic variation may increase liability to nsCL/P by influencing DNA methylation and gene expression at VAX1, LOC146880 and NTN1.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Investigating the shared genetics of non-syndromic cleft lip/palate and facial morphology

There is increasing evidence that genetic risk variants for non-syndromic cleft lip/palate (nsCL/P) are also associated with normal-range variation in facial morphology. However, previous analyses are mostly limited to candidate SNPs and findings have not been consistently replicated. Here, we used polygenic risk scores (PRS) to test for genetic overlap between nsCL/P and seven biologically relevant facial phenotypes. Where evidence was found of genetic overlap, we used bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) to test the hypothesis that genetic liability to nsCL/P is causally related to implicated facial phenotypes. Across 5,804 individuals of European ancestry from two studies, we found strong evidence, using PRS, of genetic overlap between nsCL/P and philtrum width; a 1 S.D. increase in nsCL/P PRS was associated with a 0.10 mm decrease in philtrum width (95% C.I. 0.054, 0.146; P = 0.00002). Follow-up MR analyses supported a causal relationship; genetic variants for nsCL/P homogeneously cause decreased philtrum width. In addition to the primary analysis, we also identified two novel risk loci for philtrum width at 5q22.2 and 7p15.2 in our Genome-wide Association Study (GWAS) of 6,136 individuals. Our results support a liability threshold model of inheritance for nsCL/P, related to abnormalities in development of the philtrum.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

The effect of education on adult mortality, health, and income: triangulating across genetic and policy reforms

1On average, educated people are healthier, wealthier and have higher life expectancy than those with less education. Numerous studies have attempted to determine whether these differences are caused by education, or are merely correlated with it and are ultimately caused by another factor. Previous studies have used a range of natural experiments to provide causal evidence. Here we exploit two natural experiments, perturbation of germline genetic variation associated with education which occurs at conception, known as Mendelian randomization, and a policy reform, the raising of the school leaving age in the UK in 1972. Previous studies have suggested that the differences in outcomes associated with education may be due to confounding. However, the two independent sources of variation we exploit largely imply consistent causal effects of education on outcomes much later in life.

epidemiology↗