Bird functional dispersion predicts dengue vector presence across tropical working landscapes in Costa Rica
Identifying reliable indicators of dengue vector habitat is critical for proactive surveillance and spatially targeted vector control. Bird communities are sensitive to habitat quality and landscape condition, and their functional diversity may track ecological conditions that support Aedes mosquito populations. We tested whether bird functional diversity predicts dengue vector presence across two working landscapes in Costa Rica, comparing bird-based predictors against landscape composition, vegetation structure, and plant diversity. Bird functional dispersion (FDis), the spread of species in multidimensional trait space, was the top-ranked predictor for Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus larval presence and for adult Ae. aegypti, outperforming all other predictor classes. Probability of presence declined with increasing FDis, where functionally homogeneous bird communities, characteristic of disturbed landscapes, co-occur with higher vector presence, consistent with shared habitat filtering. Functional diversity estimations may offer a practical signal for identifying habitats at elevated dengue vector risk.