Distinct Progression Paths Underlie the Diversity of Pancreatic Papillary Cystic Neoplasms
Surgical decisions for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs), precursors of pancreatic cancer, depend on distinguishing low- from high-grade dysplasia, a distinction that molecular markers could refine. We microdissected 433 tumor regions from 135 patients and integrated transcriptomics, deep-learning histology, and KRAS/GNAS RNA-called variants. RNA programs and morphological motifs separated lesions by phenotype, intestinal versus others, rather than by dysplasia grade. Along gastric IPMN trajectories, low-grade lesions recapitulated the pit-chief polarity of normal gastric glands, whereas high-grade lesions were indistinguishable from pancreatobiliary lesions in morphology, RNA programs, and driver mutations. Intestinal IPMNs arose through two routes: a canonical GNAS-associated pathway and a KRAS-associated shift from low-grade gastric features, with lesions sharing driver mutations retaining common programs across phenotypes. Resolving these phenotypic trajectories clarified distinct progression paths and enabled phenotype-specific prediction of high-grade dysplasia in mucus aspirated from 94 resected lesions. These findings support a promising fluid-based assessment of IPMN status.