Biology subjects

Chato, C.

Publications and source records attributed to Chato, C..

6 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2025

Human outbreak detection and best practice MPXV analysis and interpretation with squirrel

High numbers of reported mpox cases and recent identification of multiple sustained human outbreaks of MPXV have highlighted the need for robust, best-practice genomic surveillance tools. In light of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, many labs across the globe developed the capacity to do virus genome sequencing, however MPXV presents additional analytical challenges due to its large genome size, tracts of low-complexity or repeat regions, genetically distinct clades, and the need to perform bespoke APOBEC3-mutation reconstruction. We present squirrel (Some Quick Reconstruction to Resolve Evolutionary Links), an open source bioinformatic tool that can perform clade-aware alignment, mutation quality assessment, phylogenetic inference and automated APOBEC3-mutation classification on branches of the phylogeny. Squirrel can be run on the command line or launched through the EPI2ME GUI through the squirrel-nf workflow, enabling robust analysis without need for the command line. With the interactive output report produced and publication-ready APOBEC3-reconstruction visualisation, squirrel enables researchers to distinguish between zoonotic and sustained human outbreaks and help accurately inform public health responses.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2022

From components to communities: bringing network science to clustering for genomic epidemiology

Defining clusters of epidemiologically-related infections is a common problem in the surveillance of infectious disease. A popular method for generating clusters is pairwise distance clustering, which assigns pairs of sequences to the same cluster if their genetic distance falls below some threshold. The result is often represented as a network or graph of infections. A connected component is a set of interconnected nodes in a graph that are not connected to any other node. The current approach to pairwise clustering is to map clusters to the connected components of the graph. However, the distance thresholds typically used for viruses like HIV-1 tend to yield components that exclude large numbers of infections as unconnected nodes. This is problematic for public health applications of clustering, such as tracking the growth of clusters over time. We propose that this problem can be addressed with community detection, a class of clustering methods being developed in the field of network science. A community is a set of nodes that are more densely inter-connected relative to the number of connections to external nodes. Thus, a connected component may be partitioned into two or more communities. Here we describe community detection methods in the context of genetic clustering for epidemiology, demonstrate how a popular method (Markov clustering) enables us to resolve variation in transmission rates within a giant connected component of HIV-1 sequences, and identify current challenges and directions for further work.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2022

Optimized phylogenetic clustering of HIV-1 sequence data for public health applications

Clusters of genetically similar infections suggest rapid transmission and may indicate priorities for public health action or reveal underlying epidemiological processes. However, clusters often require user-defined thresholds and are sensitive to non-epidemiological factors, such as non-random sampling. Consequently the ideal threshold for public health applications varies substantially across settings. Here, we show a method which selects optimal thresholds for phylogenetic (subset tree) clustering based on population. We evaluated this method on HIV-1 pol datasets (n = 14,221 sequences) from four sites in USA (Tennessee, Seattle), Canada (Northern Alberta) and China (Beijing). Clusters were defined by tips descending from an ancestral node (with a minimum bootstrap support of 95%) through a series of branches, each with a length below a given threshold. Next, we used pplacer to graft new cases to the fixed tree by maximum likelihood. We evaluated the effect of varying branch-length thresholds on cluster growth as a count outcome by fitting two Poisson regression models: a null model that predicts growth from cluster size, and an alternative model that includes mean collection date as an additional covariate. The alternative model was favoured by AIC across most thresholds, with optimal (greatest difference in AIC) thresholds ranging 0.007-0.013 across sites. The range of optimal thresholds was more variable when re-sampling 80% of the data by location (IQR 0.008 - 0.016, n = 100 replicates). Our results use prospective phylogenetic cluster growth and suggest that there is more variation in effective thresholds for public health than those typically used in clustering studies.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2021

Variance in Variants: Propagating Genome Sequence Uncertainty into Phylogenetic Lineage Assignment

Genetic sequencing is subject to many different types of errors, but most analyses treat the resultant sequences as if they are known without error. Next generation sequencing methods rely on significantly larger numbers of reads than previous sequencing methods in exchange for a loss of accuracy in each individual read. Still, the coverage of such machines is imperfect and leaves uncertainty in many of the base calls. On top of this machine-level uncertainty, there is uncertainty induced by human error, such as errors in data entry or incorrect parameter settings. In this work, we demonstrate that the uncertainty in sequencing techniques will affect downstream analysis and propose a straightforward method to propagate the uncertainty. Our method uses a probabilistic matrix representation of individual sequences which incorporates base quality scores as a measure of uncertainty that naturally lead to resampling and replication as a framework for uncertainty propagation. With the matrix representation, resampling possible base calls according to quality scores provides a bootstrap- or prior distribution-like first step towards genetic analysis. Analyses based on these re-sampled sequences will include a more complete evaluation of the error involved in such analyses. We demonstrate our resampling method on SARS-CoV-2 data. The resampling procedures adds a linear computational cost to the analyses, but the large impact on the variance in downstream estimates makes it clear that ignoring this uncertainty may lead to overly confident conclusions. We show that SARS-CoV-2 lineage designations via Pangolin are much less certain than the bootstrap support reported by Pangolin would imply and the clock rate estimates for SARS-CoV-2 are much more variable than reported.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2021

CoVizu: Rapid analysis and visualization of the global diversity of SARS-CoV-2 genomes

Phylogenetics has played a pivotal role in the genomic epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2, such as tracking the emergence and global spread of variants, and scientific communication. However, the rapid accumulation of genomic data from around the world -- with over two million genomes currently available in the GISAID database -- is testing the limits of standard phylogenetic methods. Here, we describe a new approach to rapidly analyze and visualize large numbers of SARS-CoV-2 genomes. Using Python, genomes are filtered for problematic sites, incomplete coverage, and excessive divergence from a strict molecular clock. All differences from the reference genome, including indels, are extracted using minimap2, and compactly stored as a set of features for each genome. For each Pango lineage (https://cov-lineages.org), we collapse genomes with identical features into variants, generate 100 bootstrap samples of the feature set union to generate weights, and compute the symmetric differences between the weighted feature sets for every pair of variants. The resulting distance matrices are used to generate neigihbor-joining trees in RapidNJ and converted into a majority-rule consensus tree for the lineage. Branches with support values below 50% or mean lengths below 0.5 differences are collapsed, and tip labels on affected branches are mapped to internal nodes as directly-sampled ancestral variants. Currently, we process about million genomes in approximately nine hours on 34 cores. The resulting trees are visualized using the JavaScript framework D3.js as beadplots, in which variants are represented by horizontal line segments, annotated with beads representing samples by collection date. Variants are linked by vertical edges to represent branches in the consensus tree. These visualizations are published at https://filogeneti.ca/CoVizu. All source code was released under an MIT license at https://github.com/PoonLab/covizu.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2019

Public health in genetic spaces: a statistical framework to optimize cluster-based outbreak detection

Genetic clustering is a popular method for characterizing variation in transmission rates for rapidly-evolving viruses, and could potentially be used to detect outbreaks in near real time. However, the statistical properties of clustering are poorly understood in this context, and there are no objective guidelines for setting clustering criteria. Here we develop a new statistical framework to optimize a genetic clustering method based on the ability to forecast new cases. We analyzed the pairwise Tamura-Nei (TN93) genetic distances for anonymized HIV-1 subtype B pol sequences from Seattle (n = 1, 653) and Middle Tennessee, USA (n = 2, 779), and northern Alberta, Canada (n = 809). Under varying TN93 thresholds, we fit two models to the distributions of new cases relative to clusters of known cases: (1) a null model that assumes cluster growth is strictly proportional to cluster size, i.e., no variation in transmission rates among individuals; and (2) a weighted model that incorporates individual-level covariates, such as recency of diagnosis. The optimal threshold maximizes the difference in information loss between models, where covariates are used most effectively. Optimal TN93 thresholds varied substantially between data sets, e.g., 0.0104 in Alberta and 0.016 in Seattle and Tennessee, such that the optimum for one population will potentially mis-direct prevention efforts in another. The range of thresholds where the weighted model conferred greater predictive accuracy tended to be narrow ({+/-}0.005 units), but the optimal threshold for a given population also tended to be stable over time. We also extended our method to demonstrate that variation in recency of HIV diagnosis among clusters was significantly more predictive of new cases than sample collection dates ({Delta}AIC> 50). These results demonstrate that one cannot rely on historical precedence or convention to configure genetic clustering methods for public health applications. Our framework not only provides an objective procedure to optimize a clustering method, but can also be used for variable selection in forecasting new cases.

epidemiology↗