Cervantes, L. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2026

An Aging Risk-Factor Scale: Biomarkers of Renal Disease and Anemia are Primary Predictors of Three-Year Survival in Common Marmosets (Callithrix jacchus)

Valid animal models are needed to evaluate how age-related changes in kidney function influence healthspan. Aging marmosets frequently develop renal insufficiency with anemia and exhibit reductions in body mass and metabolic rate. However, it remains unclear which age-related changes predict survival and which thresholds indicate increased mortality risk. We prospectively evaluated age, body composition, resting energy expenditure, hematology, and blood chemistry as predictors of 3-year survival in female and male marmosets (n = 66), 2-16 years of age. Objectives were to identify prognostic markers, define high-risk thresholds, and to develop and test a composite risk-factor scale for mortality screening in captivity. A 10-variable model showed the best predictive performance in multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling, and was retained for further analysis (concordance = 0.881, p < 0.001). ROC curves using Youdens Index and AUC identified high-risk thresholds for predictors in the multivariable model, and threshold-defined categories were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. The 10 binary risk-factors were combined into a composite scale scored from 0 to 10 and tested with Cox regression. The scale explained approximately 42% of variance in survival and each additional risk factor increased mortality risk 1.75-fold (95% CI: 1.43-2.14, p < 0.001). Marmosets with [≥]7 risk factors exhibited a 19-month reduction in survival, and this high-risk threshold predicted 3-year survival with 89.4% accuracy. Results support the scale as a screening tool for mortality risk and highlight the high prevalence of age-associated renal disease and anemia in marmosets.

physiology↗

bioRxiv2024

Oxidative Stress is a shared characteristic of ME/CFS and Long COVID

More than 65 million individuals worldwide are estimated to have Long COVID (LC), a complex multisystemic condition, wherein patients of all ages report fatigue, post-exertional malaise, and other symptoms resembling myalgic encephalomyelitis / chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS). With no current treatments or reliable diagnostic markers, there is an urgent need to define the molecular underpinnings of these conditions. By studying bioenergetic characteristics of peripheral blood lymphocytes in over 16 healthy controls, 15 ME/CFS, and 15 LC, we find both ME/CFS and LC donors exhibit signs of elevated oxidative stress, relative to healthy controls, especially in the memory subset. Using a combination of flow cytometry, bulk RNA-seq analysis, mass spectrometry, and systems chemistry analysis, we also observed aberrations in ROS clearance pathways including elevated glutathione levels, decreases in mitochondrial superoxide dismutase levels, and glutathione peroxidase 4 mediated lipid oxidative damage. Critically, these changes in redox pathways show striking sex-specific trends. While females diagnosed with ME/CFS exhibit higher total ROS and mitochondrial calcium levels, males with an ME/CFS diagnosis have normal ROS levels, but larger changes in lipid oxidative damage. Further analyses show that higher ROS levels correlates with hyperproliferation of T cells in females, consistent with the known role of elevated ROS levels in the initiation of proliferation. This hyperproliferation of T cells can be attenuated by metformin, suggesting this FDA-approved drug as a possible treatment, as also suggested by a recent clinical study of LC patients. Thus, we report that both ME/CFS and LC are mechanistically related and could be diagnosed with quantitative blood cell measurements. We also suggest that effective, patient tailored drugs might be discovered using standard lymphocyte stimulation assays.

immunology↗