Bradford, T. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2022

Assessing risk for butterflies in the context of climate change, demographic uncertainty, and heterogenous data sources

AbstractOngoing declines in insect populations have led to substantial concern and calls for conservation action. However, even for relatively well-studied groups, like butterflies, information relevant to species-specific status and risk is scattered across field guides, the scientific literature, and agency reports. Consequently, attention and resources have been spent on a miniscule fraction of insect diversity, including a few well-studied butterflies. Here we bring together heterogenous sources of information for 396 butterfly species to provide the first regional assessment of butterflies for the 11 western US states. For 184 species, we use monitoring data to characterize historical and projected trends in population abundance. For another 212 species (for which monitoring data are not available, but other types of information can be collected), we use exposure to climate change, development, geographic range, number of host plants, and other factors to rank species for conservation concern. A phylogenetic signal is apparent, with concentrations of declining and at-risk species in the families Lycaenidae and Hesperiidae. A geographic bias exists in that many species that lack monitoring data occur in more southern states where we expect that impacts of warming and drying trends will be most severe. Legal protection is rare among the taxa with the highest risk values: of the top 100 species, one is listed as threatened under the US Endangered Species Act and one is a candidate for listing. Among the many taxa not currently protected, we highlight a short list of species in decline, including Vanessa annabella, Thorybes mexicanus, Euchloe ausonides, and Pholisora catullus. Notably, many of these species have broad geographic ranges, which perhaps highlights a new era of insect conservation in which small or fragmented ranges will not be the only red flags that attract conservation attention.

ecology↗

bioRxiv2021

Gene flow between two thick-billed grasswren subspecies with low dispersal creates a genomic pattern of isolation-by-distance

ContextIn the era of the Anthropocene, habitat loss and environmental change threaten the persistence of many species. Genotyping-By-Sequencing (GBS) is a useful molecular tool for understanding how patterns of gene flow are associated with contemporary habitat distributions that may be affected by environmental change. Two parapatric subspecies of the threatened thick-billed grasswren (TBGW; Amytornis modestus) more frequently occur in different plant communities. As such, a preference for plant community type could reduce subspecific introgression and increase genetic diversity at the parapatric boundary. AimsWe aimed to measure gene flow within and among two TBGW subspecies and tested whether divergent genomic markers were associated with plant community type. MethodsWe sequenced 118 individuals from either of the two TBGW subspecies or in the region of parapatry and identified 7583 SNPs through ddRADseq. Key resultsWe found evidence of asymmetric gene flow and a genomic pattern of isolation-by-distance. There were sixteen genomic outliers correlated with plant community type (regardless of location). ConclusionsThese findings show that plant community type does not prevent introgression in one subspecies (A. m. raglessi), but low dispersal and habitat heterogeneity could contribute to the maintenance of distinct subspecific morphotypes. Local adaptation in different plant community types could also provide a mechanism for future divergence. ImplicationsWe suggest subspecific introgression could increase genetic variation and the adaptive potential of the species, facilitating species persistence under conditions of climate change. Introgression between grasswren subspeciesCharacterising gene flow facilitates conservation management. This study used genomic markers to measure gene flow between thick-billed grasswren subspecies and found results that support taxonomic identification of the two subspecies and suggests grasswrens have low dispersal and may benefit from increased genetic diversity. Recognition of models of divergence with gene flow will be necessary for future conservation management.

evolutionary biology↗