Blanco-Portillo, J. | Search bioRxiv

bioRxiv2025

Pan-African metapopulation model explains Homo sapiens genetic and morphological evolution

A growing body of evidence has challenged the traditional assumption of a single-region origin for Homo sapiens, suggesting instead that our species originated from multiple geographically distinct populations in Africa, which intermittently exchanged genes and culture. However, our understanding of how this Pan-African metapopulation would have evolved through time is still limited. Furthermore, the drivers of such changes are uncertain, and quantitative models of the respective contributions of different African regions are lacking. Here we provide a complete reconstruction of the meta-population dynamics over the last 200,000 years by quantitatively integrating an ecological niche model, informed by archaeological sites, within a spatially explicit population genetic framework. The inferred metapopulation dynamics account for the divergence among all available contemporary and ancient genomes of African hunter-gatherers used to calibrate the model. In addition, it also accurately predicts the patterns of craniometric diversification across the continent from the Late Middle Pleistocene to the present. Finally, we show how the climate-driven changes in population sizes and connectivity are congruent with major patterns of archaeological and phenotypic diversification over the last 200,000 years across the African continent.

evolutionary biology↗

bioRxiv2021

Admixture dynamics in colonial Mexico and the genetic legacy of the Manila Galleon

Mexico has considerable population substructure due to pre-Columbian diversity and subsequent variation in admixture levels from trans-oceanic migrations, primarily from Europe and Africa, but also, to a lesser extent, from Asia. Detailed analyses exploring sub-continental structure remain limited and post-Columbian demographic dynamics within Mexico have not been inferred with genomic data. We analyze the distribution of ancestry tracts to infer the timing and number of pulses of admixture in ten regions across Mexico, observing older admixture timings in the first colonial cities and more recent timings moving outward into southern and southeastern Mexico. We characterize the specific origin of the heterogeneous Native American ancestry in Mexico: a widespread western-central Native Mesoamerican component in northern Aridoamerican states and a central-eastern Nahua contribution in Guerrero (southern Mexico) and Veracruz to its north. Yucatan shows lowland Mayan ancestry, while Sonora exhibits a unique northwestern native Mexican ancestry matching no sampled reference, each consistent with localized indigenous cultures. Finally, in Acapulco, Guerrero a notable proportion of East Asian ancestry was observed, an understudied heritage in Mexico. We identified the source of this ancestry within Southeast Asia--specifically western Indonesian and non-Negrito Filipino--and dated its arrival to approximately thirteen generations ago (1620 CE). This points to a genetic legacy from the 17th century Manila Galleon trade between the colonial Spanish Philippines and the Pacific port of Acapulco in Spanish Mexico. Although this piece of the colonial Spanish trade route from China to Europe appears in historical records, it has been largely ignored as a source of genetic ancestry in Mexico, neglected due to slavery, assimilation as "Indios" and incomplete historical records.

genetics↗