Direct probabilistic quantification of mosaic loss of chromosome Y from sequencing data
Loss of chromosome Y (LOY) is the most common aneuploidy in aging men and is increasingly recognized as a marker of aging and genomic instability. Because LOY occurs in mosaic form, its degree reflects the fraction of cells lacking the Y chromosome. Existing SNP-array- and sequencing-based methods rely largely on single genomic features and indirect transformations to estimate this fraction. We developed BaySeq-Y, a Bayesian method that directly estimates LOY mosaicism from sequencing data using VCF files with read depth (DP) and allelic depth (AD). Within a rigorous Bayesian framework, BaySeq-Y integrates complementary LOY-associated genomic features, including decreased read depth and allelic imbalance, and can additionally leverage haplotype phasing to improve precision. In simulations and fluorescence in situ hybridization validation (FISH), BaySeq-Y provided accurate estimates and outperformed existing methods. Applications to ROSMAP and GTEx supported its biological relevance through transcriptomic validation, demonstrating its utility for quantifying LOY across diverse sequencing datasets.