Biology subjects

Balding, D.

Publications and source records attributed to Balding, D..

10 recordsLinked to original sources

bioRxiv2024

Accurate and flexible estimation of effective population size history

Current methods for inferring historical population sizes from DNA sequences often impose a heavy computational burden, or relieve that burden by imposing a fixed parametric form. In addition, they can be marred by sequencing errors or uncertainty about recombination rates, and the quality of inference is often poor in the recent past. We propose "InferNo" for flexible, nonparametric inference of effective population sizes. It requires modest computing resources and little prior knowledge of the recombination and mutation maps, and it is robust to sequencing error and gene conversion. We illustrate the statistical and computational advantages of InferNo over previous approaches using a range of simulation scenarios. In particular, we demonstrate the ability of InferNo to exploit biobank-scale datasets for accurate inference of rapid population size changes in the recent past. Applying InferNo to worldwide human data, we find remarkable similarities in inferences from different populations in the same region. The historical sizes of all non-African populations converge around 40 000 years ago, but they remain distinct from those of African populations for over 800 000 years, long predating estimates for the migration of modern humans out of Africa.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2024

Estimating evolutionary and demographic parameters via ARG-derived IBD

Inference of demographic and evolutionary parameters from a sample of genome sequences often proceeds by first inferring identical-by-descent (IBD) genome segments. By exploiting efficient data encoding based on the ancestral recombination graph (ARG), we obtain three major advantages over current approaches: (i) no need to impose a length threshold on IBD segments, (ii) IBD can be defined without the hard-to-verify requirement of no recombination, and (iii) computation time can be reduced with little loss of statistical efficiency using only the IBD segments from a set of sequence pairs that scales linearly with sample size. We first demonstrate powerful inferences when true IBD information is available from simulated data. For IBD inferred from real data, we propose an approximate Bayesian computation inference algorithm and use it to show that poorly-inferred short IBD segments can improve estimation precision. We show estimation precision similar to a previously-published estimator despite a 4 000-fold reduction in data used for inference. Computational cost limits model complexity in our approach, but we are able to incorporate unknown nuisance parameters and model misspecification, still finding improved parameter inference. Author summarySamples of genome sequences can be informative about the history of the population from which they were drawn, and about mutation and other processes that led to the observed sequences. However, obtaining reliable inferences is challenging, because of the complexity of the underlying processes and the large amounts of sequence data that are often now available. A common approach to simplifying the data is to use only genome segments that are very similar between two sequences, called identical-by-descent (IBD). The longer the IBD segment the more informative about recent shared ancestry, and current approaches restrict attention to IBD segments above a length threshold. We instead are able to use IBD segments of any length, allowing us to extract much more information from the sequence data. To reduce the computation burden we identify subsets of the available sequence pairs that lead to little information loss. Our approach exploits recent advances in inferring aspects of the ancestral recombination graph (ARG) underlying the sample of sequences. Computational cost still limits the size and complexity of problems our method can handle, but where feasible we obtain dramatic improvements in the power of inferences.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2023

Detecting co-selection through excess linkage disequilibrium in bacterial genomes

Population genomics has revolutionised our ability to study bacterial evolution by enabling data-driven discovery of the genetic architecture of trait variation. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have more recently become accompanied by genome-wide epistasis and co-selection (GWES) analysis, which offers a phenotype-free approach to generating hypotheses about selective processes that simultaneously impact multiple loci across the genome. However, existing GWES methods only consider associations between distant pairs of loci within the genome due to the strong impact of linkage-disequilibrium (LD) over short distances. Based on the general functional organisation of genomes it is nevertheless expected that the majority of co-selection and epistasis will act within relatively short genomic proximity, on co-variation occurring within genes and their promoter regions, and within operons. Here we introduce LDWeaver, which enables an exhaustive GWES across both short- and long-range LD, to disentangle likely neutral co-variation from selection. We demonstrate the ability of LDWeaver to efficiently generate hypotheses about co-selection using large genomic surveys of multiple major human bacterial pathogen species and validate several findings using functional annotation and phenotypic measurements. Our approach will facilitate the study of bacterial evolution in the light of rapidly expanding population genomic data.

bioinformatics↗

bioRxiv2023

Genetic reprogramming by brief inhibition of the renin-angiotensin system in spontaneously hypertensive rats leads to persistently reduced kidney renin and low blood pressure.

BACKGROUNDPrevention of human hypertension is an important challenge and has been achieved in experimental models. Brief treatment with renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibitors permanently reduces the genetic hypertension of the spontaneously hypertensive rat (SHR). The kidney is involved in this reprogramming, but relevant genetic changes are unknown. METHODSIn SHR, we studied the effect of treatment between 10 and 14 weeks of age with the angiotensin receptor blocker, losartan, or the angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor, perindopril (with controls for non-specific effects of lowering BP) on differential RNA expression, DNA methylation and renin immunolabelling in the kidney at 20 weeks of age. RESULTSRNA sequencing revealed a 6-fold increase in renin gene (Ren) expression during losartan treatment (P < 0.0001). At 20 weeks, six weeks after treatment cessation, mean arterial pressure remained lower in the treated SHR (P = 0.006), kidney Ren expression was reduced by 23% (P = 0.03) and DNA methylation within the Ren promoter region was increased (P = 0.04). Experiments with the ACE inhibitor perindopril confirmed a long-term reduction in kidney Ren expression of 43% (P = 1.4 x 10-6). Renin immunolabelling was also lower after losartan or perindopril treatment (P = 0.002). RNA sequencing identified differential expression of 13 candidate genes (Grhl1, Ammecr1l, Hs6st1, Nfil3, Fam221a, Lmo4, Adamts1, Cish, Hif3a, Bcl6, Rad54l2, Adap1, Dok4) and the miRNA miR-145-3p. We found correlations between expression of mRNAs, miRNAs and lncRNAs that we believe represent genetic networks underpinning the decreased Ren expression and lower BP. Gene ontogeny analyses revealed that these networks were enriched with genes relevant to BP, RAS and the kidneys. CONCLUSIONSEarly RAS inhibition in SHR reprograms genetic pathways and networks resulting in a legacy of reduced Ren expression and the persistent reduction in BP.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2022

Fast and accurate joint inference of coancestry parameters for populations and/or individuals

We introduce a fast, new algorithm for inferring jointly the FST parameters describing genetic distances among a set of populations and/or unrelated diploid individuals, and a tree representing their genetic structure, from allele count data. While the inferred tree typically reflects historical processes of splitting and divergence, its aim is to represent the actual genetic variance, with FST values specified by branch lengths. We generalise two major approaches to defining FST, via correlations and mismatch probabilities of sampled allele pairs, which measure shared and non-shared components of genetic variance. A diploid individual can be treated as a population of two gametes, which allows inference of coancestry coefficients for individuals as well as for populations, or a combination of the two. A simulation study illustrates that our fast method-of-moments estimation of FST values, simultaneously for multiple populations/individuals, gains statistical efficiency over pairwise approaches by pooling information about ancestral allele frequencies. We apply our approach to genome-wide genotypes from the 26 worldwide human populations of the 1000 Genomes Project. We first analyse at the population level, then a subset of individuals and in a final analysis we pool individuals from the more homogeneous populations. This flexible analysis approach gives many advantages over traditional approaches to population structure/coancestry, including visual and quantitative assessments of long-standing questions about the relative magnitudes of within- and between-population genetic differences. Author summaryWe propose new ways to measure, and visualise in a tree, the genetic distances among a set of populations using allele frequency data. The two genomes within a diploid individual can be treated as a small population, which allows a flexible framework for investigating genetic variation within and between populations. Genetic structure can be accurately and efficiently represented in a tree with nodes representing either homogeneous populations or genetically diverse individuals, for example due to admixture. We first generalise the long-established measure of genetic distance, FST, to tree-structured populations and individuals, finding that two measures are required for each pair of populations, corresponding to their shared and and non-shared genetic variation. We show using a simulation study that our novel tree-based estimators are more efficient than current pairwise estimators, and we illustrate the potential for novel ways to explore and visualise genetic variation within and between populations using a worldwide human genetic dataset.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2021

Disentangling signatures of selection before and after European colonization in Latin Americans

Throughout human evolutionary history, large-scale migrations have led to intermixing (i.e., admixture) between previously separated human groups. While classical and recent work have shown that studying admixture can yield novel historical insights, the extent to which this process contributed to adaptation remains underexplored. Here, we introduce a novel statistical model, specific to admixed populations, that identifies loci under selection while determining whether the selection likely occurred post-admixture or prior to admixture in one of the ancestral source populations. Through extensive simulations we show that this method is able to detect selection, even in recently formed admixed populations, and to accurately differentiate between selection occurring in the ancestral or admixed population. We apply this method to genome-wide SNP data of ~4,000 individuals in five admixed Latin American cohorts from Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru. Our approach replicates previous reports of selection in the HLA region that are consistent with selection post-admixture. We also report novel signals of selection in genomic regions spanning 47 genes, reinforcing many of these signals with an alternative, commonly-used local-ancestry-inference approach. These signals include several genes involved in immunity, which may reflect responses to endemic pathogens of the Americas and to the challenge of infectious disease brought by European contact. In addition, some of the strongest signals inferred to be under selection in the Native American ancestral groups of modern Latin Americans overlap with genes implicated in energy metabolism phenotypes, plausibly reflecting adaptations to novel dietary sources available in the Americas.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2021

Genome-wide association, prediction and heritability in bacteria

Advances in whole-genome genotyping and sequencing have allowed genome-wide analyses of association, prediction and heritability in many organisms. However, the application of such analyses to bacteria is still in its infancy, being limited by difficulties including the plasticity of bacterial genomes and their strong population structure. Here we propose, and validate using simulations, a suite of genome-wide analyses for bacteria. We combine methods from human genetics and previous bacterial studies, including linear mixed models, elastic net and LD-score regression, and introduce innovations such as frequency-based allele coding, testing for both insertion/deletion and nucleotide effects and partitioning heritability by genome region. We then analyse three phenotypes of a major human pathogen Streptococcus pneumoniae, including the first analyses of minimum inhibitory concentrations (MIC) for each of two antibiotics, penicillin and ceftriaxone. We show that these are highly heritable leading to high prediction accuracy, which is explained by many genetic associations identified under good control of population structure effects. In the case of ceftriaxone MIC, these results are surprising because none of the isolates was resistant according to the inhibition zone diameter threshold. We estimate that just over half of the heritability of penicillin MIC is explained by a known drug-resistance region, which also contributes around a quarter of the heritability of ceftriaxone MIC. For the within-host survival phenotype carriage duration, no reliable associations were found but we observed moderate heritability and prediction accuracy, indicating a polygenic trait. While generating important new results for S. pneumoniae, we have critically assessed existing methods and introduced innovations that will be useful for future large-scale population genomics studies to help decipher the genetic architecture of bacterial traits. Author summaryGenome-wide association, prediction and heritability analyses in bacteria are beginning to help unravel the genetic underpinnings of traits such as antimicrobial resistance, virulence, within-host survival and transmissibility. Progress to date is limited by challenges including the effects of strong population structure and variable recombination, and the many gaps in sequence alignments including the absence of entire genes in many isolates. More work is required to critically asses and develop methods for bacterial genomics. We address this task here, using a range of existing methods from bacterial and human genetics, such as linear mixed models, elastic net and LD-score regression. Using simulations, we first validate and then adapt these methods to introduce new analyses, including separate assessment of gap and nucleotide effects, a new allele coding for association analyses and a method to partition heritability into genome regions. We analyse within-host survival and two antimicrobial response traits of Streptococcus pneumoniae, identifying many novel associations while demonstrating good control of population structure and accurate prediction. We present both new results for an important pathogen and methodological advances that will be useful in guiding future studies in bacterial population genomics.

genomics↗

bioRxiv2020

Prediction Of Eye, Hair And Skin Color In Admixed Populations Of Latin America

We report an evaluation of prediction accuracy for eye, hair and skin pigmentation based on genomic and phenotypic data for over 6,500 admixed Latin Americans (the CANDELA dataset). We examined the impact on prediction accuracy of three main factors: (i) The methods of prediction, including classical statistical methods and machine learning approaches, (ii) The inclusion of non-genetic predictors, continental genetic ancestry and pigmentation SNPs in the prediction models, and (iii) Compared two sets of pigmentation SNPs: the commonly-used HIrisPlex-S set (developed in Europeans) and novel SNP sets we defined here based on genome-wide association results in the CANDELA sample. We find that Random Forest or regression are globally the best performing methods. Although continental genetic ancestry has substantial power for prediction of pigmentation in Latin Americans, the inclusion of pigmentation SNPs increases prediction accuracy considerably, particularly for skin color. For hair and eye color, HIrisPlex-S has a similar performance to the CANDELA-specific prediction SNP sets. However, for skin pigmentation the performance of HIrisPlex-S is markedly lower than the SNP set defined here, including predictions in an independent dataset of Native American data. These results reflect the relatively high variation in hair and eye color among Europeans for whom HIrisPlex-S was developed, whereas their variation in skin pigmentation is comparatively lower. Furthermore, we show that the dataset used in the training of prediction models strongly impacts on the portability of these models across Europeans and Native Americans.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Better estimation of SNP heritability from summary statistics provides a new understanding of the genetic architecture of complex traits

LD Score Regression (LDSC) has been widely applied to the results of genome-wide association studies. However, its estimates of SNP heritability are derived from an unrealistic model in which each SNP is expected to contribute equal heritability. As a consequence, LDSC tends to over-estimate confounding bias, under-estimate the total phenotypic variation explained by SNPs, and provide misleading estimates of the heritability enrichment of SNP categories. Therefore, we present SumHer, software for estimating SNP heritability from summary statistics using more realistic heritability models. After demonstrating its superiority over LDSC, we apply SumHer to the results of 24 large-scale association studies (average sample size 121 000). First we show that these studies have tended to substantially over-correct for confounding, and as a result the number of genome-wide significant loci has under-reported by about 20%. Next we estimate enrichment for 24 categories of SNPs defined by functional annotations. A previous study using LDSC reported that conserved regions were 13-fold enriched, and found a further twelve categories with above 2-fold enrichment. By contrast, our analysis using SumHer finds that conserved regions are only 1.6-fold (SD 0.06) enriched, and that no category has enrichment above 1.7-fold. SumHer provides an improved understanding of the genetic architecture of complex traits, which enables more efficient analysis of future genetic data.

genetics↗

bioRxiv2018

Exposing flaws in S-LDSC; reply to Gazal et al.

In our recent publication,1 we examined the two heritability models most widely used when estimating SNP heritability: the GCTA Model, which is used by the software GCTA2 and upon which LD Score regression (LDSC) is based,3 and the LDAK Model, which is used by our software LDAK.4 First we demonstrated the importance of choosing an appropriate heritability model, by showing that estimates of SNP heritability can be highly sensitive to which model is assumed. Then we empirically tested the GCTA and LDAK Models on GWAS data for a wide variety of complex traits. We found that the LDAK Model fits real data both significantly and substantially better than the GCTA Model, indicating that LDAK estimates more accurately describe the genetic architecture of complex traits than those from GCTA or LDSC.\n\nSome of our most striking results were our revised estimates of functional enrichments (the heritability enrichments of SNP categories defined by functional annotations). In general, estimates from LDAK were substantially more modest than previous estimates based on the GCTA Model. For example, we estimated that DNase I hypersensitive sites (DHS) were 1.4-fold (SD 0.1) enriched, whereas a study using GCTA had found they were 5.1-fold (SD 0.5) enriched,5 and we estimated that conserved SNPs were 1.3-fold (SD 0.3) enriched, whereas a study using S-LDSC (stratified LDSC) had found they were 13.3-fold (SD 1.5) enriched.6\n\nIn their correspondence, Gazal et al. dispute our findings. They assert that the heritability model assumed by LDSC is more realistic than the LDAK Model, and that estimates of enrichment from S-LDSC7 are more accurate than those from LDAK. Here, we explain why their justification for preferring the model used by LDSC is incorrect, and provide a simple demonstration that S-LDSC produces unreliable estimates of enrichment.

genetics↗