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Akech, D.

Publications and source records attributed to Akech, D..

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Nasopharyngeal competition dynamics are likely to be altered following vaccine introduction: bacteriocin prevalence and diversity among Icelandic and Kenyan pneumococci

Bacteriocins are antimicrobial peptides produced by bacteria to inhibit other bacteria in the surrounding environment. Streptococcus pneumoniae is a leading cause of disease worldwide and colonises the healthy human nasopharynx, where it competes for space and nutrients. Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines have reduced the incidence of disease, but they also restructure the bacterial population, and this restructuring likely alters the nasopharyngeal competition dynamics. Here, the distribution of bacteriocins was examined in over 5000 carriage and disease-causing pneumococci from Iceland and Kenya, recovered before and after the introduction of pneumococcal vaccination. Overall, up to eleven different bacteriocin gene clusters were identified per pneumococcus. Significant differences in the prevalence of bacteriocins were observed before and after vaccine introduction, and among carriage and disease-causing pneumococci, which were largely explained by the bacterial population structure. Genetically similar pneumococci generally harboured the same bacteriocins although sometimes different repertoires of bacteriocins were observed, which suggested that horizontal transfer of bacteriocin clusters had occurred. These findings demonstrated that vaccine-mediated changes in the pneumococcal population altered the prevalence and distribution of bacteriocins. The consequences of this for pneumococcal colonisation and disease remain to be determined.

genomics↗

The merits of sustaining pneumococcal vaccination after transitioning from Gavi support - a modelling and cost-effectiveness study for Kenya

IntroductionMany low income countries soon will need to consider whether to continue pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) use at full costs as they transition from Gavi support. Using Kenya as a case study we assessed the incremental cost-effectiveness of continuing PCV use.\n\nMethodsWe fitted a dynamic compartmental model of pneumococcal carriage to annual carriage prevalence surveys and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) incidence in Kilifi, Kenya, and predicted disease incidence and related mortality for either continuing PCV use beyond 2022, the start of Kenyas transition from Gavi support, or its discontinuation. We calculated the costs per disability-adjusted-life-year (DALY) averted and associated prediction intervals (PI).\n\nResultsWe predicted that overall IPD incidence will increase by 93% (PI: 72% - 114%) from 8.5 in 2022 to 16.2 per 100,000 per year in 2032, if PCV use is discontinued. Continuing vaccination would prevent 15,355 (PI: 10,196-21,125) deaths and 112,050 (PI: 79,620- 130,981) disease cases during that time. Continuing PCV after 2022 will require an estimated additional US$15.6 million annually compared to discontinuing vaccination. The incremental cost per DALY averted of continuing PCV was predicted at $142 (PI: 85 - 252) in 2032.\n\nConclusionContinuing PCV use is essential to sustain its health gains. Based on the Kenyan GDP per capita of $1445, and in comparison to other vaccines, continued PCV use at full costs is cost-effective. These arguments support an expansion of the vaccine budget, however, affordability may be a concern.\n\nFundingFunded by the Wellcome Trust.

epidemiology↗

Impact of 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on invasive pneumococcal disease and nasopharyngeal carriage in Kenya

Background10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10), delivered at 6, 10 and 14 weeks of age, was introduced in Kenya in January 2011, accompanied by a catch-up campaign in Kilifi County for children <5 years. Coverage with [&ge;]2 PCV10 doses in children 2-11 months was 80% in 2011 and 84% in 2016; coverage with [&ge;]1 dose in children 12-59 months was 66% and 87%, respectively.\n\nMethodsClinical and microbiological surveillance for invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) among admissions of all ages at Kilifi County Hospital was linked to the Kilifi Health and Demographic Surveillance System from 1999-2016. We calculated the incidence rate ratio (IRR) comparing the pre-vaccine and post-vaccine eras, adjusted for confounding, and reported percent reduction in IPD as 1-IRR. Annual cross-sectional surveys of nasopharyngeal carriage were conducted from 2009-2016.\n\nFindingsSurveillance identified 667 IPD cases in 3,211,403 person-years of observation. IPD incidence in children <5 years fell sharply in 2011 following PCV10 introduction, and remained low (PCV10-type IPD: 60{middle dot}8 vs 3{middle dot}2/100,000 [92% reduction; 95%CI: 78, 97]; overall IPD: 81{middle dot}6 vs 15{middle dot}3/100,000 [68% reduction; 95%CI: 40, 83]; 1999-2010 vs 2012-2016). PCV10-type IPD also declined significantly in unvaccinated age groups (<2 months, 5-14 years, [&ge;]15 years), with estimated reductions of 100%, 74%, and 81%, respectively. There was no significant change in the incidence of non-PCV10 type IPD. In children aged <5 years, PCV10-type carriage declined by 74% and non-PCV10-type carriage increased by 71%.\n\nInterpretationIntroduction of PCV10 in Kenya resulted in a substantial reduction in PCV10-type IPD in children and adults without significant replacement disease. These findings suggest that routine infant PCV10 immunization programmes with catch-up campaigns will provide substantial direct and indirect protection in low-income settings in tropical Africa.

epidemiology↗